💡OMG—Biden WH just created a new *National Center for Epidemic Forecasting & Outbreak Analytics*.

Just like a national weather center or NASA’s asteroid detection center (CNEOS), this will be a pandemic warning center!

This will help prevent pandemics!
whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
2) this was proposed a while ago and critically needed to safeguard us from future pandemic — or future variants of concern. We could have used this in 2019!!! But better late than never.

foreignaffairs.com/articles/unite…
3) Rewind to 1900–we did not have a national hurricane center... 8000 died in Galveston because we had no warning system.

We are now suffering a 400,000 death Galveston-type pandemic... it’s high time we have a pandemic forecasting center.

This is Biden @POTUS WH. Thx @WHCOS.
4) In contrast, we have CNEOS that detects ‘near earth objects’ (asteroid collision) run out of @NASAJPL. And all we needed for that was two Hollywood movies called Armageddon & Deep Impact. (Seriously—CNEOS’s Sentry created 4 years after both movies).
cneos.jpl.nasa.gov
5) Number of people who died from making Armageddon & Deep Impact movies: 0

Number of people died from #COVID19 pandemic: 2 million worldwide, 400k+ in US.

High time for a damn pandemic warning ⚠️ center!!!

Welcome to Biden @POTUS White House.
6) This topic is very personal to me, not just as an epidemiologist but also for what my family went through last year when I tried to sound the alarm on #COVID19.

People can be cruel and mean when they hear something they don’t want to acknowledge... nymag.com/intelligencer/…

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More from @DrEricDing

24 Jan
SWITCH TO PREMIUM MASKS—I’ve been saying it for months. We need to switch to KN95, KF94, or European FFP2 masks ASAP. The new #b117 #COVID19 is just too contagious. Cloth isn’t enough anymore folks. Germany 🇩🇪 & Austria 🇦🇹 mandating on all public transits. washingtonpost.com/world/europe/e… Image
2) there are many masks that have 94/95% filtration... Image
3) N95 masks are more rare outside of hospitals because they are in shortage and needed by HCWs. You might find some NIOSH N95 from wood working, but note those are often not fluid resistant. ImageImage
Read 10 tweets
24 Jan
BREAKING—NYT reports that right-wing PA congressman @RepScottPerry played a key role in Trump’s plot to oust the acting attorney general this month!

@PatriotsPerry is a known conspiracy theorist who had suggested ISIS was behind Vegas mass shooting.
nytimes.com/2021/01/23/us/… Image
2) Scott Perry is the congressman infamously suggested ISIS was connected to Vegas mass shooting. never showed any evidence, and even wouldn’t back down from claim 9 month later. Can’t make this stuff up.

➡️Scott Perry is the Steve King of Pennsylvania. witf.org/2018/10/24/sco…
3) Moreover, @RepScottPerry was one of the anti-mask GOP members of Congress who laughed & mocked Rep. @LisaBRochester for trying to hand out masks while in lockdown during the MAGA terrorist attack on the Capitol. Multiple MOCs got infected afterwards.
Read 5 tweets
23 Jan
College reopenings and #COVID19 risk—for those who say opening in person schools are safe—new CDC study:

US counties with university in-person instruction had a 56% ⬆️ in incidence, comparing the 21-day periods before and after classes started. 🧵
cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7… Image
2) U.S. counties with large colleges or universities with remote instruction experienced a 17.9% decrease in incidence of #COVID19 Image
3) Counties without large colleges or universities (n = 3,009) experienced a 6% decrease in incidence in #COVID19 during similar time frames. Image
Read 6 tweets
23 Jan
DELAYING 2nd DOSE RISKY—

🇬🇧 SAGE warning:

Delaying doses of coronavirus inoculations will increase the chances of a vaccine-resistant strain of #COVID19 emerging, government scientists warn. 🧵
independent.co.uk/news/health/co… Image
2) Sage scientists there was an “increased risk of virus replication under partial immunity after one dose than after two doses, so in the short term, delaying the second dose would be expected to somewhat increase the probability of emergence of vaccine resistance”
3) Is such an increase material? It is not currently possible to quantify the probability of emergence of vaccine resistance as a result of the delayed second dose, but it is likely to be *small*. The UK currently has limited supplies of vaccine.
Read 7 tweets
22 Jan
BREAKING—Trump FDA just left final kick in the teeth—Pfizer will now ship fewer #COVID19 vaccine vials after it lobbied to count & **pay for** “extra” doses found in vials. Now Pfizer can count 6 per vial to meet dose orders—ie shipping less vials. When FDA approved? Jan 6th! 🧵 Image
2) “For weeks, Pfizer execs pushed officials at Trump FDA to change the wording of vaccine’s emergency use authorization so it formally acknowledged that vials contained 6 doses, not 5. Distinction critical: Pfizer’s contract requires paid by the dose.”
nytimes.com/2021/01/22/hea…
3) “Now, it appears, the bill is due. Pfizer plans to count the surprise sixth dose toward its previous commitment of 200 million doses of Covid vaccine by the end of July and therefore will be providing fewer vials than once expected for the US.
Read 13 tweets
22 Jan
BREAKING—UK 🇬🇧 Prime Minister Boris Johnson says: Early evidence suggests the #b117 variant of #covid19 that emerged in the UK may be more deadly. (data assessed by scientists on New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group). TO BE UPDATED. bbc.co.uk/news/health-55…
2) Early estimate: 30% more deadly.

Johnson said: "In addition to spreading more quickly, it also now appears that there is some evidence that the new variant—the variant that was 1st identified in London and the south east - may be associated with a higher degree of mortality.
3) "It's largely the impact of this new variant that means the NHS is under such intense pressure."
The evidence comes from mathematicians analysing trends in the numbers of people dying with the new and the old variants.
Read 6 tweets

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