BREAKING—UK 🇬🇧 Prime Minister Boris Johnson says: Early evidence suggests the #b117 variant of #covid19 that emerged in the UK may be more deadly. (data assessed by scientists on New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group). TO BE UPDATED. bbc.co.uk/news/health-55…
2) Early estimate: 30% more deadly.
Johnson said: "In addition to spreading more quickly, it also now appears that there is some evidence that the new variant—the variant that was 1st identified in London and the south east - may be associated with a higher degree of mortality.
Johnson said: "In addition to spreading more quickly, it also now appears that there is some evidence that the new variant—the variant that was 1st identified in London and the south east - may be associated with a higher degree of mortality.
3) "It's largely the impact of this new variant that means the NHS is under such intense pressure."
The evidence comes from mathematicians analysing trends in the numbers of people dying with the new and the old variants.
The evidence comes from mathematicians analysing trends in the numbers of people dying with the new and the old variants.
4) Sir Patrick Vallance, the government's chief scientific advisor, said the evidence on lethality "is not yet strong". “I want to stress that there's a lot of uncertainty around these numbers and we need more work to get a precise handle on it, but it obviously is a concern”
5) The new variant appears to be around 30% more deadly.
➡️For example, with 1,000 60-year-olds infected with the old variant, 10 of them might be expected to die. But this rises to around 13 with the new variant.
➡️For example, with 1,000 60-year-olds infected with the old variant, 10 of them might be expected to die. But this rises to around 13 with the new variant.
6) NYTimes is reporting 30-40% higher death rate.
https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1352675420752277505
7) I pray UK has enough vaccine supply for on time delivery of the 2nd dose if we don’t want more mutations.
https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1352827349679665153
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