BREAKING—UK 🇬🇧 Prime Minister Boris Johnson says: Early evidence suggests the #b117 variant of #covid19 that emerged in the UK may be more deadly. (data assessed by scientists on New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group). TO BE UPDATED. bbc.co.uk/news/health-55…
2) Early estimate: 30% more deadly.

Johnson said: "In addition to spreading more quickly, it also now appears that there is some evidence that the new variant—the variant that was 1st identified in London and the south east - may be associated with a higher degree of mortality.
3) "It's largely the impact of this new variant that means the NHS is under such intense pressure."
The evidence comes from mathematicians analysing trends in the numbers of people dying with the new and the old variants.
4) Sir Patrick Vallance, the government's chief scientific advisor, said the evidence on lethality "is not yet strong". “I want to stress that there's a lot of uncertainty around these numbers and we need more work to get a precise handle on it, but it obviously is a concern”
5) The new variant appears to be around 30% more deadly.

➡️For example, with 1,000 60-year-olds infected with the old variant, 10 of them might be expected to die. But this rises to around 13 with the new variant.
6) NYTimes is reporting 30-40% higher death rate.
7) I pray UK has enough vaccine supply for on time delivery of the 2nd dose if we don’t want more mutations.

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More from @DrEricDing

24 Jan
Denmark🇩🇰 even more worried than ever about new #B117 variant—B117 cases increasing 70% a week **despite strict lockdown**, says Denmark’s CDC genome sequencing *every single case in the country* for mutation. By contrast, 🇺🇸 sequencing 0.3%. #COVID19 🧵
washingtonpost.com/world/europe/u… Image
2) “We’re losing some of the tools that we have to control the epidemic,” said Tyra Grove Krause, scientific director of Denmark CDC @SSI_dk
3) “Because it can spread more easily, it can also quickly overwhelm medical systems, turning previously survivable bouts with the virus into perilous ones if hospitals are full and medical care is limited.
Read 11 tweets
24 Jan
OH SHIT—Outbreak infects 124 of 127 nursing home residents & half the staff with #COVID19 in Ontario 🇨🇦. 29 people have died. Worse—#B117 variant is now confirmed in 6 of 6 samples—but expert believes widespread. Patients with #COVID19 even shared rooms!
2) They believe it was a relative of a staff member who brought it after traveling overseas. But supposedly they followed quarantine.

If more details, please share @BogochIsaac! Image
3) I don’t usually swear in tweets, but #B117 literally is a beast...
Read 5 tweets
24 Jan
1 year anniversary of that “HOLY MOTHER OF GOD” night—

One year ago—a painful personal saga began—which became a painful family saga—which became a painful #COVID19 saga for the world.

Hope it helped some folks. @alexismadrigal @WajahatAli @dwallacewells
nymag.com/intelligencer/…
2) More background on that fateful night... salon.com/2020/03/27/a-t…
3) A quote from @dwallacewells’s piece.

nymag.com/intelligencer/… Image
Read 4 tweets
24 Jan
This is bad—Berlin has just put an entire hospital under quarantine lockdown & diverting all patients after *20 patients & staff* tested positive for more infectious #B117 variant of #SARSCoV2 from UK. Spokesperson expects to confirm more soon. #COVID19
reuters.com/article/us-hea…
2) This is why I urgently ask everyone to switch to premium masks ASAP if you can.
3) Germany is heeding the dire warning from UK and Denmark CDC on the #B117– It is a beast.
Read 7 tweets
24 Jan
SWITCH TO PREMIUM MASKS—I’ve been saying it for months. We need to switch to KN95, KF94, or European FFP2 masks ASAP. The new #b117 #COVID19 is just too contagious. Cloth isn’t enough anymore folks. Germany 🇩🇪 & Austria 🇦🇹 mandating on all public transits. washingtonpost.com/world/europe/e… Image
2) there are many masks that have 94/95% filtration... Image
3) N95 masks are more rare outside of hospitals because they are in shortage and needed by HCWs. You might find some NIOSH N95 from wood working, but note those are often not fluid resistant. ImageImage
Read 18 tweets
24 Jan
BREAKING—NYT reports that right-wing PA congressman @RepScottPerry played a key role in Trump’s plot to oust the acting attorney general this month!

@PatriotsPerry is a known conspiracy theorist who had suggested ISIS was behind Vegas mass shooting.
nytimes.com/2021/01/23/us/… Image
2) Scott Perry is the congressman infamously suggested ISIS was connected to Vegas mass shooting. never showed any evidence, and even wouldn’t back down from claim 9 month later. Can’t make this stuff up.

➡️Scott Perry is the Steve King of Pennsylvania. witf.org/2018/10/24/sco…
3) Moreover, @RepScottPerry was one of the anti-mask GOP members of Congress who laughed & mocked Rep. @LisaBRochester for trying to hand out masks while in lockdown during the MAGA terrorist attack on the Capitol. Multiple MOCs got infected afterwards.
Read 5 tweets

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