1/x One of the great things about blogging is you assemble a record of real time thoughts during periods of stress. This allows for reviews of what went as expected and what didn't. Our 2020 posts focused mostly on how we were assessing unprecedented levels of change. Links below
2/x Prior to COVID, we wrote about how forecasts are a necessary part of investing. Your only choice is whether to make explicit forecasts or implicit ones. intrinsicinvesting.com/2020/01/10/pic…
3/x We discussed the key difference between a company's products being "relevant" vs "recognizable" and discussed how highly recognizable products may be losing relevance, which lays a trap for investors. intrinsicinvesting.com/2020/02/21/rel…
4/x As the market crashed in March, we faced questions from clients asking if the "game had changed". Our answer was that the game was the same, it had just gotten more fierce. intrinsicinvesting.com/2020/03/16/has…
5/x On March 20, the day before the bottom, we laid out how we planned to manage our strategy through the pandemic. We called on investors to stick with those companies that could survive the crisis, because they would thrive on the other side. ensemblecapital.com/wp-content/upl…
6/x 2020 was the most consequential test of corporate management in a very, very long time. We highlighted the role executives needed to play in carrying all of their stakeholders through the crisis. intrinsicinvesting.com/2020/04/09/cor…
7/x We highlighted the many ways that our portfolio companies recognized their responsibilities to all stakeholders and took steps to make sure the ecosystem in which they create profits remained healthy and robust. intrinsicinvesting.com/2020/06/16/no-…
8/x We wrote up our long thesis on Nintendo, a company we had spent much of 2019 researching, and why the short term stay at home boost to video games would accelerate a long term trend towards the mainstreaming of family gaming. intrinsicinvesting.com/2020/07/14/nin…
9/x For the first time we shared our framework for assessing stakeholder value creation and the role it plays in generating sustainable long term profits. intrinsicinvesting.com/2020/09/03/und…
10/x We only own 20-25 stocks. To spend so much time on a company, we need to find it "interesting". In this post we explained why focusing on interesting companies is a key to alpha generation. intrinsicinvesting.com/2020/10/01/why…
11/x We shared our long thesis on Intuitive Surgical. It isn't so much that they sell surgery "robots" as it is that they empower "bionic surgeons." Certainly one of the more "interesting" companies in our portfolio! intrinsicinvesting.com/2020/10/27/int…
12/x To wrap up a year of huge change, we laid out why the conditions were now set for a much, much higher rate of change to broad economy/society-wide systems. We think the next few years ahead will be interesting and unprecedented in their own ways. intrinsicinvesting.com/2020/11/11/the…

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More from @IntrinsicInv

14 Dec 20
1/x In 2019, we covered a lot of ground in our posts. We tackled position sizing, introduced a diagram illustrating our investment philosophy, reported on our trip to China, and more. You can explore posts from earlier years in the retweeted threads below.
2/x We started the year talking about "hyperbolic discounting", a "$5 phrase" that explains a lot about investor behavior. intrinsicinvesting.com/2019/01/02/tak…
3/x We sent Arif on a research trip to Italy to have the Ferrari experience first hand. What he came back with was the realization that their business model is best understood as a global "club". intrinsicinvesting.com/2019/01/10/joi…
Read 10 tweets
13 Nov 20
1/x We recently got a request from new reader @NMPCap to tweet some of our top blog posts from the past. Honestly, nobody was reading our blog back in 2016! So here's some of our early posts you may have missed.
2/x Our first post explained what "intrinsic investing" is all about and drew on a quote from @Jesse_Livermore. intrinsicinvesting.com/2016/01/05/val…
3/x Our first company write up was included in @abnormalreturns daily email and brought in many of our earliest readers. intrinsicinvesting.com/2016/03/01/bro…
Read 8 tweets
31 Oct 20
The big inflection in video game end markets is first generation of people who grew up as gamers are now parents. So the whole family games and it is no longer seen as a “vice” for young kids.
If you were born in 1980 you were 5 when Super Mario came out. But 1990 was peak birth year for Millennial Generation. So we have a decade of rising number of gamer-parents ahead of us.
Read 10 tweets
30 Oct 20
1.1/x On value creation & dynamic capital allocation, @thirdpoint’s Daniel Loeb sent an insightful letter to $DIS prodding management to double down on its Disney+ direct to consumer (DTC) streaming business
bit.ly/35LbUWe
2.2/x He argues $DIS should permanently stop dividends & reinvest cash into accelerated content creation & make Disney+ 1st landing site for all $DIS content instead of 2nd after box office, potentially forgoing $B’s in lost box office revenue (moot for now) Image
3.3/x Making Disney+ first drop for new franchise blockbuster content would fuel subscriber growth to scale into $NFLX league of 100MM’s of subscribers quickly, while bringing accelerated content velocity would keep them engaged, lowering churn Image
Read 36 tweets
14 Oct 20
There are two CEO archetypes: Visionaries and Optimizers. Both types can create substantial value for shareholders, but require different evaluation tools.

Here’s how we think about it: 1/15
A Visionary is best described as a rule breaker. They are ideally suited for situations in which there is no blueprint for success. They are creating opportunities where none existed. 2/
intrinsicinvesting.com/2018/09/18/see…
Precisely because their approach is unconventional, Visionary personalities and management styles tend to look weird or are off-putting to most observers. V-led companies often have a unique, insular, and quirky culture. 3/
intrinsicinvesting.com/2018/05/04/cor…
Read 15 tweets
6 Oct 20
1/ Why Value & Growth is no longer just about valuation.

The nature of business is not static. While core principals are often timeless, the underlying dynamics can change dramatically over time. Case in point, this is one of the most important charts in investing.
2/ Because GAAP accounting treats corporate investment in tangible assets differently than intangible assets, this shift changes what is deemed “earnings” and thus the meaning of many valuation measures.
3/ The market gets this and has assigned less and less relevance to accounting earnings over time.
Read 13 tweets

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