1) It’s a question I’ve been asked many times during the #COVID19 pandemic: Why has Quebec reported far more deaths than any other province? On the eve of Quebec crossing the 10,000-death threshold, I will try to provide an answer. montrealgazette.com/news/local-new…
2) First, respectfully, I’m not persuaded by Premier François Legault’s argument Quebec is “more Catholic than the Pope” compared with other jurisdictions in declaring #COVID19 deaths. Making that argument risks absolving the government of its responsibility in the #pandemic.
3) Quebec, like Ontario, failed our elders living in long-term care centres. For at least two decades, report after report in Quebec denounced the horrific living conditions in these centres. Nothing was done. Then the #pandemic hit, mostly killing people in these facilities.
4) In fact, 73.4% of all #COVID19 deaths have occurred in Quebec's long-term care centres (CHSLDs) and private seniors’ residences (RPAs). Fortunately, the numbers of cases and deaths in these facilities have been dropping during the curfew, and perhaps because of vaccination.
5) During the #pandemic, Quebec made mistakes that other provinces avoided, like allowing orderlies to shuttle back and forth between CHSLDs. British Columbia, by comparison, was aware of the risk and prevented this type of movement of workers.
6) Quebec’s health-care system was battered by years of cutbacks, making it more vulnerable than other provinces during the #pandemic. The cost-cutting administrative reform of the previous government weakened the system even more.
7) There may be other reasons that explain Quebec’s higher death toll, but I’ll leave that debate for others to pursue. In the meantime, the province continued to report declining #COVID19 hospitalizations, with a drop of 30 on Friday to 1,040. ICU stays dipped by seven to 168.
8) Montreal hospitalizations aren’t dropping as fast as in the rest of the province, but they still declined to 514 Friday from 517 the day before. Four hospitals — the Jewish General, St. Mary’s, the Royal Victoria and Santa Cabrini — observed modest increases in admissions.
9) Montreal posted 489 #COVID19 cases Friday, down from 532 the day before. Although Montreal is still firmly in a red zone, its rate of infections dipped to 24.04 per 100,000 residents, almost a full point below Harvard University’s stay-at-home threshold. See the chart below.
10) But amid these welcome trends in the #pandemic is one that’s worrisome: a rise in #COVID19 outbreaks in Quebec schools. Clusters dropped in every sector Friday except in schools, which jumped by 21 to 255. Schools shuttered another 111 classes for a total of 1,159. See below.
11) Given the threat that more transmissible #COVID19 variants pose, Quebec could do a lot more to protect schools, starting with testing students and sequencing samples to find out whether some children may be carrying the new strains. End of thread. Limit your social contacts.
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1) More than three weeks have gone by since Quebec completed the first round of #COVID19 vaccinations among the residents of long-term care centres (CHSLDs). These residents have yet to receive their booster shots. In this thread, I will re-examine the vaccination effort.
2) Quebec launched its #COVID19 vaccination campaign Dec. 14, giving shots to the residents and staff of CHSLDs. On that date, there were 811 active #COVID19 cases among the residents of CHSLDs. I will compare this cohort with those living in private seniors’ residences (RPAs).
3) On Dec. 14, there were 1,465 #COVID19 cases among those living in seniors’ residences or RPAs. The government did not start vaccinating these individuals in earnest until last week because of delays in shipments by Pfizer.
1) Although the number of Quebec's #COVID hospitalizations dipped below 1,000 Saturday for the first time since Dec. 15, Health Minister Christian Dubé urged anyone with the slightest symptoms to get tested. In this thread, I'll try to explain why the situation is still so dire.
2) The Health Minister explained that #COVID19 cases were on the increase in the past few days. This is true for both the province and Montreal, with the number of infections rising for three days in a row to 1,204 in Quebec. But there’s a lot more to this story.
3) Although #COVID19 outbreaks have been declining in the workplace and in health-care institutions, they’ve been rising sharply in schools across Quebec. The government reported that the number of clusters in schools jumped by 17 to 272 on Saturday.
1) Montreal on Wednesday reported the total number of #COVID19 outbreaks jumped by 67 to 549 since a week ago, with most clusters erupting in schools and the workplace. In this thread, I will gauge the potential impact that reopening stores Monday will have on viral transmission.
2) Outbreaks in the workplace are linked to the second greatest number of #COVID19 cases after those in hospitals and eldercare homes. The manufacturing sector was responsible for most of the outbreaks in Montreal workplaces last week. Please review the chart below.
3) Clusters of #COVID19 rose by two to 22 in Montreal’s retail stores. This slight increase doesn't augur well for the reopening of these businesses Monday, especially as authorities are bracing for the more contagious B117 variant to hit Quebec possibly as early as next month
1) In his news conference on Tuesday evening, Premier François Legault, Health Minister Christian Dubé and chief public health officer Horacio Arruda did not address at all the #COVID19 surge in schools. In this thread, however, I will dwell again on this important subject.
2) It’s the facts that compel me to do so, given that the number of classrooms that schools across Quebec have had to shutter since a week ago Tuesday is nearly 400. What’s more, the Education Ministry reported that three more schools closed because of #COVID19 outbreaks.
3) In Laval, Hillcrest Academy announced Tuesday it was shutting temporarily as well after confirming 16 active #COVID19 cases. At the current pace, the province is poised to report as early as Wednesday more than 3,000 cases among students and staff in less than four weeks.
1) As #COVID19 continued to subside in hospitals and in the workplace across Quebec Monday, it nonetheless surged in schools, raising questions as to whether the government intends to beef up its plans to curb transmission of the #coronavirus in classrooms.
2) On Friday, the Quebec Education Ministry reported that five schools had to close temporarily because of #COVID19 outbreaks, up by two from the day before. Over the weekend and into Monday, another four schools had to shut, three in Montreal and one in Longueuil.
3) What’s more, the Education Ministry revealed that schools had to shutter another 101 classrooms Friday due to #COVID19 exposure, bringing the total to 1,008. In addition, there were 2,662 active cases among students and staff, up by 193 in a day. Please see the chart below.
1) Nearly three weeks into Quebec’s nightly curfew and closing of non-essential businesses, the #pandemic is trending down in nearly every category except two: daycares and schools. In this thread, I will assess whether the current measures are protecting them enough.
2) Before focusing on schools and daycares, though, it’s worth noting that the number of people hospitalized for #COVID19 dropped by 47 to 1,217 across Quebec on Friday. That total is also down by 175 from the day the curfew came into effect.
3) Declining #COVID19 hospitalizations are most notable in Montreal. The city reported 593 on Friday, down from 744 about three weeks ago. Of the city’s 17 hospitals, five reported one or two new admissions and the rest observed decreases.