Frankly I don't even know where to start here, but this is one of the most unhitched takes I've read recently.

It seems like there is an intensive, but dilettantish effort by some Western Think Tanks to rehabilitate the fundamentalist AQ-offshoot HTS since 2021. (1/13)
The introduction starts with equating HTS with the PYD, which is beyond ridiculous, as these are literally the most diametrically opposed groups of the war: HTS is sectarian, authoritarian and misogynist, PYD secular, council democratic and feminist. (2/13)
That the authors have no regard for democracy or the well-being of women gets pretty clear in the piece: Both are mentioned only three times.

Democracy two times has the words "opposition to" in front it, the third time it's in the foot notes.(3/13)
The mention of women is from an interview with a female " former JaN [Nusra] activist from a wealthy Damascene family" in Hatay. There she says - from Turkey - that women can talk a bit more about politics and the law to wear Niqab isn't enforced as strictly anymore. (4/13)
HTS' hegemonic aspirations in the opposition, which made it attack the AQ-affiliate Hurras ad-Din (which doesn't stand out at all looking at the bigger picture of acting against other militant formations in Idlib) are presented as acting against global Jihadi networks. (5/13)
This is ridiculous, because just because it has given up open jihadist ambitions beyond Syria, it doesn't mean that they don't accept staying a safe haven for Jihadi networks. In fact, groups like TIP or Ajnad al-Qawqaz are still operating as close allies with HTS. (6/13)
The authors decided to play this down as "the remaining foreign fighters, including the
TIP Uighurs and the Chechens, accept the new HTS line." Which is a very weak argument, since talking with them wouldn't exactly reveal ideological moderation. (7/13)
The boldest claims can be found in the conclusions:

"HTS appears to be the only actor capable of developing and implementing a coherent counter-insurgency
strategy against global jihad, including AQ remnants and IS networks." (8/13)
“The only way to handle global jihadis is to rely on local ones."

"It defeated IS in its territories despite strong attempts to rebuild IS networks after the capture of Baghouz by the SDF."

What a ridiculous argument is this? (9/13)
HTS is an deep-rooted authoritarian actor. Of course IS fails to set up networks in their area, especially when it's after years of brutal war and destruction.

If you're looking for actually counter-islamist strategies, look to the SDF. (10/13)
Of course, there is a considerable insurgency in Dayr az-Zawr and southern Hasakah/Hesekê, but that's exactly because IS built extensive networks in these areas over years.

You're advocating to let HTS do the same thing in Idlib, indoctrinating society. (11/13)
The authoritarian dynamic of creating ties and eventually a patronage network with the elite of controlled areas - which is exactly how Assad's regime functions, is presented as diluting of extremism and technocracy.
But again, it fails to say how it's doing this exactly. (12/13)
Islamism doesn't have a comprehensive economic agenda, so outsourcing these issues isn't a problem.

Interesting though: Western NGOs, especially @giz_gmbh actually funded HTS governance by largely taking over its health ministry. (13/13)
Addition:
As there was a lot of disagreeable text to go through, I forgot to add this thread I made in 2017 about the fate of Idlib's Druze community and their life under HTS:

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More from @Gargaristan

10 Feb
The Lost Places of #Artsakh:

Map of the occupied #Armenia|n villages and towns that were ethnically cleansed by #Azerbaijan.

#Hadrut #Shushi Image
Design by me, text by @kooyrig and me.

Complementary to the lost villages, I want to add this map by @LCarabinier about the Armenian monasteries of the region. Monasteries in the occupied areas are in danger of demolition:
Additional info: Another village on the border of Armenia and Azerbaijan - off the limits of the map - partially affected by ethnical cleansing is Shurnukh (Location: google.com/maps/@39.38255…)
Read 4 tweets
8 Oct 20
Thread to sum up my criticism of the reporting of German media on Azerbaijan's war on Artsakh, which includes portraying war criminals as victims who have to care for their families:

rojavanews.net/item/1136-negl…
Most reports trivialize the situation. The @tagesschau wrote on Monday, that the situation could at some point escalate into a war.
However, there is already a lot of footage showing fighting as well as utterly brutal drone- and artillery strikes. This is clearly a war.

(1/12)
Also, @tagesschau outweighs Turkey's involvement by saying Russia supports Armenia.

While technically, there is an alliance in the CSTO, Russia did nothing to support Armenia. Yesterday, Putin even said that there will no Russian involvement in Artsakh.

(2/12)
Read 16 tweets
7 Oct 20
Thread on the tragic story of the Udi people of Northern Azerbaijan:
The Udi are a small minority of maybe 5,000 to 10,000 and are speaking a language related to Lezgian and are mostly adherents of the Armenian Apostoplic Church.
The latter is also where their problem starts. (1/8)
The main settlement of the Udi was called Vartashen, where about 3,000 Udi speakers lived in the 80s, along some Armenians and Jewish Tats.
However, with the escalation of the Nagorno-Karabakh war - despite being far away - the Udi were cleansed from their homes. (2/8)
Read 10 tweets
1 Feb 19
Thread:
I did some research on factional affiliation of al-'Uqaydat tribal confederacy's al-Bu Kamal branch in #DayrAzZawr province before the takeover of #IS and got some surprising results:
1) The most influental local Brigade in the area between al-Bahrah and the Iraqi border clearly appears to have been Liwa' Ahl al-Athar (@Alathr2012).

The Brigade was explicitly an al-'Uqaydat tribal brigade of the #FSA.

2) Another local faction was Liwa' 'Umar al-Mukhtar. It had a few members from the environs of ash-Sha'fah, but its headquarters were located in al-Bu Kamal city and it's support base also was predominantly urban.

Read 17 tweets
27 Sep 18
Demonstrations against SDF spread again along the Euphrates valley (Bayt 'Uqaydat and Bayt Baqarah) and the lower Khabur valley in Dayr az-Zawr.

These protests are mostly against the rule of the SDF and the lack of services like water supply.
Demonstrations took place in al-Jiyah directly north of DeZ against the killing of a man (exact circumstances unclear).

In Abu Naytal, a village on the Khabur with many IS supporters that is making problems since months, there tensions occured as well.
Village youth attacked a SDF patrol in the desert. After this, SDF surrounded the village and arrested two men.

Protests in Suwaydan (another town where IS lately ambushed and killed SDF members) targeted SDF for theft in the local shops and accused them of killing a young man.
Read 13 tweets
29 Apr 18
Thread about the clashes between SAA and SDF north of Dayr az-Zawr today with information I gathered and own thoughts:
1) In the morning, SAA captured the villages al-Junaynah, al-Ma'ishiyah, ash-Shaqrah, al-Jiyah and al-'Ulay'an (position of the latter unknown).
According to Euphrates post, all SAA gains have been reversed by a SDF counteroffensive this afternoon.

2) SDF brought in reinforcements from Conoco gas and al-Umar oilfield and got heavy air support from the International Coalition.
Read 18 tweets

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