Three personal, casual thoughts on Taiwan's successful democracy.

1) Just as New Zealand gets wide attention for COVID-19 success while Taiwan hasn't, perhaps western progressives are also looking too much to Europe, NZ and not enough to Taiwan for inspiration.
None should over-generalize the complex, ideologically very diverse Taiwanese political landscape as progressive, but:
- woman-led, high representation of women in legislature
- universal healthcare
- indigenous seats in legislature codified in law
- direct democracy initiatives
2) With Point #1 in mind, perhaps US progressives should be a little more willing to commit to Taiwan's defense should Beijing violently attempt to force reunification.

With the rapid modernization of the Chinese navy, that will require maintaining many US military capabilities.
3) Doesn't really fit in with the above, but noting that direct democracy measures in Taiwan have had interesting implications for Taiwan nuclear power. Recent referendums showed broad support for nuclear. Another referendum to take place in August. (END)

taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4109346

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More from @wang_seaver

10 Feb
The 100% Renewable Energy Strategy Group makes no sense to me. Net-zero electricity by 2030 is a target many would argue is near-impossible for even the USA, yet the signatories set exactly the same target for, say, Mongolia. Oh, and no nuclear allowed. (THREAD) Image
Global 2030 net-zero electricity is a target exponentially, ludicrously beyond many current commitments globally. Still using Mongolia as example, renewables generate <10% of total electricity (rest is coal). Mongolia’s 2030 renewables target is 30%. (1)

montsame.mn/en/read/227933
Japan’s targets (which may increase later this yr), are to generate just under 1/4 of power from renewables and just under 1/4 from nuclear by 2030.

China may be considering a 40% renewable power generation target for 2030 (see below from @YanQinyq). (2)

Read 18 tweets
2 Jan
Speaking for myself, I regularly read writing from the degrowth side.

When degrowthers get criticized, they claim critics are misrepresenting degrowth.

"That's not degrowth! Degrowth is more planned, just, equitable than that!"

But there's no foundation. The box is hollow. (1)
It's so damn hard to get a straight answer from degrowthers about what real degrowth policies would look like.

What is "excessive" growth or consumption? If it's these planetary boundaries, can I question why it's white European countries that score highest on those metrics? (2)
At the international level, are degrowth measures voluntary, or imposed?

If imposed via carbon border taxes and the like, who does the imposing and how?

If voluntary, what do you do when China laughs you out of the negotiating hall? (3)
Read 11 tweets
14 Dec 20
Versus New Zealand, Taiwan has experienced less than 1/2 the COVID-19 cases, and less than 1/2 the deaths.

Taiwan also gets less than 1/2 the news coverage, while having 5x the NZ population and 14x the pop density.

Taiwan is also woman-led: President Tsai Ing-Wen, PhD. (1)
This spring, a reporter exclaimed "We had to go all the way to New Zealand to find leaders seemingly doing everything right to keep people safe from the spread of Covid19"

Well okay, if Asian success stories are invisible to you, I guess. (2)

Thanks to swift early action, Taiwan has not had to implement a lockdown since the pandemic began. Taiwan does plan to keep its strict screening and quarantining of travelers in place, however. (3)

bbc.com/news/world-asi…
Read 9 tweets
11 Nov 20
This 2019 paper, to me, brings up a key under-appreciated climate equity aspect to nuclear phaseouts in Europe.

Even assuming shut-down nuclear is replaced with renewables (it isn’t) this passes enviro, climate, health costs onto other countries. (1)

sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Beylot et al. analyze the carbon emissions associated with mining and processing four raw materials (steel, concrete, copper, aluminum) needed for a French power sector transition over the next few decades under a plan where French nuclear is cut to 50% of the overall mix. (2)
Their findings:

“the cradle-to-gate climate change impacts... required as a response to the energy transition, are assessed to amount between 57 and 650 million tonnes of CO2-eq (≥ 95% probability), and most likely between 150 and 375 million tonnes of CO2-eq” (3)
Read 14 tweets
22 Oct 20
We must reduce mining impacts, but at the same time we’re gonna need copper for net zero. LOTS OF IT. (THREAD)

Current global pop w/o electricity: 1 billion
Current pop w/o clean cooking fuel: 3 billion (think electric stoves w clean power)
Global pop by 2050: 10 billion

(1/7)
Copper intensity of electric gen by type, in tons/GW capacity:

Onshore wind: 1700-6700
Offshore wind: 1650-10000, likely on higher end
Solar: 4900-7000
Nuclear: 726-2000
(to compare: fossil fuels are around 450-600, not that that's remotely a reason to keep em around) (2/7)
By my preliminary calcs for an academic paper I'm working on with @hausfath, @SteveDavisUCI, @erikolsonn, @jamesonmcb + others, assuming a MESSAGE 1.5C decarbonization pathway, we will consume around this much copper per year by 2050: (3/7)
Read 8 tweets
21 Oct 20
A certain new big explainer piece on geothermal is rightly getting a lot of attention!

But imo, the really important theme to @drvox 's #energytwitter activity today is the importance of really selling the clean energy transition to oil/gas workers + communities. (1/5)
For the geothermal piece in question:

vox.com/energy-and-env…

Can clean geothermal absorb all current oil + gas jobs? Likely not. But it offers those working in the industry a clear path forwards. (2/5)
I've written on how geothermal's just one way for oil/gas folks to transition to the clean energy economy.

We'll still need pipelines, chemicals (think ammonia, H2) Drilling could help sequester CO2. Offshore wind can leverage oil rig expertise. (3/5)

thebreakthrough.org/issues/energy/…
Read 5 tweets

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