#ITC - business update

3QFY21

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@dmuthuk

(1/n)
Revenue was flat yoy at Rs117.8 bn. EBITDA declined 7% yoy to Rs42.8 bn.

(2/n)
Cigarette * Cigarettes net revenue declined 7.6% yoy and EBIT declined 8% yoy to Rs34.5 bn. Cigarette business witnessed sequential recovery led by enhanced mobility in metro/tier- 1 cities. Net declined 7.6% yoy during the quarter.

(3/n)
Cigarette contd ... ITC enhanced its leadership position with competitive market offerings, premium-end innovation, product refresh, launch of small packs, and distribution augmentation (addition of stockiest, grocery outlets and rural/semi-urban markets).

(4/n)
FMCG revenue grew 8% yoy (+11% LFL; excluding lifestyle and stationery business), EBIT grew 93% yoy. EBIT margin expanded 260 bps yoy to 5.8% (down 60 bps qoq). FMCG EBITDA margin stood at 9.2%.

(5/n)
FMCG contd ... FMCG business witnessed continued heightened demand for health/hygiene, and immunity boosting products (moderating sequentially) while staples/convenience foods moderated with broadening consumer purchase basket and lower in-home food consumption.

(6/n)
Fmcg contd - OOH-linked categories witnessed good sequential improvement with double-digit yoy growth in snacks & recovery in deodorants & confectionary. Over 9MFY21, staples/convenience foods/health/hygiene products grew 23% yoy, discretionary/OOH segments declined 5%y/y

(7/n)
Fmcg contd ... Savlon brand registered ~Rs10 bn revenue over 9MFY2021 led by sanitizer, disinfectant sprays, wipes, and Savlon Hexa soap. Biscuits portfolio registered low-single digit revenue growth in 3Q.

(8/n)
Fmcg contd ... Rural markets continued the strong momentum and urban demand witnessed gradual recovery during the quarter. FMCG business witnessed robust traction in the online channel (~5% FMCG revenue contribution now).

(9/n)
Hotels segment reported 57% yoy revenue decline and EBIT loss of Rs673 mn. The segment registered good sequential recovery led by pick-up in weddings, getaways and healthcare/quarantine business. Leisure locations continue to witness strong demand.

(10/n)
Hotels business turned EBITDA positive in Dec-2020 month with strong focus on cost reduction and cash conservation. Welcomhotel Shimla was commissioned and Welcomhotel Port Blair was relaunched during the quarter.

(11/n)
Agri business registered 18% yoy revenue growth led by trading opportunities in rice, soya and wheat (for Aashirvaad Atta) and EBIT decline of 8% yoy.

(12/n)
Agri continued ... ITC leveraged its e-Choupal network to enhance direct procurement from farmers. Tobacco leaf exports were impacted by lower volumes and adverse crop/grade mix. Exports of value-added spices continue to see traction.

(13/n)
Paperboards, paper and packaging segment witnessed 5% yoy revenue decline with subdued domestic demand (liquor, publications, notebooks, wedding card segments) partially offset by growth in exports and 15% yoy EBIT decline.

(14/n)
Paper contd ... Speciality papers (linked to pharma & dΓ©cor segments) saw good traction. Operational efficiencies helped partially mitigate weaker realization, adverse sales mix & operating leverage. Capex plans are tracking on schedule.

(15/n)
Better than expected performance in Cigarette business offset weakness in Other FMCG, Hotels & Paperboards segments. PBT stood at β‚Ή48.5 bn down 6% yoy. Recurring PAT of β‚Ή37bn was down 6% yoy & recurring EPS stood at β‚Ή3/share. ITC declared interim dividend of β‚Ή5/share.

16/16

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More from @MlnDollarMinds

6 Feb
#NationalStockExchange #NSE #UnListedIndianCompany

3QFY21

Key Highlights

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@dmuthuk

(1/n)
NSE has shown a robust revenue growth of 46% YoY for the first 9MFY21. It has clocked revenue of 4237 Crores in the first 9MFY21 as compared to 2886 Crores in the same period last year.

(2/n)
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@dmuthuk

@Kiran24Rajput

(1/n)
Business Update: Witnessing improving customer confidence reflected in new business trends in individual as well as group credit protect business. Continue to see improved pickup in savings business due increased volume as well as ticket size.
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(2/n)
Product mix remains balanced. Constant endeavour to grow annuity protect business. Remains watchful on renewal and persistency trend.

(3/n)
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#HDFCLife - Q3FY21 - First cut

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@dmuthuk

@Kiran24Rajput

(1/n)
HDFC Life has reported New business APE of Rs. 21,570 mn, growing 18% YoY & 1.1% QoQ.

(2/n)
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(3/n)
Read 9 tweets
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Yogesh Mehta from Yield Maximisers on #ITC. He believes the stock could be valued at 35-40x PE in next 3-4 years.

Source - Economic Times

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@dmuthuk

@Kiran24Rajput

(1/n)
ITCs balance sheet is distributed 45-55 between cigarette and the non cigarette business.

(2/n)
If with a price hike in cigarette business and a volume growth of ~4%, EBITDA rises by ~8%. It will not be significant on balance sheet but it will be positive because every time in the budget , everyone is expecting sin tax to be increased & that is a burden ITC carries

(3/n)
Read 9 tweets
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Few conclusion drawn from @Howardmarksbook cofounder of @oaktree Jan 2021 newsletter.

@dmuthuk @packyM @mariodgabriele

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(1/n)
Value investing doesn’t have to be about low valuation metrics. Value can be found in many forms. The fact that a company grows rapidly, relies on intangibles such as technology for its success and/or has a high p/e ratio shouldn’t mean it can’t be invested.

(2/n)
Many sources of potential value can’t be reduced to a number. As Albert Einstein purportedly said,β€œNot everything that counts can be counted, and not everything that can be counted counts.” The fact that something can’t be predicted with precision doesn’t mean it isn’t real.

3/n
Read 8 tweets
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(20/n)
Distribution: Bank branch productivity was also under pressure for HDFCLFE (due to market share loss) and IPRU

(21/n)
Profitability: Negligible operating variance + Decline in Unwind + Weak VNB Gearing = Structurally lower ROEVs

(22/n)
Read 4 tweets

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