ITCs balance sheet is distributed 45-55 between cigarette and the non cigarette business.
(2/n)
If with a price hike in cigarette business and a volume growth of ~4%, EBITDA rises by ~8%. It will not be significant on balance sheet but it will be positive because every time in the budget , everyone is expecting sin tax to be increased & that is a burden ITC carries
(3/n)
Tobacco products are out of GST regime but overall ITC is a great company and still available at 20 PE multiples.
(4/n)
There is a valuation gap within peer sector and the growth is more than that of other peer companies but this is only laggard which is pulling valuation down.
(5/n)
2-4 years down the line, the moment we see balance is in favour of non cigarette business than it will have much better valuation to command.
(6/n)
I do not doubt the company can again be valued at 35-40x PE multiple over next three to five years. If not immediately.
(7/n)
In a nut shell, it is a great company with strong balance sheet, good dividend payout and very strong ROE and ROcE and the growth rate is commendable.
(8/8)
@AnyBodyCanFly is projecting #ITC to be a potential 40-50x PE stock in a span of 24 months. π
β’ β’ β’
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Business Update: Witnessing improving customer confidence reflected in new business trends in individual as well as group credit protect business. Continue to see improved pickup in savings business due increased volume as well as ticket size.
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(2/n)
Product mix remains balanced. Constant endeavour to grow annuity protect business. Remains watchful on renewal and persistency trend.
Value investing doesnβt have to be about low valuation metrics. Value can be found in many forms. The fact that a company grows rapidly, relies on intangibles such as technology for its success and/or has a high p/e ratio shouldnβt mean it canβt be invested.
(2/n)
Many sources of potential value canβt be reduced to a number. As Albert Einstein purportedly said,βNot everything that counts can be counted, and not everything that can be counted counts.β The fact that something canβt be predicted with precision doesnβt mean it isnβt real.
3/n
United Spirit Management comments on the industry and the company.
Demand has returned to pre-Covid-19 levels. It is also benefiting from some tailwinds β duty-free shifting to duty-paid and shift from beer.
(2/n)
On-premise footfalls are still lower at 25-30%, while on weekends footfalls are a bit better. Wedding impact is still there but not that visible as the rest of the top end is growing well. Overall demand, including off-premise, has improved much better than expectation.
(3/n)