Thread by @MoriartyLab

Feb 12

1 of every 39 #Canadians with #COVID19 has died since Mar 2020

1 in 57 BC
1 in 73 AB
1 in 75 SK
1 in 35 MB
1 in 43 ON
1 in 27 QC

1 of every 5 Cdns w/ C19 in long-term care & retirement homes has died

LAST 28 DAYS: 3,547 deaths, 10,081 LTC/RH cases, 2,029 LTC/RH deaths

Feb 12

-More #Canadians have died of #COVID19 than died each year during 1918-1920 "Spanish" flu

-COVID-19 is in top 10 largest mortality events in Cdn history

-Last 28 days: 3,547 Canadians died of C19

-If every week is like this week, 3,100 Cdns may die in next 28 days

Feb 12

1 of every 5 #Canadians with #COVID19 in long-term/ personal care & retirement homes has died since March 2020

1 in 6 BC
1 in 9 AB
1 in 5 SK
1 in 5 MB
1 in 7 ON
1 in 4 QC

There are 10,081 LTC/RH cases in last 28 days

We MUST vaccinate everyone in LTC & RHs NOW

Feb 12

Since March 2020

For every 1 Atlantic #Canadian who DIED of #COVID19
this many ppl died of C19 in other regions*

32 QC
12 ON
17 MB
8 SK
11 AB
7 BC
1 North
15 #Canada outside Atlantic

*after adjusting for population differences

Feb 12

#COVID19 #Canada DEATHS since March 2020

Table: Deaths/100K for individual provinces, peer high income countries w/ pop >20M, plus change last 7 days

Graphs
-Total deaths (mid top)
-Total deaths per 100K (mid bottom)
-Wkly rate of change in deaths (bottom right)

Feb 12

Since March 2020

For every 1 Atlantic #Canadian living in long-term care & retirement homes who DIED of #COVID19 this many people in LTC/RHs died of C19 in other regions*

32 QC
10 ON
12 MB
3 SK
9 AB
6 BC
0 North
13 #Canada outside Atlantic

*adjusted for pop differences

Feb 12

#COVID19 #Canada long-term care & retirement home DEATHS since March 2020

Tables: Per capita deaths, % total deaths in LTC/RH, rates of change last 7 days

Graphs:
-Total & per capita values (L)
-% total deaths in LTC/RH (R top)
-Wkly rate of change (R bottom)

Feb 12

Since March 2020

For every 1 Atlantic #Canadian diagnosed with #COVID19
this many people were diagnosed in other regions*

21 QC
13 ON
15 MB
14 SK
19 AB
9 BC
2 North
14 #Canada outside Atlantic

*adjusted for population differences

Feb 12

#COVID19 #Canada CASES since March 2020

Table: Cases/100K for individual provinces, peer high income countries w/ pop >20M, plus change last 7 days

Graphs
-Total cases (mid top)
-Total cases per 100K (mid bottom)
-Wkly rate of change in cases (bottom right)

Feb 12

Since March 2020

For every 1 Atlantic #Canadian in long-term care & retirement homes diagnosed with #COVID19, this many people in LTC/RHs were diagnosed in other regions*

15 QC
8 ON
7 MB
2 SK
9 AB
4 BC
0 North
8 #Canada outside Atlantic

*adjusted for pop differences

Feb 12

#COVID19 #Canada long-term care & retirement home CASES since March 2020

Tables: Per capita cases, % total cases in LTC/RH, rates of change last 7 days

Graphs:
-Total & per capita values (L)
-% total cases in LTC/RH (R top)
-Wkly rate of change (R bottom)

Feb 12

WHAT TO WATCH FOR:
-Weekly rate of change in CASES

WHY?

This shows:
1) if our efforts over the last month are helping
2) when there are warning signs that epidemic may be speeding up again.

Feb 12

WHAT TO WATCH FOR:
-Weekly rate of change in HOSPITALIZATIONS

WHY?

This shows:
1) if our efforts over the last month are helping
2) when there are warning signs that hospitalizations may be speeding up again.

Feb 12

WHAT TO WATCH FOR:
-Weekly rate of change in DEATHS

WHY?

Shows:
1) if efforts ONE MONTH AGO helped
2) warning clues if deaths may be speeding up

ALSO: Rates of change in deaths help us estimate effects of measures such as vaccination in LTC/RHs, where reporting is slow

Sources of collated official data (in addition to provincial sites), with huge thanks:

@NoLore
@RyersonNIA
@covid_canada
@OurWorldInData

Thank you to everyone protecting themselves & others by choosing vaccination, and those caring for the most vulnerable.

/end