Jan 29

Weekly summary #COVID19 #Canada

COMPARISONS:
Provinces, high income peer countries w/ pop >20M

FOCUS:
All deaths, cases, plus focus on long-term care & retirement homes

THREAD OUTLINE
2-12: Data, whole epidemic
13-23: Wave 2
24-33: Last 28d, next 28d
34: Methods

/1
Jan 29

1 of every 39 #Canadians with #COVID19 has died since Feb

1 in 56 in BC
1 in 76 in AB
1 in 80 in SK
1 in 36 in MB
1 in 44 in ON
1 in 27 in QC

1 of every 5 Cdns w/ C19 in long-term, personal care & retirement homes has died

There are 17,437 LTC cases in last 28 days

/2
Jan 29

More #Canadians have now died of #COVID19 than died each year during the 1918-1920 "Spanish" flu

COVID-19 is in top 10 largest mortality events in Canadian history.

4,179 Canadians died of COVID-19 in the last 28 days.

Nearly 6,200 may die in the next 28 days.

/3
Jan 29

1 of every 5 #Canadians with #COVID19 in long-term/ personal care & retirement homes has died since Feb

1 in 5 in BC
1 in 9 in AB
1 in 7 in SK
1 in 5 in MB
1 in 7 in ON
1 in 4 in QC

There are 17,183 LTC cases last 28 days

We MUST vaccinate everyone in LTC & RHs NOW

/4
Jan 29

74% of #Canadians who died of #COVID19 since Feb lived in long-term/ personal care & retirement homes

65% in BC
66% in AB
26% in SK
58% in MB
69% in ON
82% in QC
81% in Atlantic Canada
0% in YK, NWT, NU

We MUST vaccinate everyone in LTC & RHs NOW!

/5
Jan 29

Since Feb

For every 1 Atlantic #Canadian who DIED of #COVID19
this many ppl died of C19 in other regions

32 QC
12 ON
17 MB
7 SK
10 AB
7 BC
1 North

For every 1 Atlantic Cdn who died of C19 in LTC/RH,
13 died of C19 in LTC in rest of #Canada

We need @csc_canada_
/6
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Canada

Per capita DEATHS by province since Feb, compared to peer high income countries with populations >20M

Left: Table, individual province, country values

Middle: Cumulative values, 7d rolling avg

Right: Weekly rate of change

/7
Jan 29

Since Feb

For every 1 Atlantic #Canadian living in long-term/ personal care & retirement homes who DIED of #COVID19
this many people in LTC/RHs died of C19 in other regions:

32: QC
10: ON
12: MB
2: SK
9: AB
5: BC
0: North
13: #Canada outside Atlantic provinces

/8
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Canada

LONG-TERM/ PERSONAL CARE & RETIREMENT HOMES

Per capita DEATHS by province since beginning of epidemic

We MUST vaccinate everyone living in LTC/RHs NOW!

/9
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Canada

Per capita CASES by province since Feb, compared to peer high income countries with populations >20M

Left: Table, individual province, country values

Middle: Cumulative values, 7d rolling avg

Right: Weekly rate of change

/10
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Canada

LONG-TERM/ PERSONAL CARE & RETIREMENT HOMES

Per capita CASES by province since beginning of epidemic

We MUST vaccinate everyone living in LTC/RHs NOW!

/11
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Canada

LONG-TERM/ PERSONAL CARE & RETIREMENT HOMES

% total cases in LTC/RHs since start of epidemic

/12
Jan 29

1 of every 61 #Canadians with #COVID19 has died since Aug 17 (Wave 2)

1 in 63 BC
1 in 80 AB
1 in 81 SK
1 in 35 MB
1 in 69 ON
1 in 50 QC

1 of every 7 Cdns w/ C19 in long-term, personal care & retirement homes has died.

There are 17,437 LTC cases in last 28 days.

/13
Jan 29

1 of every 7 #Canadians with #COVID19 in long-term/ personal care & retirement homes has died since Aug 17 (Wave 2)

1 in 5 BC
1 in 10 AB
1 in 8 SK
1 in 5 MB
1 in 8 ON
1 in 7 QC

There are 17,183 LTC cases last 28 days

We MUST vaccinate everyone in LTC & RHs NOW

/14
Jan 29

65% of #Canadians who died of #COVID19 since Aug 17 (Wave 2) lived in long-term/ personal care & retirement homes

66% in BC
66% in AB
27% in SK
59% in MB
64% in ON
70% in QC
71% in Atlantic Canada
0% in YK, NWT, NU

We MUST vaccinate everyone in LTC & RHs NOW!

/15
Jan 29

Since Aug 17 (Wave 2)

For every 1 Atlantic #Canadian who DIED of #COVID19
this many ppl died of C19 in other regions

67 QC
33 ON
85 MB
33 SK
46 AB
28 BC
3 North

For every 1 Atlantic Cdn who died of C19 in LTC/RH,
37 died of C19 in LTC in rest of #Canada

/16
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Canada

Per capita DEATHS by province since Aug 17 (Wave 2), compared to peer high income countries with populations >20M

Left: Table, individual province, country values

Middle: Cumulative values, 7d rolling avg

Right: Weekly rate of change

/17
Jan 29

Since Aug 17 (Wave 2)

For every 1 Atlantic #Canadian living in long-term/ personal care & retirement homes who DIED of #COVID19
this many people in LTC/RHs died of C19 in other regions:

66 QC
30 ON
71 MB
13 SK
43 AB
26 BC
0 North
37 #Canada outside Atlantic

/18
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Canada

LONG-TERM/ PERSONAL CARE & RETIREMENT HOMES

Per capita DEATHS by province since Aug 17 (Wave 2)

We MUST vaccinate everyone living in LTC/RHs NOW!

/19
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Canada

Per capita hospitalizations (7 day rolling avg)

/20
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Canada

Per capita CASES by province since Aug 17 (Wave 2), compared to peer high income countries with populations >20M

Left: Table, individual province, country values

Middle: Cumulative values, 7d rolling avg

Right: Weekly rate of change

/21
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Canada

LONG-TERM/ PERSONAL CARE & RETIREMENT HOMES

Per capita CASES by province since Aug 17 (Wave 2)

We MUST vaccinate everyone living in LTC/RHs NOW!

/22
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Canada

LONG-TERM/ PERSONAL CARE & RETIREMENT HOMES

% total cases in LTC/RHs since Aug 17 (Wave 2)

/23
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Canada

Total deaths 19,846
Total LTC/RH deaths 14,617

LAST 28 DAYS
🔹All deaths: 4,179
🔹LTC/RH cases: 17,437
🔹LTC/RH deaths: 2,536

NEXT 28 DAYS (estimate)
🔹All deaths: 6,200
🔹LTC/RH cases: 15,000
🔹LTC/RH deaths fr new cases next 28d: 2,000

/24
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Alberta

Total deaths 1,619
Total LTC/RH deaths 1,071

LAST 28 DAYS
🔹All deaths: 573
🔹LTC/RH cases: 3,049
🔹LTC/RH deaths: 385

NEXT 28 DAYS (estimate)
🔹All deaths: 620
🔹LTC/RH cases: 2,800
🔹LTC/RH deaths fr new cases next 28d: 280

/25
Jan 29

#COVID19 Atlantic #Canada

Total deaths 86
Total LTC/RH deaths 70

LAST 28 DAYS
🔹All deaths: 8
🔹LTC/RH cases: 51
🔹LTC/RH deaths: 11

NEXT 28 DAYS (estimate)
🔹All deaths: 15
🔹LTC/RH cases: 70
🔹LTC/RH deaths fr new cases next 28d: 1

/26
Jan 29

#COVID19 #BritishColumbia

Total deaths 1,189
Total LTC/RH deaths 767

LAST 28 DAYS
🔹All deaths: 288
🔹LTC/RH cases: 1,693
🔹LTC/RH deaths: 176

NEXT 28 DAYS (estimate)
🔹All deaths: 380
🔹LTC/RH cases: 1,000
🔹LTC/RH deaths fr new cases next 28d: 200

/27
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Manitoba

Total deaths 823
Total LTC/RH deaths 480

LAST 28 DAYS
🔹All deaths: 156
🔹LTC/RH cases: 398
🔹LTC/RH deaths: 80

NEXT 28 DAYS (estimate)
🔹All deaths: 130
🔹LTC/RH cases: 570
🔹LTC/RH deaths fr new cases next 28d: 110

/28
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Yukon #NorthwestTerritories #Nunavut

Total deaths 3
Total LTC/RH deaths 0

LAST 28 DAYS
🔹All deaths: 0
🔹LTC/RH cases: 0
🔹LTC/RH deaths: 0

NEXT 28 DAYS (estimate)
🔹All deaths: 0
🔹LTC/RH cases: 0
🔹LTC/RH deaths fr new cases next 28d: 0

/29
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Ontario

Total deaths 6,117
Total LTC/RH deaths 4,228

LAST 28 DAYS
🔹All deaths: 1,526
🔹LTC/RH cases: 6,508
🔹LTC/RH deaths: 898

NEXT 28 DAYS (estimate)
🔹All deaths: 2,500
🔹LTC/RH cases: 6,800
🔹LTC/RH deaths fr new cases next 28d: 840

/30
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Quebec

Total deaths 9,717
Total LTC/RH deaths 7,925

LAST 28 DAYS
🔹All deaths: 1,491
🔹LTC/RH cases: 5,552
🔹LTC/RH deaths: 957

NEXT 28 DAYS (estimate)
🔹All deaths: 2,500
🔹LTC/RH cases: 3,700
🔹LTC/RH deaths fr new cases next 28d: 530

/31
Jan 29

#COVID19 #Saskatchewan

Total deaths 292
Total LTC/RH deaths 76

LAST 28 DAYS
🔹All deaths: 137
🔹LTC/RH cases: 186
🔹LTC/RH deaths: 29

NEXT 28 DAYS (estimate)
🔹All deaths: 350
🔹LTC/RH cases: 280
🔹LTC/RH deaths fr new cases next 28d: 30

/32
Sources of collated official data (in addition to provincial sites), w/ huge thanks:

@NoLore
@Sue_Innovates
@RyersonNIA
@covid_canada
@OurWorldInData

Thank you to everyone protecting themselves & others by choosing vaccination, and those caring for the most vulnerable.

/33

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More from @MoriartyLab

16 Jan
Jan 15

1 of every 39 #Canadians with #COVID19 has died since Feb

1 in 57 in BC
1 in 82 in AB
1 in 94 in SK
1 in 36 in MB
1 in 44 in ON
1 in 27 in QC

1 of every 5 Cdns with C19 in long-term, personal care & retirement homes has died

There are 15,690 LTC cases in last 28 days
Jan 15

#COVID19 is in top 10 largest mortality events in #Canadian history.

3,765 Cdns died of C19 in the last 28 days.

Nearly 7,000 may die in the next 28 days.

We need the #CanadianShield @csc_canada_
Jan 15

#COVID19 #Canada

Total deaths 17,773

LAST 28 DAYS
🔹All deaths: 3,765
🔹Long-term care/retirement home cases: 15,690
🔹LTC/RH deaths: 2,331

NEXT 28 DAYS (estimate)
🔹All deaths: 6,801
🔹LTC/RH cases: 37,078
🔹LTC/RH deaths fr new cases next 28d: 4,658

#VaccinateLTCNow
Read 26 tweets
15 Jan
#Canadian #medtwitter

Many are feeling conflicted about posting vaccine selfies b/c of very real & important equity concerns.

But we cannot underestimate how important it is for people to see that we know the vaccines are safe & how life-changing it is to receive them.
I actually think we should keep posting these, but perhaps we can say that we'll only do this if simultaneously we advocate hard for transparent data reporting on progress on vaccination in vulnerable sectors, and then to improve this progress.
For example, here's QC is reporting daily on vaccination progress in high priority vulnerable sectors (example: cdn-contenu.quebec.ca/cdn-contenu/sa…). It's unacceptable that other provinces aren't doing this, b/c it allows them to hide progress on the most critical, widely accepted goals.
Read 14 tweets
14 Jan
#Canadian healthcare providers & scientists,

Do you want to be a resource supporting people with #COVID19 vaccine safety questions?

@COVID_19_Canada is running Zoom sessions from 8-10 nightly where volunteer scientists, physicians, pharmacists talk w/ anyone who drops in.

🧵
We're well-staffed with volunteers for these nightly sessions, which are primarily for people working & linked to the LTC community.

However, at the request of unions & homes we're expanding to do scheduled sessions at other times of day.
Ultimately, we'd like to make drop-in & scheduled sessions available through much of day 7 days/wk & in multiple languages. Plus, expand to support ppl beyond LTC community.

We're not ready to scale up that big just yet, but I want to start signing up volunteers to help.
Read 14 tweets
8 Jan
Jan 7

1 of every 38 #Canadians with #COVID19 has died since Feb

1 in 56 in BC
1 in 87 in AB
1 in 93 in SK
1 in 35 in MB
1 in 41 in ON
1 in 25 in QC

1 of every 5 Cdns with C19 in long-term, personal care & retirement homes has died

There are 13,607 LTC cases in last 28 days
Jan 7

#COVID19 is in top 10 largest mortality events in #Canadian history.

3,545 Cdns died of C19 in the last 28 days.

Nearly 6,000 will likely die in the next 28 days.

We need the #CanadianShield @csc_canada_
Jan 7

1 of every 5 #Canadians with #COVID19 in long-term/ personal care & retirement homes has died since Feb

1 in 4 in BC
1 in 9 in AB
1 in 7 in SK
1 in 5 in MB
1 in 6 in ON
1 in 4 in QC

There are 13,607 LTC cases in last 28 days.

We MUST vaccinate everyone in LTC & RHs NOW!
Read 33 tweets
5 Jan
#Canadian scientists, science communicators, HCPs who vaccinate and is scientifically knowledgeable about #COVID19 vaccines

Are you frustrated by slow vaccination rates, vaccines being thrown out? Do you want to help now?

There one very big way we can help now.
Many HCWs scheduled to be vaccinated now are nervous about the vaccine and would like to be able to talk to knowledgeable experts and have supportive, non-judgemental discussions.
It is incredibly important that we provide support and information and conversation about the COVID vaccines to people who live, work in & visit long-term care and retirement homes in Canada. And we need to do it NOW.
Read 25 tweets
4 Jan
Do you work, live in or visit a long-term/personal care or retirement home in #Canada, or do you know someone who does?

Are you worried about whether the #COVID19 vaccines are safe, and if you should take them?

If so, I'm starting a nightly Zoom session to answer questions.
If you'd like the link to attend, please email me: tara.moriarty(at)utoronto.ca.

If a lot of people want to attend, my first priority right now is people associated w/ LTC/retirement homes.

Je suis (pas mal) bilingue. Alors, je suis capable de discuter en francais.
I'll do the sessions at 8 p.m. Eastern time, so it's not too late for Atlantic folks, but also late enough for many people on the West coast to be home from shifts. I'll do the sessions on weekends too so that as many people as possible can attend.
Read 9 tweets

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