Basically everything agreed is too hard to do, grace periods to be extended long beyond April
Leads to legal uncertainty
Typical quote:
Michael Gove "It does not threaten the integrity of the EU single market to have bulbs ordered from a wholesaler in Scotland or England which will then be planted in a garden in Belfast or Ballymena."
Who wants it ✅
- 🇬🇧 Government (it avoids them having to do anything)
- Northern Irish unionists
Who doesn't like it ❌
- 🇪🇺 (due to legal uncertainty)
2️⃣ All-UK
Example:
"Deal for common EU-UK food safety standards ‘on the table,’ Šefčovič says" politico.eu/article/deal-f…
Sort out a Brexit problem for *the whole of the UK*, thereby helping Northern Ireland too
e.g. SPS, pet passports
Typical quote:
Stephen Farry MP (Alliance Party) "I am calling on the UK Government to urgently seek a UK-EU veterinary agreement."
Who wants it ✅
- Northern Irish pragmatists
Who could live with it
- 🇪🇺 (it's admin hassle, but works)
Who doesn't like it ❌
- 🇬🇧 Government (they'd have to abandon their sovereignty at all costs Brexit)
Full checks on imports into NI only due from 1 April - extra infrastructure needed to make sure this happens
Typical quote:
Maroš Šefčovič (in letter to Gove 10.2.2021): "The Border Control Posts (BCPs) or Entry Posts are not yet fully operational. Official controls at the BCPs are currently not performed in compliance with the Withdrawal Agreement Protocol..."
Who wants it ✅
- 🇪🇺
Who doesn't like it ❌
- Northern Ireland Unionists (means border in the Irish Sea)
- 🇬🇧 Government (there are high costs to doing it)
It is not correct to say there are no solutions to the problems posed by the NI Protocol and TCA
But each sort of solution is opposed by at least one of the main players
I've been pointed towards this by @hanskundnani by @MaryFitzger - entitled "What does it mean to be “pro-European” today?" While there is something to it, I think it mixes up different terms, and hence it's not quite right... This 🧵 will explain
I am also of course aware the title might not be Hans's choice...
The first issue is a basic one: to be a European, or to be a pro-European, are not - in my view - the same things
2/13
I will happily call myself a European, but not a pro-European (although plenty would describe *me* as the latter), because pro-European leads us to looking at the European Union in terms of more or less of it, rather than the individual policy outcomes it can produce
A short 🧵 about Ursula von der Leyen - not least in response to critique of me labelling her a "second rate" politician earlier
"Second rate" is not quite right. Perhaps "politician with an unusual combination of strengths and weaknesses" is better.
1/10
The central issue is where and when vdL is a classic insider, and where she is an outsider
vdL is daughter of Ernst Albrecht, previously CDU Ministerpräsident in Lower Saxony - so in and of the party en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ernst_Alb…
2/10
Yet other aspects set her apart. She is a women in a male dominated party (Merkel of course being the other major exception), and a protestant in a party dominated by catholics. And she's a medical doctor in a political system dominated by lawyers.
🇪🇺 sees the reality of how checks are going to have to work - for both sides - and sees any slippage of timetables as a problem. If 🇬🇧 cannot meet the 1 July deadline - just like any Brexit deadline - the question is *WHEN* it can, not *IF* it can or will
2/10
🇬🇧 sees it differently. Complying is costly and onerous, requires IT systems, sites for checks, and training of staff - so it pays lip service to complying, but keeps it vague as to how and when it will comply - the Government does not actually *DO* the necessary