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19 Feb, 6 tweets, 2 min read
Thes employment numbers should shock people. Expressed relative to those participating in the labour market, I roughly calculate 1 in 25 ontarians lost their job this year. This was preventable if we stuck to standard public health policy. 1/

iheartradio.ca/610cktb/news/1…
Making matters worse, companies are starting to move capital and new jobs out of the province. Sorry to say but the calculations have been done and the future cost structure is just too high. Shrinking tax base and market impact, its looking really grim. 2/
Further, we need to grapple with our crippling debt. Ontario and Canada are primed for inflation followed by a long term deflationary cycle. Canada is starting to look like first world nation struggling with a third world debt crisis. 3/

Ontario needs to face reality. The damage inflicted by our deeply naive public health community is serious and unprecedented. Like it or not, business now views Ontario public health as a risk requiring mitigation. Economists translate that thinking into permanent jobs losses.4/
Ontario public health needs to be deeply restructured. A system wide failure has occurred from dangerously myopic thinking. This restructuring should extend to the Ministry of Health. Pandemic planning needs to be removed from these slow lumbering structures. 5/
There is reason for optimism. The wheels of change grind forward and legislation has been introduced pushing for a full public inquiry into this debacle. Contact your MPPs and get them to support Bill 248. End

ola.org/en/legislative…

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More from @DonaldWelsh16

Donald Welsh Profile picture
20 Feb
I do like to keep people abreast of the C19 origin story. Many unanswered questions but two things are clear. The origin time has moved back to atleast mid Sept. 2019-early Oct. A large portion of initial patients can't be linked to the Wuhan market. 1/

wsj.com/articles/covid…
Still lots to learn but one of particular note is whether other regions of Oceania were hit before we actively monitored the virus. What fragments of evidence we do have suggests yes. Lets dig a bit more. 2/
Here is data from Australia showing an unprecedented spike in flu-like illness in mid 2019. 3/ Image
Read 7 tweets
Donald Welsh Profile picture
16 Feb
Academics isn't for the faint of heart. Its about fostering an environment filled with debate and active criticism. We build structured arguments which others dismember, often politely through questioning or a satirical jab. How has academics faired through the C19 response? 1/
Quite poorly, its hard to imagine a worse outcome. We dismembered the academic environment at the very time it was needed. We shuttered debate and thought, to the point of almost criminalizing it. Universities debased themselves as did our other societal institutions. 2/
C19 revealed that academics were just like everyone else. We weren't a pillar of intellectual strength or a reservoir of sober second thought. Not in the least. We easily surcome to the fear and panic narrative created by an undisciplined public health community. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Donald Welsh Profile picture
15 Feb
Great treasure trove of ideas comes out of Kelly Brown's dive into C19 statistics. From when/where did the virus originate, when did it come to Ontario, to what happened in LTCs, listen and learn. Building into the first theme.....1/

We still don't have a satisfying C19 origin story. The WHO's recent fact finding mission to China, resolved little and raised the possibility that the C19 epidemic may have started earlier and outside of Wuhan. So.....2/
This is a chart of industrial CO2 production from the @EthicalSkeptic. As he points out, based on the assumption that drops in CO2 production equate to health events, China appeared to be fighting a significant event maybe in 2018/early 2019. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Donald Welsh Profile picture
1 Feb
Alex Berensen's reasoning is clear. C19 will end simply because the lie is consuming the ability of gov't and society to function. Two questions remain, why and how. I don't have clear answers to either, but I can speculate. 1/
As to why, I defer to my favorite journalist (Peter Hitchens) who reminds us to never underestimate gov'ts ability to do stunning stupid things. From the start, he linked the logic of the west's C19 response to that of the decaying eastern block nations he used to cover. 2/
C19 is most certainly real but what seems clear is that gov't got the scale of the threat wrong. This isn't trivial, when modeling is out by 25X, it massively impacts gov't actions and scares politicians into acting rashly. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Donald Welsh Profile picture
19 Jan
There is something quite remarkable about Sweden. They decided early on to adhere to established public health practices and refused to panic. They rationalized a viral threat and established a risk based policy. 1/
That policy was built on trust and knowledge of its population. There was no fanfare or dramatic pressers filled with breying politicans. Just dull workman like activity moderating risk while society functioned. 2/
Public trust enables transparency and that is what you see below. A summarized version of Sweden's final Covid report. Take a read and appreciate the thoughtful deliberation. Data analysis is clear, candid and unromantic. 3/

…edevelopmentperestroika.wordpress.com/2021/01/15/fin…
Read 12 tweets
Donald Welsh Profile picture
18 Jan
Canada has shrunk as a nation. Our minds dulled by relentless propaganda, uninspiring leaders, a lazy media and an absent academic class. Those aren't my words but of a colleague travelling to his birth country with decidedly less resources. They were struck by the contrast. 1/
C19, a rather standard albeit slightly more virulent respiratory virus,has brought a nation to its knees. Panic and fear runs amuck and simple statistics fail to penetrate the collective consciousness. 2/
C19 strikes the frail and the vulnerable which was utterly predictable. Our response has been to ignore the frail, then shutter society and prevent kids from going to school and tobogganing. The logic is opaque to any reasonable citizen so where did it come from? 3/
Read 10 tweets

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