Thread by @MoriartyLab

Feb 19

1 of every 39 #Canadians with #COVID19 has died since Feb 2020

1 in 57 BC
1 in 72 AB
1 in 75 SK
1 in 36 MB
1 in 43 ON
1 in 27 QC

1 of every 5 Cdns w/ C19 in long-term care & retirement homes has died

LAST 28 DAYS: 2,745 deaths, 7,433 LTC/RH cases, 1,885 LTC/RH deaths

Feb 19

-#COVID19 is in top 5 largest mortality events in #Canadian history

-Last 28 days: 2,745 Canadians died of C19

-If every week is like this week, 2,267 Canadians may die in next 28 days

Feb 19

1 of every 5 #Canadians with #COVID19 in long-term/ personal care & retirement homes has died since Feb 2020

1 in 6 BC
1 in 7 AB
1 in 5 SK
1 in 4 MB
1 in 8 ON
1 in 4 QC

There are 7,433 LTC/RH cases in last 28 days

We MUST vaccinate everyone in LTC & RHs NOW

Feb 19

Since Feb 2020

For every 1 Atlantic & Northern #Canadian who DIED of #COVID19 this many people died of COVID-19 in other regions*

32 QC
13 ON
17 MB
8 SK
11 AB
7 BC
15 rest of #Canada
8 rest of World

*after adjusting for population differences

Feb 19

#COVID19 #Canada DEATHS since Feb 2020

Table: Deaths/100K & change last 7 days for provinces, Canada, rest of world

Graphs
-Total deaths (mid top)
-Total deaths per 100K (mid bottom)
-Wkly rate of change in deaths (bottom right)

Feb 19

Since Feb 2020

For every 1 Atlantic & Northern #Canadian DIAGNOSED with #COVID19 this many people were diagnosed with COVID-19 in other regions*

19 QC
12 ON
13 MB
13 SK
17 AB
9 BC
13 rest of #Canada
8 rest of World

*after adjusting for population differences

Feb 19

#COVID19 #Canada CASES since Feb 2020

Table: Cases/100K & change last 7 days for provinces, Canada, rest of world

Graphs
-Total cases (mid top)
-Total cases per 100K (mid bottom)
-Wkly rate of change in cases (bottom right)

Feb 19

Since Feb 2020

For every 1 Atlantic and Northern #Canadian in long-term care & retirement homes diagnosed with #COVID19, this many people in LTC/RHs were diagnosed in other regions*

16 QC
10 ON
7 MB
2 SK
10 AB
4 BC
9 rest of #Canada

*adjusted for population differences

Feb 19

#COVID19 #Canada long-term care & retirement home CASES since Feb 2020

Tables: Per capita cases + change last 7 days, % total cases in LTC/RH

Graphs:
-Total & per capita values (L)
-% total cases in LTC/RH (R top)

Feb 19

WHAT TO WATCH FOR:
-Weekly rate of change in CASES

WHY?

This shows:
1) if our efforts over the last month are helping
2) when there are warning signs that epidemic may be speeding up again.

Feb 19

WHAT TO WATCH FOR:
-Weekly rate of change in HOSPITALIZATIONS

WHY?

This shows:
1) if our efforts over the last month are helping
2) when there are warning signs that hospitalizations may be speeding up again.

Feb 19

WHAT TO WATCH FOR:
-Weekly rate of change in DEATHS

WHY?

Shows:
1) if efforts ONE MONTH AGO helped
2) warning clues if deaths may be speeding up

ALSO: Rates of change in deaths help us estimate effects of measures such as vaccination in LTC/RHs, where reporting is slow

Sources of collated official data (in addition to provincial sites), with huge thanks:

@NoLore
@CU_IIJ
@RyersonNIA
@covid_canada
@OurWorldInData

Thank you to everyone protecting themselves & others by choosing vaccination, and those caring for the most vulnerable.

/end