It was great to talk to my friend @balajis a few weeks ago. He is a quintessential futurist, living maybe 10-20 yrs in the future & has been right about so many things that sounded ridiculous back in the day. Genomics, Crypto, DeFi, Covid. Highlights in thread. #EE21 (1/11)
We asked Balaji - why is he the way he is? He responded by explaining that there are 2 types of CEOs - a COO type (those who ensure the trains run on time) & a CTO type (those who think & live in the future). While both have their merits, he gravitates towards the latter.
As the CTO type, he spoke of his interest in identifying powerful secular trends & behaviours e.g. rapid adoption of internet applications that are revolutionizing humanity - from meeting to mating! Being aware of these ‘curves’ helps in hypothesizing where we are headed.
Switching gears, we probed into Balaji's decision of returning to Asia. In his response, he spoke of a pull & push factor. The pull was simple - the macroeconomic trendline has been in Asia’s favour for many years, with the scoreboard being even more telling today!
The push factor was grounded in his belief that the West is in decline. If countries could be compared to movies & shows, the West would be Black Mirror (the Netflix series) & India would be Super 30 (the movie), Balaji remarked!
He mentioned that as a society, we must not look up to select geographies & instead seek inspiration from global technology such as getting to Mars, trans humanism & decentralized platforms like cryptocurrency.
Speaking of his ability to recognize & be early to trends (crypto, genomics), Balaji spoke of the importance of understanding product & distribution trendlines. Distinguishing & decoupling the two is extremely important.
Engineers are too prone to down weighting distribution (‘great products will always get great distribution’) & institutions are prone to up weighting it (‘great distribution today implies great distribution tomorrow’). Both of these are conceptual failure modes.
A second framework for evaluating trends & early ventures is the ‘6Ps’: Product (what are you selling?), Pricing (at what price?), Person (who's buying?), Purpose (why are they buying?), Priority (why buy now?), Prestige (why from you?).
As advice to founders, Balaji spoke of the importance of balancing abstract level thinking & orientation to detail. As a CEO, you need to be a tremendous critic of everything around you yet be an inspiring optimist who is in constant pursuit of the solution.
Entrepreneurship is highly competitive, he concluded; your success will always be viewed by someone as their failure. Accordingly, one must know their allies, enemies & victory condition. And if you aren’t up for a fight, you might be better suited to become an employee!
When asked, if he were the CEO of the world, how would he make Earth win Balaji said the first thing he’d do is decentralise power, prioritising consent over imposition. “A 1000 CEOs peacefully competing would better serve humanity.”
Balaji at his best!
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We @LightspeedIndia are thrilled to host Frank Slootman, CEO of @SnowflakeDB as the inaugural speaker for our #MastersOfSaaS fireside chat series w/ global SaaS leaders: RSVP@ shorturl.at/hDMZ8. As a fan, I've collected Frank's quotes ("Slootisms"? :-) for yrs; some favs👇:
Frank is an absolute master of speed. As the CEO of Data Domain (acqd:EMC), ServiceNow (NYSE:NOW), & Snowflake, Frank’s track record of execution + strategic vision is globally in the company of one. There are none like him. shorturl.at/avzL4. Img credit: @patrick_oshag
Frank on running fast and lean: Img credit: @Altimor
Speed of execution is the moat inside which live all other moats. Speed is your best strategy. Speed is your strongest weapon. Speed has THE highest correlation to mammoth outcomes. Those who conflate speed w/ 'thoughtlessness' haven't seen world class execution @ speed. E.g.:
Many confuse speed w/ impatience. Impatience is your boss pinging you @ 9pm then calling @ 6am to check if a task is done. Speed is strategic. It is a permeated sense of urgency built w/ a shared belief that what you are doing is important & if you don’t do it, someone else will.
AMZN defines speed. Their 2015 SEC filing (shorturl.at/xDEU1) is a must-read: (1) deliberate irreversible decisions (~10%?) (2) expedite all else. Founding teams need to learn how to apply judgment w/ <70% of data (<50% for early stage cos). Move fast, “disagree & commit”.
~8yrs ago (Dec’12) I got a job @Google. Those were still early days of cloud. I joined GCP @<150M ARR & left @~4B (excld GSuite). Learned from some of the smartest ppl in tech. But we also got a LOT wrong that took yrs to fix. Much of it now public, but here’s my ring-side view👇
By 2008, Google had everything going for it w.r.t. Cloud and we should’ve been the market leaders, but we were either too early to market or too late. What did we do wrong? (1) bad timing (2) worse productization & (3) worst GTM.
We were 1st to “containers” (lxc) & container management (Borg) - since '03/04. But Docker took LXC, added cluster management, & launched 1st. Mesosphere launched DCOS. A lot of chairs were thrown around re: google losing this early battle, though K8 won the war, eventually 👏
SaaS growth investing is on 🔥 the last few quarters. If you are a SaaS founder in the market to raise a growth round, here’s a quick summary of what to expect & how to prepare for these conversations, based on chats we’ve had w/ a bunch of growth funds in US and SEA recently👇
Some highlights:
+ SaaS public mkt multiples are, for the 1st time, ahead of private mkts; we are seeing >20x NTM rev, 30-40x ARR, pretty regularly
+ Y/Y rev growth & mkt leadership valued a lot
+ 1st check DD down from 90d to 2wks!
+ Clear post-covid narrative v. imp to raise
Before the raise 1/2:
+ Educate the market on your long-term story; PR/AR, 3rd party sources talking you up, etc. You want data points others can search & find.
+ Get customers prepped to talk and offer a few up front once the funds are looking to dig in. Why?
🤯 chat w Snowflake founding investor @laserlikemike last night - some gems: compounding effects of doing just *1* thing right over & over; 0 tolerance on ethics; look for 100x better solns* then ignore non believers; & conversational "gradient descent" to build conviction. 🙏
* as an example: snowflake could do a computational job in 2mins what took ORCL 30 days 😲. Conventional wisdom: "database is a solved problem".
On conversational 'gradient descent': Mike spoke to 300+ global DB experts to continually narrow down the problem scope in DB, TAM (entire DB market), and the technical soln. Over time when he met the snowflake founder, he knew he was (1) the best (2) got it exactly right.
We @LightspeedIndia are thrilled @Rephrase_AI is coming out of stealth. One of the smartest most iterative teams bldg AI-powered synthetic media solutions globally. Last yr, we met 3 geniuses w/ lip-sync AI; today you meet 3 geniuses w/ AI that mimics FULL FACES in 40 languages👇
.@Rephrase_AI founders @ashray_malhotra, @shivammangla09 & #NisheethLahoti are changing the way videos are created. Their generative AI can create personalized videos @ scale, w/o the cost & effort involved in video production. Think Mailchimp for videos w/ infinite variations.
Deep tech is *hard* as it is, and, on top of that, when you have to deal with Covid, you end up having to solve for customer needs by building green screens in hazmat suits! A founding team with deep pools of passion and creativity is what attracted us to @Rephrase_AI!