Share this page!

Jacob F Kirkegaard Profile picture
Twitter logo
8 Mar, 8 tweets, 8 min read
DK's vaccinationshastighed synes stagnerende - igaar 16-17k/dag. Det er imidlertid ca. det tempo man maa forvente i marts, jf. sidste uges SSI vaccine leverance update, samt annonceringen af en 100k/dag "stoerre skala test" i de kommende uger. 1 hurtig 1/n ssi.dk/aktuelt/nyhede…
model viser at ca. 16.900/dag (+ en successfuld 100k/dag test) bruger de af SSI forventede vacciner vi faar i marts og indtil paaske. No great - men bedst tilgaengelige data @mikaelmilhoj? Inden man skriger paa handling fra @Statsmin og flere DK regeringsbesoeg hos 2/n
korruptionsanklagede ledere af hoejre-ekstreme koalitionsregeringer i valgkamp i ikke-vaccine producerende lande som ISR, saa gav @vonderleyen et interessant interview til TV i Mette F's "Best friend forever" @sebastiankurz's AT soendag med nogen 3/n orf.at/stories/320437…
nye data for EU vaccine leverance - 50mn i marts og en fordobling til 100mn fra Apr og fremefter. Det skulle goere det muligt at naa EU's nuvaerende - alt for lave - vaccine maal paa 70% af 16y+ allerede i juli (forudsaettende en vis maengde J&J single shots). Man maa 4/n
spoerge sig selv om hvorfor Kommissionen ikke opdaterer sine vaccineringsmaal for 70% kun i Sep allerede nu? Et ambitioest maal burde da vaere ligesom i oevrigt i DK at straebe efter 100% i juli. Samtidigt er det dog klart at selv med ~70% af 16y+ i juli vil EU27+NO nok kunne 5/n
genaabne langt det meste af oekonomien (forudsat ingen nye "killer varianter" selvfoelgeligt) til juni/juli, eller nogenlunde samtidigt med UK/US. Med det in mente maa man saa igen spoerge sig selv om hvad @statsmin fik ud af sin tur til ISR? Investerer Bibi/Kurz i en ny 6/n
KU/Expres2ion/Bavarian DK vaccine (hverken ISR/AT laver jo megen pharma R&D selv)? Og hvorfor goer DK og en @spolitik regering det ikke selv, og giver derefter et evt. successfuldt patent til COVAX? DK soft power! Det behoever ikke at vaere saa svaert. END
@MagnusBarsoe
@ThomasBerntH
@LauritzenEuropa
@GramSwg
@OleJust2
@KarinEAxelsson
@MadsBrandstrup
@kraghclaus
@ClausVistesen
@helgejpedersen
@KennethPraefke
@mikaelmilhoj
@DavidTrads
@BosseStine
@MwiWind
@lykkefriis
@crbennike
@jakobnielsen
@LasOlsen_DB
@Jesper_Pet
@NilasHeinskou

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Jacob F Kirkegaard

Jacob F Kirkegaard Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jfkirkegaard

Jacob F Kirkegaard Profile picture
8 Mar
:-) - so time to update EU vacc data (again), since some new developments (and data) have emerged. MT still by a margin the most vacc'ing EU member, but HU has now moved into 2., ahead of DK, CY and NO. @DrAlisonSmith kindly showed me the NL dashboard 1/15 coronadashboard.government.nl/landelijk/vacc…
with Dutch data (implying I've been misreporting the nationally available Dutch weekly data by jab). "old" data from Feb 28 now included, though if you use the March 6th total# for NL of ~1.6mn, you'd get 9.2% of total pop, or a place between AT and ES. Consistent data 2/15
remains challenging. Some catchup among MS is happening, but divergence and vacc-speed remains far apart between top & bottom. Recent accelerations by HU, CY and NO show however that "convergence to the top" is possible. BG and LV similarly picked up speed in recent weeks. 3/15
Read 15 tweets
Jacob F Kirkegaard Profile picture
8 Mar
Time to Update EU vacc data, where last week saw some noticeable developments. MT still by a margin the most vacc'ing EU member, but HU has now moved into 2., ahead of DK, CY and NO. BG, LV and (remarkably) NL CR LU remain bottom. Wealth and imminent elections matters not? 1/15
Some catchup among MS is happening, but divergence and vacc-speed remains far apart between top & bottom. Recent accelerations by HU, CY and NO show however that "convergence to the top" is possible. BG and LV similarly picked up speed, though NL and LU much less so (yet?). 2/15
More information is available from some MS for vacc-deliveries in March, allowing for rudimentary forecasting of vacc-speeds here MS until end-Q1. In DK, operating with essentially zero inventory (and a 100k/day large-scale test planned), no additional vacc-acceleration from 3/15
Read 4 tweets
Jacob F Kirkegaard Profile picture
23 Feb
Updating EU vaccine data, two things stand out. 1) Good news = supply will quickly pick up now. 2) Far Less good new = no "convergence to the top" among EU MS, raising risk of lack of uniform rollout acceleration in coming weeks with higher supply. 1/11
MT remains by a margin the most efficient EU MS rollout (smallest pop MS likely benefit from lower threshold effects in supply = more vaccs/pop), followed by DK at 8.5%, high-jumper NO at 7.3% and PL at 7.2%. 2/11
At bottom BG = 1.7%, LT at 1.9%, CR at 3.5% and - remarkably for a rich (if frugal) country heading to polls soon - NL at 4.5%. LU (EU's richest member) at 4.6% shows money is not all (even if X-border worker effects play a role). 3/11
Read 12 tweets
Jacob F Kirkegaard Profile picture
17 Feb
It is increasingly clear that the EU vaccine supply problems have bottomed out and that the news will be considerably better going forward. This shifts the "vaccine delivery problem" firmly on to the EU MS, whose capacity to quickly scale up roll outs may be severely tested. 1/n
The recent good news are numerous: Today an additional delivery 200mn @BioNTech_Group/@Pfizer vaccines to the EU, incl. crucially 75mn in Q2 was announced. 2/n biontechse.gcs-web.com/news-releases/…
Yesterday @EMA_News received the application for approval of the single-jab J&J/Jannsen vaccine, expected to come during the month of March. 3/n ema.europa.eu/en/news/ema-re…
Read 12 tweets
Jacob F Kirkegaard Profile picture
25 Jan
EU vaccine deliveries appear to be slipping from both @pfizer/@BioNTech_Group and @AstraZeneca, causing supply constraints to begin to bite in more MS. Yet despite increasing vaccination speeds in some MS and the EU claiming to be distributing vaccs by population differences 1/13
between member states remain stark on Jan 25 ranging from just 0.4% of total pop vacc'ed in BG, 0.8% in NL to 3.6% in DK and 4.5% in MT, while 2. jabs range from ZERO in 9 MS to 0.34% in SN and 0.46% in DK with an EU27+NO total of 1.9% and 0.12% 2. jabs. These remain HUGE 2/13
differences in MS rollouts, highlighting that actual supply constraints are not yet binding in many MS, and that if best practices for 1.+2. jab levels from DK/MT were achieved across the EU, millions of Europeans more would be vaccinated today. Assuming a pop-weighted 3/13
Read 14 tweets
Jacob F Kirkegaard Profile picture
20 Jan
@joebiden wants 100mn Americans vaccinated in 100days - that means ~115mn or just over 1/3 of all Americans will have received at least first jab by late April. That frankly is a pretty timid and certainly NOT a moonshot, or even enough to get out of lockdowns soon enough. 1/13
@joebiden's plans though are much more ambitious than say France and @EmmanuelMacron, who outrageously just aims to vaccinate 15mn (a little more than 1/4 of pop) elderly and chronically ill before the summer. 2/13 gouvernement.fr/info-coronavir…
This suggests that the most EU countries, like France, which already lags the US in vaccinations- will continue to do so throughout the 1H of 2020 principally due to the unbelievably low level of ambition of their national vaccination programs. Only Denmark currently exceeds 3/13
Read 14 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @jfkirkegaard has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @jfkirkegaard!

Read all threads by @jfkirkegaard