0/ Beware the Ides of March: A roman history lesson or a historical lookback at $BTC price?

Normally a volatile time of year for #Bitcoin and thus far 2021 has been no exception. Here's what to expect going forward. 👇
delphidigital.io/reports/beware…
1/ #Bitcoin started off 2021 with its best performance since 2013, nearly doubling over the first seven weeks of the calendar year (+98%).

Even after the end of February sell off, $BTC recorded its 5th consecutive month of gains.
2/ As we have covered before, $BTC price tends to struggle between mid February and late March. #Bitcoin price corrected ~21% over last week of February.

Thus far, BTC seems to be following a similar playbook in 2021.
3/ BTC volatility tends to pick up in March, albeit from above average levels when compared to traditional assets.

Bitcoin is not alone in this instance, $ETH has also struggled during this time period over the past couple years.
4/ >20% price drawdowns are commonplace in crypto markets and do not change the current long term bull trends. We have no reason to believe that the peak for BTC is behind us this cycle.

Bitcoin is still outperforming every major asset class by 40-50 points YTD.
5/ Despite the increased March volatility, the $BTC end of year breakout was a strong confirmation for its uptrend.

When you zoom out on the BTCUSD long term chart, things look very promising.
6/ Over the past 6 months, #Bitcoin has been transitioning from taboo to accepted amongst institutions. This gives BTC a stronger floor in case of another violent selloff.

Another bullish point: Bitcoin fund AUM continues to soar month over month.
7/ On the other hand, Gold and precious metals are down ~9.8% YTD, their worst start in over 30 years.

$BTC is starting to get more attention as we are seeing a greater divergence in fund flows between #Bitcoin investment products and the worlds largest gold ETFs.
8/ In conclusion, we view any extreme March volatility as transitory compared to crypto’s longer-term uptrends.

Delphi Insights members will soon receive a deeper dive into the current macro backdrop and whether recent inflationary concerns are warranted or transitory.
9/ If you aren’t a member already, subscribe below: delphidigital.io/subscription-p…

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More from @Delphi_Digital

5 Jan
0/ [RESEARCH RECAP PUBLIC RELEASE]

First, a huge thank you to everyone who's supported the Delphi team this past year!

As a small token of appreciation, we’re releasing a special edition report covering some of our best work recently!

TLDR thread below:
delphidigital.io/reports/happy-…
1/ Bitcoin is King of the Hill…Again

@Kevin_Kelly_II illustrates why #bitcoin can no longer be ignored by investment managers on the back of its 2nd consecutive year outperforming just about every major asset class.

delphidigital.io/reports/bitcoi…
2/ The Bitcoin Bull Case: 2021 & Beyond

@mediodelphi's rigorous on-chain analysis paints the ideal setup for BTC while @Kevin_Kelly_II reaffirms several technical & macro tailwinds heading into 2021.

$BTC is up ~70% since the report was first published.
delphidigital.io/reports/the-bi…
Read 21 tweets
20 Dec 20
0/ Every week, we send out a free 5 min weekly recap called 🌀 The Delphi Debrief 🌀

This week we published analysis on:
🔹 Layer 2s
🔹 $MKR underperformance
🔹 @beeple sell out
🔹 Crypto Investing Frameworks
delphidigital.io/reports/layer-…
1/ Our must read for members this week was the all-encompassing L2 report that @Alex_Ged & our CTO @lukedelphi put together.

We spoke with all the top teams building these rollups + the projects leveraging them to answer all the q’s our clients may have.
delphidigital.io/reports/layer-… Image
2/ @MakerDAO is the largest DeFi protocol by TVL, with over $2.5B in collateral.

Earlier this week, @ashwath_22 took a look at the recent underperformance of $MKR vs other DeFi blue chips like $SNX $YFI $AAVE
delphidigital.io/reports/analyz…
Read 7 tweets
7 Dec 20
0/ [PUBLIC RELEASE] The Bitcoin Bull Case: 2021 & Beyond

After 1,081 days of waiting, #Bitcoin recently reached a new ATH. So what’s next?

We’re making our latest report public to provide the $BTC community with ammo 👇
delphidigital.io/reports/the-bi…
1/ It's packed w/ on-chain data, market cycle forecasts, key trading trends, and macro market analysis (thread below):

🔸 UTXO Analysis
🔸 Market Cycle Patterns & Forecasts
🔸 Supply Shortage & Exchange Balances
🔸 Price Breakout & Momentum
🔸 Correlations, Sentiment, Volatility
2/ Forecasting Market Cycles

In our inaugural #Bitcoin report (Dec ‘18) we analyzed historical holder activity to predict a $BTC price bottom by 1Q19.

$BTC hit a cycle low 5 days later, setting up its 2019 surge.
Read 18 tweets
6 Nov 20
0/ [NEW] Monthly Delphi Research Recap

A monthly digest highlighting some of our research team’s top reports and content.

Free access to the first edition here: delphidigital.io/reports/best-o…

Highlights 👇
1/ If you like what you see, we're offering a limited time discount on ALL our memberships.

Just use the code "DELPHIRECAP" at checkout to lock in a 50% discount on your 1st month OR a 20% discount on any of our annual plans!

(FYI: This won't last long!)
delphidigital.io/subscription-p…
2/ This edition includes:

🔸 Setup for #Bitcoin & key on-chain metrics $BTC
🔸 Analysis on Ethereum's evolving ecosystem $ETH
🔸 Crypto taxation
🔸 Relationship between Yearn & Curve $YFI $CRV
🔸 In-depth notes on $NXM, smart stablecoins, impact of vested rewards, & more! Image
Read 5 tweets
13 May 20
0/ We hope everyone’s enjoying our new State of #Bitcoin report!

It’s close to 60 pages, so for convenience we wanted to tweet out a few of our favorite takeaways:

Short thread below 👇👇👇
delphidigital.io/halving
1/ The current composition of the underlying holder base looks nearly identical to the one leading into the 2nd halving:

58% of holders hadn’t moved their $BTC in at least 1YR back in 2016, that # stands at 59% today

27.1% hadn’t moved their $BTC in at least 3YRS, 27.8% today
2/ Prior #bitcoin cycles tended to peak when major central bank balance sheet growth began to decelerate (albeit price history is limited).

Meanwhile, U.S. debt-to-GDP is all but guaranteed to surpass its previous WWII high (~120%).
Read 11 tweets
11 May 20
0/ The State of Bitcoin 2020

For the 3rd $BTC halving, our team wanted to arm the community with the most thorough, all-encompassing report on the current state of #Bitcoin.

Dive in here: delphidigital.io/halving
1/ This report serves as a special update to our inaugural State of Bitcoin report released back in Dec. 2018. At the time, we claimed $BTC was “easier to dismiss than understand.”

Safe to say a great deal has changed since then. Dismissing Bitcoin is no longer an option.
2/ Within The State of Bitcoin 2020, our team dives into all this and more!

🔸 Macro Backdrop
🔸 Adoption Analysis
🔸 On-Chain Trends
🔸 Exchange Flows
🔸 Upcoming Bitcoin Upgrades
🔸 Lightning Network
🔸 Contributor Pieces
Read 8 tweets

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