1/ #Bitcoin started off 2021 with its best performance since 2013, nearly doubling over the first seven weeks of the calendar year (+98%).
Even after the end of February sell off, $BTC recorded its 5th consecutive month of gains.
2/ As we have covered before, $BTC price tends to struggle between mid February and late March. #Bitcoin price corrected ~21% over last week of February.
Thus far, BTC seems to be following a similar playbook in 2021.
3/ BTC volatility tends to pick up in March, albeit from above average levels when compared to traditional assets.
Bitcoin is not alone in this instance, $ETH has also struggled during this time period over the past couple years.
4/ >20% price drawdowns are commonplace in crypto markets and do not change the current long term bull trends. We have no reason to believe that the peak for BTC is behind us this cycle.
Bitcoin is still outperforming every major asset class by 40-50 points YTD.
5/ Despite the increased March volatility, the $BTC end of year breakout was a strong confirmation for its uptrend.
When you zoom out on the BTCUSD long term chart, things look very promising.
6/ Over the past 6 months, #Bitcoin has been transitioning from taboo to accepted amongst institutions. This gives BTC a stronger floor in case of another violent selloff.
Another bullish point: Bitcoin fund AUM continues to soar month over month.
7/ On the other hand, Gold and precious metals are down ~9.8% YTD, their worst start in over 30 years.
$BTC is starting to get more attention as we are seeing a greater divergence in fund flows between #Bitcoin investment products and the worlds largest gold ETFs.
8/ In conclusion, we view any extreme March volatility as transitory compared to crypto’s longer-term uptrends.
Delphi Insights members will soon receive a deeper dive into the current macro backdrop and whether recent inflationary concerns are warranted or transitory.
@Kevin_Kelly_II illustrates why #bitcoin can no longer be ignored by investment managers on the back of its 2nd consecutive year outperforming just about every major asset class.
@mediodelphi's rigorous on-chain analysis paints the ideal setup for BTC while @Kevin_Kelly_II reaffirms several technical & macro tailwinds heading into 2021.
1/ Our must read for members this week was the all-encompassing L2 report that @Alex_Ged & our CTO @lukedelphi put together.
We spoke with all the top teams building these rollups + the projects leveraging them to answer all the q’s our clients may have. delphidigital.io/reports/layer-…
2/ @MakerDAO is the largest DeFi protocol by TVL, with over $2.5B in collateral.
1/ This report serves as a special update to our inaugural State of Bitcoin report released back in Dec. 2018. At the time, we claimed $BTC was “easier to dismiss than understand.”
Safe to say a great deal has changed since then. Dismissing Bitcoin is no longer an option.