Thread by @FLAHAULT

1/8 - Switzerland -Mar 19 to Mar 25-
#COVID19 isn't in green zone anywhere, improving (orange) in Jura, while deteriorating (red zones) in most of the 25 cantons.
Data: zh.ch/de/politik-sta…
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience

2/8 - Valais is experiencing an increase at high levels in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.08), with no expected mortality, for 7 more days.

3/8 - Geneva is experiencing a rise, at high levels, in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.14), with no expected mortality, for 7 more days.

4/8 - Vaud (Lausanne) is experiencing an increase at high levels in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.08), with high level of mortality, for 7 more days.

5/8 - Zürich is experiencing a rise in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.13), at medium levels, with medium levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

6/8 - Basel Stadt is experiencing a rapid and worrying surge in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.30), at medium to high - by early next week - levels, with no expected mortality, for 7 more days.

7/8 - Bern is experiencing an increase, at medium level, in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.06), with medium level of mortality, for 7 more days.

8/8 - Ticino is experiencing a rise, at high levels, in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.10), with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.

9/8 -
Read forecasting for other countries by following
@KristenN_06
and @elisa_manetti
A few definitions:
Safety zone: nb of forecast cases/day < 4.29/100K pop
4.3 < Medium level of epidemic activity < 20 cases/day
20 < High level < 100
Very high level > 100

10/8 -
... Definitions (cont'd):
Very low mortality: nb of forecast deaths/d < 0.05/100K pop
0.05 < Low mortality < 0.10
0.10 < Medium mortality < 0.20
0.20 < High mortality < 0.50
Very high mortality > 0.50
Alarming mortality > 1.0
Very alarming mortality > 3.0