this raises questions about internal legal advice (remember the Foreign Secretary was once an FCO lawyer) and the judgement of the permanent secretary Philip Barton - should he have asked for a direction?
The International Development Act is vague.. it looks as though its about a retrospective miss - not a plan for a "temporary" cut.. may now be tested in the courts.
Remember when the Brown govt proposed to legislate they specifically added a provision to enable them to ignore the legislated target
The problem is that even if reversed in court much of the damage is done.. swingeing cuts in Sub-Sahara.. contracts terminated; reputation damaged (including in run-up to #G7 and #COP26
the irony is that a better planned aid cut (rather than an emergency temporary one) would have offered much better VFM than this.. another issue for the perm sec to consider (he is responsible for that as well as "regularity" )
but the problem for the govt is they would have definitely had to ask Parliament's permission for a planned cut - and notwithstanding what Ben Wallace said this morning, doubtful it would pass.
so - put bluntly - what a mess - in a dept that is already struggling with an ill-planned shotgun marriage threatening what was a genuine source of soft power and internationally recognised source of strength. Aargh
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I think what this shows is a different regulatory mindset.. the German and French regulators wanted unequivocal proof AZ worked well enough in older age groups before they authorised it..
the MHRA adopted a more speculative approach and looked at the balance of risks.. was it reasonable based on the evidence they had to assume efficacy in older age groups.. they concluded as JVT said yesterday that it was...
they could also weigh that against the costs of regulator hesitancy .. far fewer people would be vaccinated if they delayed authorisation of AZ ... and good sruveillance meant that they could pick up if their assumption was confounded..
we have got a new @UKandEU set of #Brexitwitnessarchive interviews out this week - and on Wednesday our very own @hayward_katy is on a panel @instituteforgov talking about the Johnson NI protocol. so let's see how we got there... THREAD!!!!
all the Cabinet members we talked about agreed on the importance for May of not destablising Northern ireland - and her gradual realisation of the threat Brexit posed - this from @DLidington
and as he reminds us there was a pretty unbalanced view from Parliament in 2017-19 with the wipe-out of the SDLP and Sinn Fein abstentionism
.@UKandEU have just released a next wave of our #BrexitWitnessArchive - not as box office as Philip Hammond but intriguing nonetheless. a few tasters. Let me start with @GavinBarwell
That leadership contest did Theresa May no favours on Brexit. No chance to put some flesh on what her - rather than a purist Leadsom Brexit might look like
After the election, Barwell was tapped up to become Chief of Staff. Here are his tips on how to establish a connection with a notoriously buttoned up boss
we talk a lot about optimism bias as a reason govt projects go wrong-- assuming things can be delivered too quickly and at lower cost than it usually turns out .. @instituteforgov and @NAOorguk both have written on this
and optimism - and making people feel optimistic is a huge asset in politics.. whether its Boris boosterism, Obama hope/change or a Blairite new dawn
But optimism seems to have been the curse of UK politics in the past decade.. first David Cameron's assumption he could wing - and win - a referendum because guys like him just always wing and win... #effortlesssuperiority
Northcote-Trevelyan was a long time ago and things have moved on.. Rigour has been watered down - no technical assessments before promotions leads to lack of commercial skills.. but gaps in data - contract overruns
obsession with policy as theory not as impact on people.. but implementers rarely in room when policy made - but impact on the most dependent.. diversity of georgraphy and cognition needed (don't think anyone will challenge this motherhoody list)