More and more young people. Analysis of data from Brazil found “people aged 30-59 represented about 27% of #COVID19 deaths over the past 3 months or so—7% increase from pre-December numbers.” This matches the trend of many younger adults in ICUs in 🇧🇷. 🧵
cnn.com/2021/03/24/ame…
2) “And amid that (Brazil) surge, a worrying pattern has emerged—more young people seem to be getting severely ill and dying from Covid-19, doctors tell CNN.”
3) Across the country, intensive care physicians keep saying the same thing: In this latest wave, their patients are younger than ever.
"We have otherwise healthy patients that are between 30 and 50-years-old and that is the profile for the majority of patients,"
4) CNN has spoken to nearly a dozen ICU physicians and nurses since mid-January, across multiple hospitals in several Brazilian states. Each said their ICU beds are filled with more young people than ever.
5) These numbers are no joke. And ICU numbers and deaths cannot be artifacts of merely testing. People need to wake up to possibility #P1 is the culprit. Brazil’s new wave is dominated by #P1.
6) utterly failed leadership in Brazil.
7) Brazil’s Covid trajectory continues to be worrisome, especially considering the sheer size of the country of ~213 million.
8) Brazil’s situation poses a global security thread both in public health and economic instability.

We absolute must send aid to Brazil urgently.

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More from @DrEricDing

27 Mar
Let this sink in—

The more contagious #P1 variant from Brazil has now invaded N America—British Columbia🇨🇦 has a sudden cluster of 215+ new #P1 cases sequenced by one Vancouver lab.

#P1 is more contagious, has reinfection risk and possibly more severe.🧵
2) 215 identified by one lab in Vancouver — and not all even included in public reports by BC health Dept yet (they are much slower reporting than CTV news)

BC 🇨🇦 has added 20-30 daily #P1 cases per day for the last 4 days (again not including all the #P1 above)
3) And are these new #P1 cases due to international travel or were they local transmission?

The BC health Dept report few days ago said the initial 84 cases were all community transmission!! Zero international travel. This is a bad sign — so many at once and no travel. Image
Read 10 tweets
26 Mar
Gosh—just one lab has discovered a huge cluster of 215 cases of contagious #P1 variant via screening in Vancouver 🇨🇦... to put in perspective, the entire US 🇺🇸 has only 79 #P1 cases in total.

In other news—🇧🇷 suffered a record 3600+ #COVID19 deaths today.
bc.ctvnews.ca/more-cases-of-… Image
2) Did someone try to warn British Columbia 🇨🇦 yesterday?
3) Someone also tried to warn 2 days ago, if I recall.

Damnit people wake up! Studies show #P1 maybe up to 2-2.5x as contagious as old strain!
Read 5 tweets
26 Mar
Why did German Chancellor Angela Merkel warn on camera so strongly that the #B117 variant is “more severe, more infectious, infectious longer” and separately infects kids more than old strain? Because data precisely matching what was predicted. This can be any of us. #COVID19 Image
2) Merkel’s speech on the new #B117 variant: “We basically have a new pandemic. The mutation from 🇬🇧 has taken over—it is clearly more lethal, more contagious and contagious for longer."

Germany 🇩🇪 is taking it seriously. We should too.

3) #B117 & kids—i trust Angela Merkel because she’s on top of the science

"The 🇬🇧 mutant is proven to be more dangerous in children and young people so we need to put the protection of schools more front and centre than with original virus” Merkel said.
mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/id…
Read 11 tweets
26 Mar
3 feet in schools may not be enough—Osterholm said CDC 3-feet were based on data done when only the original, wild-type virus was circulating, not #B117.
"What little science supports 3 vs 6 feet goes out the window here. Is 6 feet even safe?" #COVID19 cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspecti…
2) “Europe's lessons: Open schools may close again
In Europe, where schools have been opened since the fall, some countries, have now had to close doors in light of the spread of the B117 variant. Italy, Denmark, Netherlands, Germany, have all confirmed B117 outbreaks in schools.
3) “But data on B117 and children are limited and conflicting, as the variant was only first identified in the United Kingdom in December. Non–peer-reviewed studies have shown children under 18 make up a larger share of UK B117 cases.”
Read 9 tweets
26 Mar
Brazil #P1 now invading neighbors: Paraguay Minister of Health “confirms that the Manaus, Brazil variant is already circulating in the country". ICUs in Paraguay are now maxed out—#COVID19 deaths surging.

Let this be a warning—this can all be us.
2) Don’t believe me ICU’s are maxed out? Not only are intensive care beds unavailable anymore, but medical oxygen is now seriously deficient too. All around serious situation.
abc.com.py/nacionales/202…
3) Not just Paraguay but also Uruguay deaths are rising quickly. Image
Read 6 tweets
25 Mar
Shameful—French court rules that sex with 13-year-old girl can’t be tried as rape.

Under 🇫🇷 law, sex with a minor under age 15 is considered illegal only if not consensual. Given difficulty of proving a minor was forcibly coerced, only ~1% convicted. 🤦🏻‍♂️ washingtonpost.com/world/2021/03/…
2) “France’s top court has rejected a bid to pursue rape charges against a group of firefighters accused of repeatedly raping a girl “Julie” during a period between her 13th-15th birthdays. The men will instead be charged with sexual assault, which carries a lighter sentence.
3) “Attorneys for Julie’s family plan to contest that decision and bring the case to Europe’s Court of Human Rights.
The horrific allegations in Julie’s case have galvanized protesters who want to see France institute stricter age-of-consent laws.
Read 10 tweets

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