Australia doesn't have widespread community transmission. That means the AstraZeneca vaccine could harm more people than it helps - at this point in time.
This picture could of course change, if Australia were to experience a major wave.
But what about Europe, or the Americas? A case could be made for continuing to use the vaccine, but restricting its use to older age groups, who seem less likely to experience this adverse effect.
This is now the case in France or Germany.
Would I still take the vaccine if it were offered to me?
Yes! I don't want to end up in hospital with COVID-19 or get long COVID.
At the individual level, the risks are minimal.
But at the population level, some hard, utilitarian logic must be applied if your country is in the middle of a raging pandemic.
If there are no alternative vaccines, it unfortunately makes sense to use the AZ vaccine, even if a small number of people will experience harm.
This is yet another reason why an elimination strategy makes sense.
If your country does not have widespread community transmission, you are not forced to make these difficult choices.
Instead, you can wait for alternative vaccines to become available.
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Additionally, the doctor at the centre of the Brisbane outbreak should have been vaccinated.
Currently, the greatest risk to Australia comes from overseas arrivals. We need to put a protective ring around the quarantine system, by vaccinating these Australian workers first.
Here’s a link to the infection control guidelines for Queensland.
Healthcare workers are routinely given inadequate protection - or perhaps no protection at all, if distance can be maintained!
This strikes me as hypocritical, given his own conduct.
In this study, Dr Munro said there was "no increase in death". That was so for younger adults, but not those aged >65, who had an increased risk of death from COVID-19.
(1/7) Pre-print study (interpret carefully) showing that monkeys infected with SARS-CoV-2 developed abnormal proteins in their brains (Lewy bodies) that are linked to the development of Parkinson's disease and a type of dementia.
(1/8) Study of 12 million adults in England, showing that living with children during the second wave was associated with an increased risk of testing positive or being hospitalised for #COVID19.
Why do I predict COVID-19 will become a disease of children in 2021?
In developed countries, the majority of adults should be vaccinated by the end of the year.
But children probably won’t be, and so the virus will predominantly circulate in children and adolescents.
Additionally, many countries are still not doing enough to protect schools. There may even be pressure to completely end *all* public health measures once adults are vaccinated.
Under these conditions, the virus will spread unchecked in children and adolescents.
(2/8) First up, the authors found a strong association between the amount of neutralising antibodies a vaccine induces, and its efficacy.
Pfizer-BioNTech (BNT162b2), Moderna (mRNA-1273), and Novavax (NVX-CoV2373) are in the top right corner.
(3/8) Based on the limited data for mRNA vaccines available to date, the authors estimated that the half-life for vaccine-induced antibodies (65 days) was similar to those produced by infection (58 days).