Ontario update.

#covid19ontario #COVID19 #covid19Canada #No3rdLockdown #onpoli

Ontario covid-19 cases, hospitalizations, deaths, and testing.
Ontario covid-19 cases, deaths, and testing.
Ontario - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). (Daily reported deaths divided by average daily cases over prior 28 days.)
Ontario Fall/Winter season.
Weekly all-cause deaths and deaths with/from Covid-19 in Ontario, including % of deaths attributed to Covid-19. (Subject to reporting delay for all-cause deaths.)
Note: Covid-19 is often not a wholly distinct and separate cause of death as there are other medical conditions involved in many cases.

There are also cases in which it is not even a cause of death, but the individual had tested positive sometime prior to their death.
Ontario total weekly deaths Jan 2010-Nov 2020.
Covid-19 deaths per million by age cohort and for long-term care residents.
The 80+ age cohort accounts for 52% of all-cause deaths in Ontario and 67% of deaths from or with Covid-19, but only 4% of the population.
Daily new hospitalizations and cumulative case hospitalization rate (cumulative reported hospitalizations divided by cumulative cases.)
The number of hospitalizations linked to covid-19 in Ontario relative to historical benchmark levels for influenza and pneumonia.
A note on hospitalization data: This may include those who have had a positive test result after being hospitalized for a different reason.
The silver lining of mass PCR testing: a falling CFR.

Ontario – Cumulative case fatality rate (CFR). The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). (Cumulative reported deaths divided by cumulative cases.)
Ontario – Case survival rates (= 100% - case fatality rate) by age.

(True survival rates based on IFR would be significantly higher.)

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More from @Milhouse_Van_Ho

1 Apr
The number of deaths from all causes in 2019 vs. number of deaths from or with Covid-19 in 2020-21. Image
The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.

Deaths among those over 80 account for 69% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 51% of all deaths (all causes) in 2019. Image
Canada – Case survival rates (= 100% - case fatality rate) by age.

(True survival rates based on IFR would be significantly higher.) Image
Read 16 tweets
1 Apr
I won't advocate it, mainly because I don't want to lose the platform, but yes, this may be an inevitable outcome.
The longer this goes on the less likely it is that the situation will remain peaceful. People can only be pushed so far. This may tear us apart even more and further polarize society.
I imagine something along the lines of 1968 but without the popular folk heros. The state and media will collude and go to any length to discredit those who fight back. They'll be branded as something close to terrorists. Public support will splinter.
Read 4 tweets
31 Mar
Important data to consider for Ontario before implementing another destructive lockdown (not that the last two have ever been fully lifted):

#No3rdLockdown #onpoli @fordnation @celliottability

1. ICUs aren't full. Ontario's largest city is at 80% (Green: below target of 90%)
2. ICUs aren't maxed out and have never been maxed out during covid. Additionally, most ICU patients don't have covid - there are other health matters that regularly drive people to the ICU. (And don't forget that lockdowns worsen human health.)

howsmyflattening.ca
3. No data suggesting that hospitals are under more pressure than in every other year due to flu and pneumonia.

kflaphi.ca/aces-pandemic-…
Read 5 tweets
31 Mar
Ontario and Québec trend comparison.

Cases (indexed to August 1 values):
Hospitalizations (indexed to August 1 values):
Deaths (indexed to August 1 values):
Read 6 tweets
31 Mar
Mise à jour du Québec

#covid19Qc #covid19canada #COVID19

Nombre total de cas, de décès, et d’hospitalisations en cours liés à Covid-19 au Québec.
Nombre total de cas et de décès liés à Covid-19 au Québec.
La proportion de cas entraînant la mort (décès enregistrés par jour / cas quotidiens moyens au cours des 28 derniers jours) (ligne jaune).
Read 8 tweets

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