Important data to consider for Ontario before implementing another destructive lockdown (not that the last two have ever been fully lifted):

#No3rdLockdown #onpoli @fordnation @celliottability

1. ICUs aren't full. Ontario's largest city is at 80% (Green: below target of 90%)
2. ICUs aren't maxed out and have never been maxed out during covid. Additionally, most ICU patients don't have covid - there are other health matters that regularly drive people to the ICU. (And don't forget that lockdowns worsen human health.)

howsmyflattening.ca
3. No data suggesting that hospitals are under more pressure than in every other year due to flu and pneumonia.

kflaphi.ca/aces-pandemic-…
4. Covid hospitalizations seem to be substituting for annual influenza and pneumonia hospitalizations and following a seasonal pattern independent of government interventions.

5. Ontario's hospital system is regularly overcrowded at this time of year. Blame the system and its leaders, not the people. How is locking down supposed to compensate for these political and administrative failures?

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More from @Milhouse_Van_Ho

1 Apr
The number of deaths from all causes in 2019 vs. number of deaths from or with Covid-19 in 2020-21. Image
The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.

Deaths among those over 80 account for 69% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 51% of all deaths (all causes) in 2019. Image
Canada – Case survival rates (= 100% - case fatality rate) by age.

(True survival rates based on IFR would be significantly higher.) Image
Read 16 tweets
1 Apr
I won't advocate it, mainly because I don't want to lose the platform, but yes, this may be an inevitable outcome.
The longer this goes on the less likely it is that the situation will remain peaceful. People can only be pushed so far. This may tear us apart even more and further polarize society.
I imagine something along the lines of 1968 but without the popular folk heros. The state and media will collude and go to any length to discredit those who fight back. They'll be branded as something close to terrorists. Public support will splinter.
Read 4 tweets
31 Mar
Ontario and Québec trend comparison.

Cases (indexed to August 1 values):
Hospitalizations (indexed to August 1 values):
Deaths (indexed to August 1 values):
Read 6 tweets
31 Mar
Mise à jour du Québec

#covid19Qc #covid19canada #COVID19

Nombre total de cas, de décès, et d’hospitalisations en cours liés à Covid-19 au Québec.
Nombre total de cas et de décès liés à Covid-19 au Québec.
La proportion de cas entraînant la mort (décès enregistrés par jour / cas quotidiens moyens au cours des 28 derniers jours) (ligne jaune).
Read 8 tweets
31 Mar
Ontario update.

#covid19ontario #COVID19 #covid19Canada #No3rdLockdown #onpoli

Ontario covid-19 cases, hospitalizations, deaths, and testing.
Ontario covid-19 cases, deaths, and testing.
Ontario - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). (Daily reported deaths divided by average daily cases over prior 28 days.)
Read 15 tweets

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