Meanwhile, *MISSOURI* Republicans ALSO just told their own residents to fuck off even AFTER Medicaid expansion was BAKED INTO THE STATE CONSTITUTION by the voters last year: acasignups.net/21/03/26/misso…
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
1. MILLIONS WHO DIDN'T QUALIFY FOR FINANCIAL HELP BEFORE DO NOW...AND IT COULD SAVE YOU *THOUSANDS* OF DOLLARS!
(and those who already qualified now qualify for *more* help!)
This table shows the financial help sliding scale under the #ACA (which cuts off help for middle-class enrollees)...and under the #AmRescuePlan, which covers 100% of the premiums for millions of people & caps them at no more than 8.5% *EVEN FOR MIDDLE-CLASS AMERICANS*:
This is a long, wonky post, but it also includes the simplest explanation I could give of how #SilverLoading works and why a lot of people were eligible for $0 premium Bronze or *Gold* plans even before the #AmRescuePlan expanded them further.
In short: Here's some sample 2017 Bronze, Silver & Gold premium & enrollment data. Let's say 2018 medical trend went up 5%. Meanwhile, let's say 1/2 the enrollees received CSR help averaging $2,400 apiece.
That's $120M in CSR reimbursements owed to the carriers from the feds.
In late 2017, Donald Trump cuts off CSR reimbursements, figuring this will cause millions of low-income enrollees to lose their subsidies *or* for all the carriers to drop out of the ACA market (causing it to "blow up" and "collapse"), or both, to avoid eating a $120M loss.
As @selenasd just noted, and @KrutikaAmin reiterated, the only *official* COVID SEP enrollment tally from HCgov is 206K as of 2/28...plus scattershot data from a handful of state-based ACA exchanges.
My estimates suggest the national total was around 260K as of 2/28...
...or an average of ~18.5K per day. *IF* that pace has held true since 2/28, the national tally would be around 684,000 as of yesterday.
HOWEVER...since 2/28, the #AmRescuePlan passed the House, the Senate, the House again & was signed by President Biden on 3/12!
Actually, since Wyoming hasn’t expanded Medicaid, the only way this claim could be true is if the family in question saw their income go over *400* FPL, making them ineligible for ACA subsidies BEFORE the ARP was signed.
If that’s what happened, then: 1. Medicaid expansion is irrelevant to them anyway; 2. They’re the opposite of poverty-stricken; 3. The ARP solves that problem as well.
(NOTE: Earlier I questioned where @MehdirHasan got his $35B figure. That's been answered reasonably, but it also creates a *different* mystery: @USCBO says $22.8B. @JCTGov says $35.0B. Which is right, and why would they differ when they collaborated on the same score??)
Having said that, even w/JCT est. of $35B, @MehdirHasan still claimed it'd only cover "2M people for 6 mo" which would be $17.5K/6 mo or $35K/yr apiece.
Problem? The House version estimated *3M*, not 2, and the *Senate* version would cover FAR MORE people (thus the higher cost).
.@mehdirhasan is a great interviewer and is often dead-on target, but he (like so many others in the news media) MASSIVELY overstated the cost per enrollee of the #AmRescuePlan's COBRA subsidies last night (I'm still working on the post but this is key): acasignups.net/21/03/24/why-d…
Hasan claimed that the #ARP will spend $35B to cover "around 2 million" COBRA enrollees for 6 months.
$35B / 2.0M = $17,500 apiece. For 6 months.
If true, this would indeed be a massive waste of money, since employer policy premiums average ~$7,500 per *YEAR* per enrollee.
On the upside, claiming COBRA costs $35K/year is a lot better than claiming it costs $80K/year, I suppose. He only overstated the cost by 5.6x instead of 10.6, so I guess that's progress... acasignups.net/21/03/17/updat…