The problem with $ETH is that the more users there are, the slower and more expensive it gets. ETH's continued dominance as the de-facto smart contract layer depends on its ability to scale.
Let me ELI5 the scaling solutions & projects. 1/
@ethereum Power users: Even if you don't know about ZK-Rollups, Sharding, or Plasma, the future of the most active blockchain depends on it. @VitalikButerin has been thinking about it for 7 years 2/
Scaling is a priority for ETH. Miners have been cashing in, seeing a 50% increase in revenues compared to the highs of 2017.
For users, ETH can be prohibitively expensive. This has been terrific for competitors like #BSC, $SOL and $DOT 3/
There are 2 types of scaling solutions: Layer 1 (onchain, everything on ETH) and Layer 2 (data and computation done offchain). The different types are 1. State Channels 2. Plasma / Childchains 3. Sidechains 4. Rollups 5. Validium 6. Sharding (part of ETH2)
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State Channels: allow users to transact many times off-chain while only submitting two transactions to the Ethereum network -one at the time of opening and one at the time of closing the channel.
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Sidechains: are a separate blockchain running alongside and communicating with Ethereum. It’s connected to Ethereum using a peg with another token, creating a two-way bridge.
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Rollups allow thousands of transactions to be bundled in a single Rollup block.
Sharding simply means a network can be split into many rails to process transactions in parallel. There are also no deposits or funds staked in shards, as it’s part of the mainchain
9/11
ETH is migrating to ETH2.0, as complex as sailing a boat while trying to build a new boat attached to it.
Importantly, it's moving from PoW to PoS. Here's how they compare:
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While Ethereum is working towards ETH2, projects are concurrently offering a hybrid of technologies to provide the best scaling solutions.
Composability and network effects will create a multiper effect on scaling.
Su-Kyle saying they’re arb traders in a black-swan event, hunted by FTX, is the same as SBF saying there was a bank run.
Lest we forget, here’s a recap of what 3AC did 👇🏼
🔫3AC didn’t arb. They were levered long, even post $LUNA crash. No short positions
🔫They commingled and lost third party funds, including project treasuries
🔫Su and Kyle’s wife claimed $71m as creditors *based on self-attestations*
🔫Wrote a 1-liner note, lying about how they had $2.387B
🔫Promised the same collateral to multiple lenders, and offered up collateral that wasn’t fully theirs
🔫They ghosted creditors and liquidators
Evergrande FUD: What the China property market really looks like, what the CCP does and how it impacts #crypto. Let's deal with facts.
1st we look at the sector and how leverage compares among the top 30 stocks. #Evergrande isn't even at the top
There are ~30 *major* China property companies. Guangzhou R&F has the most leverage. Actually, of the China government's 3 "red lines", G R&F is the worst off.
These are the CCP's policies. Evergrande can *still* increase debt by +5%
How did Evergrande get into this position? Due to my former life as a equities PM, I've been investing in China property for 13 years.
Evergrande diversified into non-core businesses, like healthcare, water, sports, tech. They've had the among the higest debt for *many* years.
What metrics are the most valuable as a price catalyst?
As DeFi hits bearish times, memes are giving way to fundamental analysis. Some data points are useless as a price signal (like TVL).
First, why is TVL useless as a price signal?
+ TVL tracks capital -- which is mercenary and temporary
+ Not all capital is equal -- @Uniswap V3 is more efficient than V2
+ It's the max extractable value. In a selldown, investors care about downside protection, not max values
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How do we know a metric matters as a price signal?
Correlation will be high and price impact is orderly. We can deduce that "Active Users" is a relevant data point to track 3/6
MEV (Miner Extractable Value) seems like such a complex attack that traders ignore it. But there's too much at stake though. Let me ELI5: 1. What is MEV? 2. How big of a deal is it? 3. How can you avoid it or profit?
h/t @defin00b@bertcmiller
1. What is MEV? It's the additional profit a miner can get by re-ordering, including or excluding transactions from the blocks they are in charge of producing.
While winning a block is fair, the winning producer gets to play God for 1 block... and reap excess profits
2. Is it a big deal? They've made $235 million in the past month. For example, when you set a 0.5% slippage tolerance on @Uniswap, bots are likely creaming off the top
$KSM is up +25% today. How do you follow the Crowdloan race for #Kusama?
$150 million was raised in 1 day. Polkadot forces projects to generate a community from Day 0, instead of relying just on VCs.
2) "Ending": There are 5 consecutive one-week auctions, 1 per week. If the project doesn't win in 43 days, then the $KSM is return to the community automatically. There will be a pause to stablized the network or even start @Polkadot's auctions
3) "Cap": Needs to be high enough to attract a sizeable community and provide sufficient rewards. For example, @AcalaNetwork is setting aside 20% of their tokens for the crowdloan @ 1.5M $KSM cap.
Macro Update: The crypto selldown of the past couple weeks has seen the most amount of value wiped out. Crypto investors underrated the Fed's statements because we've largely been dancing to our own tune the past 10 years. This formula doesn't work anymore 1/
But with institutional adoption, we now need to pay attention to cross-asset flows. #Bitcoin is viewed as a risk-on, growth asset, at the extreme end of the risk spectrum.
The Fed said that it was only thinking-about, thinking-about tapering. #Bitcoin and risk-assets love quantitative easing and egregious money printing. It hates quant tapering and tightening belts.
3/