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2 Apr, 17 tweets, 5 min read
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 2

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,683,615 (-271,539)

- Cases: 65,599 (-7,631)

- Deaths: 944 (-461)

- Currently Hospitalized: 37,311 (+108)

- Currently in ICU: 7,050 (-29)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Before popping the cork at seeing those large minus signs in key metrics, please read my thread from earlier today (quoted). As if on cue, a few states that normally report on Fridays didn’t report at all. Others likely reported less-than-complete data.
Of course, some states report more consistently through holidays and weekends than others. The point is, it’s grain-of-salt time with case/test/death reporting data for a little while. Best to watch hospitalizations& ICU numbers for more accurate trend data.
Here’s today’s vaccine update. I feel like the fact that we’re at 2.99M was personally directed at me for consistently looking for that round 3M/week average. We’ll get there soon!
Later dinner for date night tonight, so I guess I’ll do the regionals too. Give me a few minutes. Please, please, please (please?) keep in mind everything I’ve said above about holiday reporting inconsistencies.

In the meantime, Happy Good Friday, folks:
MICHIGAN
TEXAS
CALIFORNIA
FLORIDA
SOUTHEAST
(AL, AR, GA, KY, LA, MS, NC, SC, TN)
SOUTHWEST
(AZ, NM, NV, OK, UT)
PACIFIC NORTHWEST/ROCKIES
(CO, ID, MT, OR, WA, WY)
GREAT PLAINS
(IA, KS, MN, MO, ND, NE, SD)
GREAT LAKES
(IL, IN, OH, WI)
*Removed MI from trend data, but peaks still include MI data
MID-ATLANTIC
(DC, DE, MD, PA, VA, WV)
NORTHEAST
(CT, MA, ME, NH, NJ, NY, RI, VT)

• • •

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More from @TheLawyerCraig

Craig Profile picture
3 Apr
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 3

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES Image
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,620,530 (+90,643)

- Cases: 66,023 (+9,090)

- Deaths: 758 (-57)

- Currently Hospitalized: 36,913 (-398)

- Currently in ICU: 7,003 (-47)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
As I said last night, we’re looking at volatility for a little while (see quoted thread). And this isn’t just a holiday thing, but a Sat-Mon thing going forward. States’ weekend reporting has become spotty and inconsistent.
Read 12 tweets
Craig Profile picture
2 Apr
For those who follow my daily #Covid19 data updates, it's time for another period of likely volatility based on holiday reporting. Based on past holidays, here's what should happen:

(Thread)
Starting as early as today, reported numbers for tests, cases, and deaths will likely be lower than they would otherwise have been without a holiday.

This does *not* necessarily mean that (1) they will drop, or (2) every state/region will see the same amount of volatility.
This artificial deflation will likely continue through ~Tuesday of next week.

Then, the opposite happens! For 3-4 days, states generally report their current "pipeline" numbers PLUS any backlog numbers. We should see that from ~Wed-Sat of next week.
Read 7 tweets
Craig Profile picture
1 Apr
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – APRIL 1

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES Image
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,824,684 (+174,702)

- Cases: 73,006 (+10,373)

- Deaths: 1,020 (-239)

- Currently Hospitalized: 37,203 (-190)

- Currently in ICU: 7,079 (-86)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Average reported daily deaths fell below 900 today for the first time since 11/5. And they’re likely even lower. MI added 33 matching deaths today. WV had about the same yesterday. And look CA’s dates for the 154 reported today:
Read 18 tweets
Craig Profile picture
26 Mar
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – MARCH 26

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,955,154 (+115,523)

- Cases: 73,230 (+11,036)

- Deaths: 1,405 (+84)

- Currently Hospitalized: 35,969 (+40)

- Currently in ICU: 6,936 (-47)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Big jump in cases from last Friday to this (and a fairly large jump in tests too). Today wraps up our first plateau/mini-rise week since we started down in late-ish January. The Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Great Lakes have generally led the rise, with Michigan on a rocket ship.
Read 6 tweets
Craig Profile picture
26 Mar
The regional trends in #COVID19 metrics seem to pretty clearly have a geographical or climatological tie. The states in RED have the largest recent percentage increase in positive testing %. The states in GREEN have the largest percentage decrease.
Here's the same map, but for improvement in current hospitalizations (as a % increase/decrease). Again, RED is least improvement (or in some cases, increasing numbers). GREEN is most improvement.
One positive note: only 4 states showed current hospitalizations higher as of yesterday's data than they did on March 5, so most of the RED states above are still showing declines.
Read 4 tweets
Craig Profile picture
26 Mar
#COVID19 UPDATE THREAD – MARCH 25

All graphics are 7-day averages. Today’s raw reporting for each metric is in the tweet below.

(Data retrieved directly from state dashboards. Not every state updates its numbers daily.)

UNITED STATES
Today’s raw reported metrics:

- Tests: 1,649,982 (-98,511)

- Cases: 62,633 (+276)

- Deaths: 1,259 (+57)

- Currently Hospitalized: 35,929 (-179)

- Currently in ICU: 6,983 (+32)

(+/- compared to same day last week for Tests/Cases/Deaths & yesterday for Hosp/ICU)
Fairly low movement today in the national numbers, though that masks what continues to be varied regional trends. I’m already looking forward to next week though—curious as to whether our plateau/mini-rise starts to bend back downwards or hangs around a while longer.
Read 16 tweets

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