My message on Kerala Battlefield - 2

This is a quick message before the polls. Will try to share my analysis in a few days.

During my discussion in Jaipur Dialogues a few months ago, I had speculated LDF win. Still see this the most probable scenario.

Kerala voters who support BJP show two clear trends:

1. Vote congress in a bid to keep LDF out
2. Vote for a winning party as BJP never had 'winning' image

We must stop this because this election is different.

No matter if you vote for Congress or BJP, LDF is likely to win
We are in a good situation now.

If LDF comes back to power, then in 5 years, BJP can grow as the main opposition and can go into 2026 elections as a winning party.

If UDF comes to power now, BJP will not only not have their voice strong in the assembly, but will be lost in the
noise of LDF in opposition. So, instead of trying to 'vote someone out', do vote for BJP to show it's real strength.

To help BJP consolidate it's position, we need 65% Hindus, 10% Christians and as much Muslim votes as possible.

If we start scoring now, we have a chance.
Else, we will not only have to endure another corrupt congress era, but at the end of it will have to endure the new LDF for another 5 years.

You must know that it makes no difference to SoGa if UDF or LDF wins. She prefers LDF as I have said many times before.
Congress today is worse than the communists. You have heard @mohandastg sir talking about this.

Your last Hindu CM from UDF ever would be KK.

Let BJP consolidate and strengthen it's position as main opposition in the next 5 years. Let Kerala be ruled by LDF or UDF meanwhile.
. @surendranbjp is the best leader BJP Keralam could hope for. So, support his mission, get as many votes for BJP as possible.

Spread the message on BJP's growth, and ask not to waste votes to stop LDF.

Don't try to be the king makers. Stand with the King - @narendramodi

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More from @BaluSreevidya

4 Apr
My Notes on Tamil Nadu Battlefield Part 5

This is a quick note. I normally do not indulge in poll speculations, but this time, I want to say with reasonable conviction that @AIADMKOfficial (NDA) will come back to power on May 2.

I just watched @KolahalasTV which referred to a
poll analysis published by @DemNetworkIndia predicting a clean win for NDA.

I support this analysis for the following reasons:

1. Stalin has done a stellar job since 2016, the election he had led from the front opposing JJ. Till date he has shown consistency with allies,
Kept his cadres energised, invested heavily in Social Media engineering.

To this end, support of 32 channels owned by his relatives and party helped.

2. However, losing Sunil Kanugolu put Stalin in great fear, and following his S-I-L Sabareesan, he hired PKP, which in fact
Read 17 tweets
31 Jan
My Notes on Democracy Part 1


DlS5ENT is allowed in a democracy. Any democratic leader or government will uphold - and MUST uphold its citizens's right to DlS5ENT.

This thread analyses the recent Indian experience.
Some years ago, a western country displayed a movie on India in their visitor centre. Showed @Narendramodi the then Gujarat CM as a devil incarnate drinking the blood of MU5LlM.

A tough battle with the authorities resulted in taking down this video.
Lesson - this obscure country which Modi never visited till date has little to do with Indian politics. Yet, there is this need to stop Modi in his tracks of becoming the future PM by smearing him.

Most of you may have noticed Modi as a potential PM in the last decade.
Read 25 tweets
30 Dec 20
My Notes on Tamil Nadu Battle Field – Part 3


My short thread on RK was focusing on the challenges RK will face. Key points.

1. I said that if Rajini couldn’t enter the “Rajini” style, hen he won’t enter at all. His announcement yesterday reflects it.
2. His followers are not united by a cause or ideology but by the mutual attraction towards a hero.

This will cause issues going forward as their bond will have to be a continuous guidance and inspiration from their leader who couldn't spare that energy or time due to his health
I had predicted in my first thread in November that Rajini won't form a third front.

So, when RK announced his political entry, I was surprised for two reasons:

1. when he announced his entry in 2017 there was a political vacuum in Tamil Nadu.
Read 34 tweets
22 Dec 20
My notes on Kerala battle ground Part 1.


It will go through all the excruciating experiences minus the torture of TMC. Eventually lotus will bloom in every pond in Kerala.

Do you think the Communists didn't learn anything from Bengal?
Well, they did.

The early learning dawned on the Communists a decade ago is what Mamta's R0hingya experiments today are.

Communists learnt that they can prolong their existence for a time if they allowed a similar yet rising prophetic and m!L!t4nt outfit work with them.
It's almost like a relay race. The one that has run and is finishing handing over the baton to the new runner.

SDPl is the new runner in Kerala.

Mu5l!m League controls Congress and SDPl controls Communists.

Either way, Kerala is getting ready for l5l4m!c rule.
Read 18 tweets
15 Dec 20

I have tried to answer many questions individually through DM, but looks like it's better to do a thread and post it publicly.

This thread only looks at TN Politics through Rajini's entry angle. Will do a detailed post on the whole of TN pitch later.
Rajini's political entry can be analysed from 4 angles.

1. Why is he in Politics?
2. What will be his strengths?
3. How will the pitch change?
4. What will be his challenges?

Thread 1 - Why is Rajini in Politics and What are his strengths?
1. Why is Rajini in politics?

24 years ago, when he first considered politics, TN was a nasty scene with both Dravidian parties neck deep in corruption.

That was the first time Rajini openly participated in the political process, voicing against the corrupt regime of JJ.
Read 24 tweets
14 Dec 20

Counting is on 16 December.

Kerala's results for BJP will give sleepless nights for the conjoined Congress-Communist twins.


1. Like last time, RSS - which is the strongest in Kerala - played a key role on the ground

2. Good work at Booth level work, focus on critical mass for candidates, issue based approach for wards

3. Last time, BJP ate into Congress bastions, this time it will ALSO eat into Communist bastions

4. BJP has fielded 500 Xs and 112 Muslim candidates, a clear ward strategy
5. The struggles led by @surendranbjp have brought unexpected support from women who came to the streets to protest against the corrupt Communist government.

This is a clear signal of change in BJP's favour.
Read 4 tweets

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