This is a quick note. I normally do not indulge in poll speculations, but this time, I want to say with reasonable conviction that @AIADMKOfficial (NDA) will come back to power on May 2.
MANUFACTURING Dl55ENT AND MODI'S RESPONSE - AN ANALYSIS
DlS5ENT is allowed in a democracy. Any democratic leader or government will uphold - and MUST uphold its citizens's right to DlS5ENT.
This thread analyses the recent Indian experience.
Some years ago, a western country displayed a movie on India in their visitor centre. Showed @Narendramodi the then Gujarat CM as a devil incarnate drinking the blood of MU5LlM.
A tough battle with the authorities resulted in taking down this video.
Lesson - this obscure country which Modi never visited till date has little to do with Indian politics. Yet, there is this need to stop Modi in his tracks of becoming the future PM by smearing him.
Most of you may have noticed Modi as a potential PM in the last decade.
My short thread on RK was focusing on the challenges RK will face. Key points.
1. I said that if Rajini couldn’t enter the “Rajini” style, hen he won’t enter at all. His announcement yesterday reflects it.
2. His followers are not united by a cause or ideology but by the mutual attraction towards a hero.
This will cause issues going forward as their bond will have to be a continuous guidance and inspiration from their leader who couldn't spare that energy or time due to his health
I had predicted in my first thread in November that Rajini won't form a third front.
So, when RK announced his political entry, I was surprised for two reasons:
1. when he announced his entry in 2017 there was a political vacuum in Tamil Nadu.
Kerala's results for BJP will give sleepless nights for the conjoined Congress-Communist twins.
How?
1. Like last time, RSS - which is the strongest in Kerala - played a key role on the ground
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2. Good work at Booth level work, focus on critical mass for candidates, issue based approach for wards
3. Last time, BJP ate into Congress bastions, this time it will ALSO eat into Communist bastions
4. BJP has fielded 500 Xs and 112 Muslim candidates, a clear ward strategy
5. The struggles led by @surendranbjp have brought unexpected support from women who came to the streets to protest against the corrupt Communist government.