Thread by @sumlenny

Two Russian Northern Fleet major landing vessels of 775 project have entered the Black Sea. Each 775-project vessel can carry 10 tanks and 340 soldiers. In addition to 6 minor landing vessels from Caspian Fleet (each 100 soldiers) this is VERY dangerous.
interfax.ru/world/761787

In addition to its automatic guns, anti-air guns and anti-air missiles, each 775 vessel carries 2x725-Grad launchers capable to shot 80 122-mm rockets at once for up to 20 km.

So up to date Russia has brought to the Black Sea 17 additional naval vessels, incl. 8 landing vessels (can carry 1280 soldiers, 20 tanks) and 9 gun boats and rocket artillery boats. At the same time, the U.S. "deescalates" and stops its 2 destroyers from entering the Black Sea.

@ViolavonCramon @SLagodinsky @nouripour @ManuelSarrazin @fuecks @MarieluiseBeck @RebHarms @edthedrive_in @meistefan1 @stephanbischoff @RobertEverhartz

In addition, Russia has confirmed that it has brought 50 fighter planes Su-27SM and Su-30SM, bomber planes Su-24M and Su-34 and close air support planes Su-25SM3 from Stavropol region to Crimea.

I wonder what comes next. Landing vessels in the Black sea are only useful for a landing in Odesa-Mykolaiv bridgehead. But capturing this area makes no strategic sense without capturing the whole northern shore of the Sea of Azov (Mariupol-Berdyansk-Crimea). Which would be bloody

So after all, I still stick to my idea that the troops build-up is a huge (HUGE) bluff, in order to get water to Crimea and to destabilize Ukraine (the next second Ukraine gives water to Crimea Zelensky loses the last remains of his popular support).

But as we deal with the situation as all the decision are taken by one pretty delusional man with his phantasies about world control and nuclear apocalypse, we may not exclude any option. The argument "but this makes no sense!" has never worked with Kremlin and will never work.