@anacascao It looks as if the West African Monsoon is having an unusually strong year. Historically much of the Sahara was forested until 5000 years ago.
It's possible monsoon like conditions are spreading north into the ME - where it also used to be less arid.
It's possible monsoon like conditions are spreading north into the ME - where it also used to be less arid.
@anacascao Computer modelling based on physics also predict all this.
@anacascao For the #GERD the implications are massive. This year the white Nile is already having a massive year. The little rainy season has started in Ethiopia and forecasts consistently show good rainfall for 10-16 days ahead.
@anacascao Current forecasts are also showing a fair bit of rain in Sudan and Egypt along the western coast of the Red Sea deep into the desert. It remains to be seen whether those are ghosts in the supercomputer models, but its plausible, based on what is happening in Saudi Arabia.
@anacascao If the patterns we are seeing now hold through to July then its possible there will be plenty of additional rain to fill the dam ahead of schedule. And in doing so to potentially protect Sudan and Egypt from flood damage.
@anacascao @threadreaderapp unroll please.
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