Thread by @althecat

Update on weather drama from yesterday.

The weather models now appear confused.

Europe may now have a very wet final 2 weeks of Spring, rather than a very cold one. Question is, how wet? Catastrophically so... or just wet wet. threadreaderapp.com/thread/1384500…

https://twitter.com/anacascao/status/1384185100590481411

The question posed by the burst of high energy West Africa Monsoon air on Friday which broke the @ECMWF yesterday and surprised the @NOAA GFS today is not related to the actual weather itself.

For 8000 years from 12000 BC to 3000 BC this was normal & Europe didn’t drown. /2

The question posed by this relates to climate change.

The transit of moisture across the Sahara may be a rare event, or it may be the new normal with a stronger WMA. Time will tell. And the weather models will learn.

But it is clear the weather is changing.

The storms in the Middle East last week, the consequences of this burst of West African Monsoon air and floods in the Nile, the Niger and other African rivers herald massive changes to environments which are home to 100s of millions of people.

This curious failure in forecasting illustrates just how connected we all are.

The cascading effects of a strengthening WAM on the weather in the US (cyclones), Europe (breaking the @ECMWF ) and the ME (storms) are now apparent. threadreaderapp.com/thread/1384469…