Daily Kos Elections is pleased to present the first installment in our project to calculate the results of the 2020 presidential election for the nation’s 6,766 legislative districts, starting with New Hampshire! dailykos.com/stories/2021/4…
Joe Biden carried New Hampshire 53-45 and won districts representing 232/400 state House members, but the GOP flipped the chamber and took a 213-187 majority.
One big reason for Team Red's legislative win likely involves #NHGOV Chris Sununu, who won 64-34 and carried an extraordinary 366/400 House seats.
Altogether, 198/400 NH House seats backed Biden and Sununu, and they elected 148 Democrats and 50 Republicans. The GOP holds 163/168 of Trump/Sununu seats, while the 34 Biden/Feltes districts are in Dem hands.
The story was very similar in the NH Senate, which went from 14-10 Dem to 14-10 GOP. Biden won 16/24 seats, but 6 Rs hold Biden districts.
Sununu carried 22/24 NH Senate seats. as well.
The upcoming round of redistricting will change the maps in NH and everywhere else, but there's a big lesson here: Just because a seat backed Biden does not mean it will favor downballot Dems.
We also calculated the 2020 #NHGOV results by CD, and no surprise, Sununu carried both seats even though they each backed Biden.
You can find a whole lot more from New Hampshire at our post here dailykos.com/stories/2021/4…
We’ll be publishing data for new states on a rolling basis. To keep up with each release, subscribe to our free daily newsletter, the Morning Digest. dailykos.com/morningdigest
You can find links to our district-level spreadsheets for New Hampshire and every other state at this bookmarkable permalink. dailykos.com/stories/2013/0…

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More from @DKElections

20 Apr
Our comprehensive first quarter fundraising roundups are here! We've included every incumbent (except those retiring) and any notable announced or potential challengers. First up is the House dailykos.com/stories/2021/4…
And here's the Senate dailykos.com/stories/2021/4…
And if you want to play around with all of our fundraising data, you can download a copy of our spreadsheet right here (note that there are two separate tabs, one for each chamber) docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Read 4 tweets
19 Feb
BIG NEWS: We're excited to announce that with the release of Pennsylvania, Daily Kos Elections now has the 2020 presidential results complete for all 435 congressional districts in America! dailykos.com/stories/2021/2…
With PA complete, we now know that Biden carried 224 congressional districts while Donald Trump prevailed in 211. You can find the results for each seat here dailykos.com/stories/2012/1…
Seven Democrats hold seats that Trump won while nine Republicans represents districts that went for Biden. PA is the one state home to both a “Biden-Republican” and a “Trump-Democrat." #PA01 #PA08
Read 14 tweets
6 Jan
Polls have closed in Georgia, and we'll be liveblogging the results and tweeting here! dailykos.com/stories/2021/1…
You'll want to have this bookmarked: Our county benchmarks, which will give us an idea if each candidate is getting the numbers they need. dailykos.com/stories/2021/1…
Getting our first few hundred votes. As always: Friends don't let friends over-interpret small numbers of votes.
Read 54 tweets
14 Dec 20
We've got a big one for ya—real big: 2020 presidential results for all 53 of California's congressional districts! dkel.ec/383yVVJ
Three of the most interesting results came in seats Dems won in '18 but the GOP flipped in '20: #CA21, #CA25, and #CA39. Republicans won all three by about 1 pt, but Biden carried each district by around 10 pts, suggesting a lot of ticket-splitting
That wasn't the case in the GOP's fourth flip, #CA48, which Biden carried by 2 but Republican Michelle Steel won by 2. Still an overperformance, but not as dramatic. Both parties will want to study these races to understand the crossover vote
Read 6 tweets
3 Jun 20
19% of precincts reporting (all in Luzerne County) in #PA08 GOP primary to take on Dem Rep. Matt Cartwright. Former Trump admin official Jim Bognet leads 43-19
16% of precincts reporting in #PA01 Dem primary to take on Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, and Christina Finello leads 76-24. She became front runner after a better-funded opponent dropped out after filing deadline
48% of precincts reporting in #IN05 primaries. On Dem side, Christina Hale's lead has expanded to 39-27. For GOP, Victoria Spartz still up 39-19
Read 62 tweets
13 Sep 17
YES! Dems pick up *another* GOP seat in NH special tonight. Won 56-44 in seat Trump carried 56-39—a 28-point swing! dkel.ec/2xwclp4
This is now the FIFTH legislative seat Dems have picked up from the GOP this year. We've updated our big board: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Obama won this seat by less than a point, so Dem Charlie St. Clair's victory is a 12-point swing from 2012 results as well
Read 14 tweets

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