Damn—An unvaccinated health care worker set off a #COVID19 outbreak at a nursing home where most residents were vaccinated—dozens of infections, including 22 cases among residents/staff who were already fully vaccinated. 1 death in a nursing resident. 🧵
nytimes.com/2021/04/21/hea…
2) “The study estimated that the vaccine, identified as Pfizer-BioNTech, showed effectiveness of 66 percent for residents and 75.9 percent for employees, and were 86 percent to 87 percent effective at protecting against symptomatic disease."
3) Most of those who were infected with the coronavirus despite being vaccinated did not develop symptoms or require hospitalization, but one vaccinated individual, who was a resident of the nursing home, died, according to the study released by the CDC.
4) Altogether, 26 facility residents were infected, including 18 who had been vaccinated, and 20 health care personnel were infected, including four who had been vaccinated. Two unvaccinated residents also died.
5) “To protect skilled nursing facility residents, it is imperative that health care providers, as well as skilled nursing facility residents, be vaccinated,” the authors of the Kentucky study wrote.
6) Vaccinated residents and health care workers at the Kentucky facility were less likely to be infected than those who had not been vaccinated, and they were far less likely to develop symptoms.
7) The study estimated that the vaccine, identified as Pfizer-BioNTech, showed effectiveness of 66 percent for residents and 75.9 percent for employees, and were 86 percent to 87 percent effective at protecting against symptomatic disease.
8) Was there a variant? Oh yes.

The outbreak involved a variant of the virus that has multiple mutations in the spike protein, of the kind that make the vaccines less effective.
9) Variant is called “R1”. In the Kentucky outbreak, the virus variant is not on the C.D.C.’s list of those considered variants of concern or interest. But, the study authors note, the variant does have several mutations of importance: ...
10) D614G, which demonstrates evidence of increased transmissibility; E484K in receptor-binding domain of the spike protein, which is also seen in B.1.351, & P.1. of Brazil; & W152L, which might reduce effectiveness of neutralizing antibodies.
11) “Four possible reinfections were identified (one resident and three HCP); of these, one HCP was vaccinated. All four persons experienced symptomatic illness.
12) One resident was infected 300 days earlier and had nine consecutive negative RT-PCR tests before reinfection, including two within 30 days of the outbreak. This resident was hospitalized and died.
13) “In a SNF with 90.4% of residents vaccinated, an outbreak of COVID-19 occurred after introduction from an unvaccinated, symptomatic HCP. WGS identified an R.1 lineage variant, characterized by E484K and other mutations within the spike protein.
14) “Attack rates were three to four times as high among unvaccinated residents and HCP as among those who were vaccinated; vaccinated persons were significantly less likely to experience symptoms or require hospitalization”. cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…
15) to be clear, the vaccine has saved MANY MANY lives. But we need to **BREAK THE CHAINS OF TRANSMISSION** and reduce transmission. And to do that, we need more people vaccinated. Plain and simple.
16) that said, we know some breakthrough cases can happen with vaccines. #B117 and AstraZeneca is usually good. But it’s not perfect. But AZ shows 29% efficacy against asymptomatic transmission of B117. This is why we still wear masks.

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More from @DrEricDing

23 Apr
📍3x KIDS DEATHS—An alarmingly high number of babies & children are dying of #COVID19 in Brazil 🇧🇷. While government data from Brazil suggest >800 children under age 9 have died of Covid—expert estimates that the death toll is nearly **3 times higher**. 🧵
nbcnews.com/news/latino/br… Image
2) experts say the real death toll is higher because cases are underreported because of a lack of widespread coronavirus testing, according to the BBC.
3) Dr. Fatima Marinho of the University of São Paolo, a leading epidemiologist estimated that the virus has killed 2,060 children under 9, including 1,302 babies.
Read 10 tweets
22 Apr
~SIX TIMES HIGHER IN KIDS—An asymptomatic school study of #COVID19 cases found that infection rates in Omaha Nebraska schools were 2.5x higher for staff and **nearly 6x higher for students** than reported through routine self-initiated tests. 🧵
abcnews.go.com/Health/study-s… Image
2) “The program also found nearly 10 times the cases per population than what was observed through testing in the surrounding county. The study didn’t review origin, just that teachers and students with COVID-19 that was not previously identified because of limited testing”
3) “The results show "as many as nine in 10 student COVID-19 cases and seven in 10 staff cases might be missed by conventional reporting," Dr. Jana Broadhurst, a corresponding author in the study and an assistant professor at the University of Nebraska Medical Center.”
Read 9 tweets
22 Apr
⚠️OXYGEN SUPPLY COLLAPSE in mere hours—Delhi government reports the current oxygen supply in Delhi hospitals. All <=24 hours oxygen supply. Most under half a day.

Pray for India 🇮🇳 #CovidIndia #COVID19 Image
2) Some hospitals down to just mere minutes of oxygen left. Indian states now fighting each other refusing to send oxygen supplies to other states. indianexpress.com/article/india/…
3) my god... I could stop crying earlier when I watched this. But don’t look away. Please watch this. And tell your friends to vaccinate damnit!!!
Read 4 tweets
22 Apr
BREAKING—U.S. State Department has added at least 116 countries this week to its “Level Four: Do Not Travel” advisory list, putting the UK, Canada, France, Israel, Mexico, Germany and others on the list, citing a “very high level of #COVID19.” 🧵
reuters.com/world/us/us-ad… Image
2) On Monday, the State Department said it would boost the number of countries receiving its highest advisory rating to about 80% of countries worldwide.
Before Tuesday, the State Department listed 34 out of about 200 countries as "Do Not Travel."
3) Other countries in the "Do Not Travel" list include Finland, Egypt, Belgium, Turkey, Italy, Sweden, Switzerland and Spain. Some countries like China and Japan remain at Level 3: Reconsider Travel."
Read 5 tweets
22 Apr
But but but... SWEDEN!

Sweden 🇸🇪 holds the dubious title of having 15 of the top 21 #COVID19 hotspots in Europe.

France 🇫🇷 Netherlands 🇳🇱 and Croatia 🇭🇷 holds several of the other top spots.
2) “But but but, show me the Swedish deaths” you ask? Here you go. 100+ year record excess deaths. Analysis by @zorinaq
3) “But but but all those deaths are last year” you say? Show me Sweden hospitals now!

Okay: thelocal.se/20210421/yes-i…
Read 4 tweets
22 Apr
I cry for the India 🇮🇳. Brutal epidemic ravaging the country, and hospitals are completely overwhelmed. A staggering 300,000 cases—and possibly 10x underdiagnosis means maybe ~3 million actual cases a day. #COVID19

2) FT thinks underdiagnosis is 10x in India. But some think it’s even higher...
3) By deaths alone, comparing cremations vs reported deaths, some areas have 24x higher underreport.
Read 6 tweets

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