Global #COVID19 infections at this point have likely exceeded 15 million a day, marking the worst phase of the pandemic by a factor of three or more. 1/6 Image
The global daily reported #COVID19 cases in the last week increased to 726,300 per day on average compared to 641,000 the week before. This is a 13% increase over the last week. 2/6
covid19.healthdata.org/global?view=to…
The global daily COVID19 deaths in the last week increased to 14,400 per day on average compared to 13,200 the week before, a 9% increase. 3/6 Image
This makes #COVID19 the number 3 cause of death globally this week. 4/6 Image
Effective R, computed using cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, is greater than 1 in 93 countries. Transmission is increasing in many regions, but the increase is most intense in South Asia and parts of Southeast Asia. 5/6 Image
Efforts to increase preventive measures (increase mask wearing and decrease mobility and gatherings) must continue along with addressing vaccine hesitancy and expediting vaccination. 6/6 Image

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More from @AliHMokdad

11 Apr
Globally, reported #COVID19 cases decreased to 512,000 per day on average compared to 532,800 the week before while reported daily deaths increased to 12,200 per day on average compared to 11,100 the week before. Large surges are seen in Iran, Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh. 1/5 ImageImage
in Bangladesh, daily reported cases in the last week increased to 5,200 per day on average compared to 3,000 the week before. Daily deaths in the last week increased to 110 per day on average compared to 67 the week before. 2/5 ImageImage
In Pakistan, daily reported cases in the last week increased to about 4,700 per day on average compared to about 3,700 the week before. Daily deaths in the last week increased to about 84 per day on average compared to about 61 the week before. 3/5 ImageImage
Read 5 tweets
3 Apr
There are five distinct #COVID19 trends globally. 1) In Brazil and some neighboring countries, a P1-driven surge is unfolding with potentially huge impacts on health systems and deaths. 1/10
2) B.1.1.7 surge is unfolding in the northern states of the US and Canada. The rapid increases in cases seen in Michigan may be a marker of what may unfold in other parts of the US and Canada. 2/10
3) Cases and deaths are increasing in Europe despite extensive social distancing mandates, slowly increasing vaccination rates, and reduced mobility. 3/10
Read 10 tweets
2 Apr
تزداد حالات ووفيات #كوفيد١٩ اليومية في الدول العربية. ومع ذالك لا تزال الحركة مرتفعة واستخدام الكمامة منخفض جدًا. هذه التصرفات والانتشار السريع لتحور B.1.1.7 هي أسباب هذه الزيادة. 1/4
covid19.healthdata.org/global
يجب أن تكون التجربة الاوروبية بمثابة تحذير من المخاطر التي ينطوي عليها B.1.1.7.أوروبا فرضت اغلاقات اكثر من الدول العربية ولديها معدلات تطعيم أعلى من المنطقة ، لكنها شهدت زيادات كبيرة في الحالات اليومية وزيادات أبطأ في الوفيات اليومية. 2/4
يتطلب مسار الوباء في المنطقة تدابير وقائية أقوى ويعتمد على الاستجابة السلوكية من حيث الثقة في اللقاح واستخدام الكمامة وتجنب المواقف التي تشكل خطرًا كبيرًا لانتشار الوباء. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
11 Dec 20
.@IHME_UW new projections of #COVID19 cumulative deaths in the US by April 1 have been reduced to 502,000. This welcomed decline is due to 2 factors. 1/8
covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-…
In this week’s update, the impact of vaccination is greater due to information in the Pfizer FDA filing, which shows approximately 50% protection after the first dose, and data on a larger number of doses available sooner in the US. 2/8
The epidemic in the US appears to have leveled off in many Midwestern states while continuing to increase on the West Coast and in parts of the Northeast. 3/8
Read 8 tweets
10 Dec 20
In our commentary “We have to get it right: Ensuring success” in @EClinicalMed with @PeterHotez @worenst we call for a national communications strategy to counter anti-vaccine misleading information. 1/12
thelancet.com/journals/eclin…
Addressing the concerns and ensuring widespread use and compliance of vaccines means that we will require an unprecedented level of communication between federal agencies and the American people. 2/12
It is imperative to effectively message and build the public’s confidence in the #COVID19 vaccine. Overcoming vaccine hesitancy is no small task in the current political and cultural climate. 3/12
Read 12 tweets
20 Sep 20
IHME’s latest forecasts indicate that #COVID19 deaths by Jan 1 has increased in @WHOEMRO from 165,847 last week to 182,311. As of today, about 56,681 deaths have occurred in the region, and our estimates suggest 125,630 deaths from now until January 1. 1/30
If mask wearing in public increases to 95%, there will be around 99,217 deaths, and about 83,094 lives could be saved. This is about a 66% reduction in the number of deaths expected between now and January 1. 2/30
If a herd immunity strategy is pursued, we estimate 201,761 deaths by Jan 1. 3/30
covid19.healthdata.org/global?view=to…
Read 30 tweets

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