These data , from statista & security.org, show we have a real problem with police killings in the USA. First, per 100000 population, the US IS WAY off from other wealthy democracies
Second, the cause of death, overwhelmingly, is gunshot
Third, the statistics vary dramatically by state, but disproportionately impact people of color.
Fourth, they vary dramatically by city. Overall rates in Laredo TX per 100000 are nearly 50X those of NYC.
Much has to do with training. Germany puts officers through 2.5 -4 years. The average in the US is 21 weeks. Source: theatlantic.com/international/…
From the same Atlantic article: german police trainees are taught in depth how to handle many situations emphasizing de-escalating, including how to disarm those with lethal weapons.
Contrast that with the militaristic attitude evident in the language of the acting Columbus police chief last week when discussing the death of #MakiahBryant
From the Atlantic article, in other European countries, training & policy limit the use of deadly force.
Another important consideration is ethnic and gender make-up of departments. The NY Times did a deep dive on this a few years after the shooting of Michael Brown in Ferguson, MO triggered the #BlackLivesMatter movement.
In that period, more departments became whiter
Some big city depts became less white
In general, forces oversample whites relative to the population, especially in leadership positionss
Finally, data org shows the police are dramatically off balance in gender.
Times source: "Which Police Departments Are as Diverse as Their Communities?" nyti.ms/2Hkbfm9
UPDATE: 1:57 pm - pulse of votes just flipped Lehigh county blue in PA, went blue in 2016, expect more. Day started at Trump + 115069, now down to 90542 with lots of votes to count.
Also: watch Monroe county - currently in Trump column but went blue in 2016. Many votes there
The big blue county votes have been stagnant for a while. Adding Lehigh to the pool of blue counties with votes remaining pushes estimates of available Biden *gains* from 136K (conservative)-159K (average absentee return used everywhere). Plenty there for a Biden win in PA.
75% of those latest votes went to Biden - he needs 59% of remaining votes to tie Trump.
My own version of data science nerd reports for remaining states. First, Georgia. As of the latest report, estimating the remaining vote, Biden needs 57% of outstanding votes to tie Trump. On the last batch he got 65%, a great sign!
Next, Pennsylvania. The big population counties are slow to come in. Biden needs 60% to tie, and the last two estimates of his return rates with no results in from big counties had his actual rates at 61.4% and 56%. These were mostly from smaller counties, so, OK.
Better: If you estimate the amount of Biden votes left in the bigger blue counties, you get from 146000-171000 ranging from a conservative Biden return rate by county (he is at 79% statewide) to the 79% average rate everywhere. Great! He needs 115000!
US based infectious disease experts confirm likely errors:
"They say testing errors are more likely to blame — either false negatives that resulted in patients being discharged too early, or false positives when they retested and were taken back into hospital."
"What’s more likely is that people are being released from hospitals while still carrying dormant fragments of the disease that are not infectious but resemble the virus when put through a nucleic acid test, "
Reason 1 for optimism: We are all worried about Trump firing Mueller after, perhaps, he first fires Rosenstein. First, he is getting advised NOT to fire Rosenstein. By his own WH, & by many congressional GOP. newsweek.com/rosenstein-tru… 2/
Second, even if he fires Rosenstein, he may have to go through A LOT of DOJ people before he finds anyone willing to fire Mueller. Once you go below Sessions, the appointees like Wray, Rosenstein, are no shrinking violets, & not hardcore Trumpists. 3/