I am old enough to remember being naively excited when BP announced “Beyond Petroleum”. I am also from Canada & for years I thought we did need big oil to be inside to fight climate change 🧵axios.com/shell-ceo-clim…
So here is why I think @Shell’s comments today are disingenuous at best & likely very dangerous: in national, subnatiinal & international fora oil companies have successfully argued to weaken climate policy. I watched it happen in Canada & it is well documented elsewhere
For 4 yrs I met w/ oil company senior execs to try & find common ground & barriers to climate policy in Alberta which hadn’t moved forward in decades. I found some good people stuck in companies that have always rewarded technological fixes & equated progress w/ expansion/growth
Unlike a company like Orstad which was literally able to transform from an oil company to a renewable energy, most oil companies climate plans are based on three strategies: 1. Reduce emissions intensity not overall emissions
2. Convince governments they now believe & are working on climate change & governments need to support domestic oil companies even in climate era to maintain competitiveness and jobs with increasing tax breaks and subsidies to keep them alive while they work on tech breakthroughs
3. While pledging to work on climate simultaneously fund campaigns to expand markets & production (plastics, LNG shipping) & convince consumers not to switch gas to electric by fear mongering on price & burying health studies just like they did w climate huffpost.com/entry/your-ene…
So. No @Shell CEO the world does not need your help on climate change. The world needs governments to have the courage to not invite the polluters who stand to benefit from inaction to the table & to act quickly to pass laws that reduce our dependency on your products
There are 3 products responsible for more deaths & illness globally than any others. They are literally killing millions. There are also three products responsible for 80% of emissions trapped in our atmosphere. Those three products are oil, gas & coal. cnbc.com/2021/02/09/fos…
At this moment in history every ton of carbon matters. Every ton of carbon we don’t emit saves lives. It’s too late for incremental emissions reductions per barrel while allowing production to rise. We need urgent action to wind down emissions & production productiongap.org
Governments need to act now and thankfully we are starting to see signs of hope on overall fossil fuel production & emissions decline from Denmark, Spain, California & others. But Norway, UK, Canada, US, Argentina & others are still struggling under the thumb of big oil.
And history shows us that until they break free from under that thumb oil industry will weaken good policy (delays methane rules, weaker clean fuel standards, loopholes in carbon price etc) & take billions taxpayers dollars in subsidies or CCS that could go to climate solutions
The fact is we now have cheap renewable energy possible at scale & the potential of wide spread of the electrification of transport. It will take infrastructure investments & we are pouring billions into the fossil fuel industry still even though we already have more than enough
If we capped production today we would have roughly enough oil and gas in existing mines and wells to fuel societal needs during the transition to net zero by 2050. And the added bonus is we would stay under 2 degrees.
If we are really going to have a global just transition at from fossil fuels and a livable, safe planet we will need international cooperation to help countries especially in Global south wind down production. That’s why I support a @fossiltreatyfossilfueltreaty.org
Really glad to see support for @fossiltreaty growing including Dalai Lama & 100 other Nobel Laureates & many cities around the world. This moment I history requires big bold new moves not tinkering at the edges while people escape floods and fires fossilfueltreaty.org/nobel-letter
Worth checking out this analysis re @Shell climate leadership claims. Between 2010 and 2018, Shell was reported to have dedicated just 1% of its long-term investments to sources of low-carbon energy like wind and solar. clientearth.org/the-greenwashi…
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Every right wing think tank and government in Canada is out this weekend whipping up a fervour over the new climate plan and building their base against the Liberals and climate action. And the left is debating the policy details. Bold? Historic? Insufficient? Weak? 🧵#cdnpoli
It strikes me that this is how they win. Drawing clear battle lines. Motivating through fear and anger. We keep replaying this same script - I see it and still struggle to stomach supporting climate policy at this moment in history that is so clearly insufficient 2/
@bruneski once said to me that good climate policy at this moment is often “historic but insufficient”. It seems to be true over and over again. So for the most part ENGO’s are painfully honest - price on carbon yay! Harpers targets?! Insufficient. No ZEV?! What? Etc. 3/
Okay I have listened to the announcement and double checked previous promises, announcements and GHG numbers. Response to the @bcndp@jjhorgan@GeorgeHeyman climate promises made today THREAD/ #bcpoli#BCelxn2020
Committing to increase climate ambition net-zero by 2050 is important but there are announcements and targets and there are actions and budgets. Our emissions in BC are going up and fossil fuel subsidies to expand fracking and LNG in BC have increased 79% under this government
.@jjhorgan emphasized new tech & offsets...really worrying. We need those technologies to reduce pollution already trapped in our atmosphere not to justify more pollution. Any leader serious about climate they will rule out the use of offsets & trading schemes to meet our targets
To be fair, because the emissions data lags almost two years behind, its worth noting that the most significant increase in emissions happened under Christy Clark and the @bcliberals. That said, there is little evidence to support John Horgan and @bcndp meeting BC targets 2/
There is still the matter of the missing 25%. ie even the current modelling under the CleanBC plan shows that we cannot meet our legislated targets due almost entirely to rising emissions from fracking and LNG 3/
FOI docs reveal UK held private talks Oil & Gas companies to plan Glasgow #Cop26. So...oil, gas & coal are 80% of climate problem, these co's still planning expanding production. But sure lets plan climate negotiations with them?! THREAD/ theguardian.com/environment/20…
When the world was negotiating the Montreal Protocol did we invite the chemical companies to design how we would ban their product? How about asbestos? Did the polluters help the world create the plan to stop killing people with that product? 2/
To be clear, I am guilty of going down this road. Because I truly believe there are good people everywhere and we need to understand the barriers to change. I spent four years meeting with the top execs of some of largest oil companies. here are some of the things I learned:3/
When CleanBC was announced we were told government would close 25% gap to meet our legislated emissions gap within two years. Then they dumped hundreds of millions into fracked gas & LNG expansion. In fact 79% more $ to Oil and gas than Christy Clark’s government. THREAD #bcpoli
Honestly didn’t see that coming. I get that being the government to actually get LNG built feels good to the NDP because it’s a way to stick it to the Liberals and an easy way to look like they are creating economic opportunity. But, it ignores the market trends 2/
Price of fracked gas and LNG is low and lots of other big plays in the market before us are struggling. Also, ya gotta wonder, if it’s such a big bet why does it need a billion dollars of tax payers money to get off the ground? 3/
BC Government Old Growth Panel in new report: Despite commitments on old growth management: No review in 20 years, No monitoring, No system to track compliance, No evaluation, previous recommendations not implemented. #bcpoli
"We also encourage you to consider our recommendations as a whole. Had previous old forest strategies and recommendations been fully implemented, we would likely not be facing the challenges around old growth to the extent we are today." pg 3 Amen to that. engage.gov.bc.ca/app/uploads/si…
Impressive extensive process in a short time. 800 direct conversations and thousands of surveys and written submissions.