There is a lot of misinformation about defence matters in media. Much of it is deliberate because our enemies - China, Pak want to make gains without actually fighting. Their instruments like Force magazine induce fear.

But they don't understand the very basics of warfare

1/n
1. Comprehensive National Power - an important concept but it is relavent only when you are fighting a long conventional war where terrain has no large role to play. Take Vietnam for example. US's comprehensive national power was 100 times that of Vietnam. What happened?

2/n
I would be much more concerned with a massive gap in comprehensive national power if its plains and desert. For example US and Iraq. But when its even slightly mountainous like USSR in Afghanistan comprehensive national power goes for a toss.

What matters folks is not

3/n
how many troops, guns, tanks, aircraft, missiles you have but how many can you commit to the theatre. How they are used, what tactics you use.

China has 850 odd 4/4.5 Gen fighters. We have 450. But how many can they actually deploy against us ? They need some for Taiwan

4/n
US also. Plus their airfields are very far from our theatre.

@bennedose has done a detailed assessment in a brilliant video and assesses only a fraction can be deployed against us.

In long multi year wars you can overcome this to some extent. But not in short sharp wars

5/n
2. Terrain - terrain is crucial. India has huge advantages in terrain both against Pak, China. The Himalays are dual toned in Ladakh for example. Plateau on Chinese side so they can bring mechanised elements relatively easily up to LAC. But moving further is hard due to

6/n
mountains. You can only move through passes. Therefore if we hold the passes, or dominate them with observation and fire then no matter how many forces you cannot use them.

This works in air as well. Our airfields are in a ring from Srinagar to Chabua at sea level. This

7/n
us a huge advantage. Our a/c can take off with optimal loads, do their missions, recover to alternates. Maintenance, logistics is easier.

Same with Navy. Mallaca straits is a narrow, shallow strait. Submatines will gave to surface while transiting. Plus Chinese bases are

8/n
over 3000 nautical miles away. Till China builds and sustains big bases closer they cannot do sustained deployments in IOR.

3. Tactics, training, ethos- These matter far more than equipment gaps. We have advantage on all three. You have seen it in Ladakh. Chinese were

9/n
literally bleating for a withdrawal from Kailash ranges. And when they could they scooted.

Reports tell us of huge leadership, training and toughness problems. Mountain warfare cannot be done in vehicles. You have to dismount, climb, stay and fight. They can't do this

10/n
4. Willpower - So where do Chinese have an advantage? They are devious, use IW and subversion extremely well. They will not defeat us in hot war and they know it. They will gnaw at our national will to fight. Mess with our minds. Weaken minds of military, political

11/n
leaders. And public in general.

That is Shawney's , Shukla's role. And there are others as well including some Generals.

This is the game folks. If we can win in our minds, we will win on ground.

Lets learn from #Israel

N/n

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More from @Ak5985965

13 May
Understanding #Gaza and #IsraelUnderAttack

1. Gaza strip is narrow sliver of land on the South Eastern shore of the Mediterranean Ocean. It has a 11 km border with Egypt on its South, a 50 km border with Israel on its North and East and of course the ocean on its West

1/n
2. It produces nothing and gets its electricity and water from Israel. Food comes partly from Israel and partly from Egypt. The border with Egypt has only once crossing at Rafa. The rest is guarded and patrolled by Egypt. Infact Egypt is building a wall. Yes a wall like the

2/n
one Trump was building with Mexico. Why ? Because Egypt does not want these vicious crazed Jihadis to come in. In fact no Arab country does. Thats why none of the other Arab countries close by- Jordan, Syria, Iraq, Saudi, Lebanon have taken in Palestinians since 1947

3/n
Read 12 tweets
9 May
Rubbish. You are no military professional. You don't even know basics of map reading, tactics forget operational art and strategy. We can break Pak spine while holding China.

1. We have 25-26 Divs positioned against Pak's 24. Pak is like a banana split East West

1/n

1/n
by Indus. It is also split North West in Pakjab by the 5 Punjab rivers.

2. 14 of Pak's divs are in Pakjab. Min 02 are needed against Iran and 02 for pacifying Balochistan and 01 for NWFP. That leaves just 4-5 South Punjab and further southwards

3. We can destroy all

2/n
bridges on all rivers making inter sector movement of Pak Army very difficult. We will also hit road and rail arteries which are all North South with key nodes at places like RYK. This will trap 14 Divs in North. We will hold these in Jammu, Punjab, with 10 Divs

3/n
Read 12 tweets
9 May
I have been critical of Modi govt's weakness and appeasement that is leading to Hindu Genocide. We will pay a heavy prize as a nation in the coming decades, perhaps even with our nationhood.

But his handling of #Covid has been ok. Let me explain

1. Covid Death rates :

1/n
Even accounting for under reporting, India's death rates are 1/10 of UK. There are studies done by people who have no love for India that prove this. Covid death rates have been under reported across the world.

2. Second wave : was inevitable after ''farmer's protests''

2/n
The fact that Punjab testing has shown overwhelming cases of the UK strain right from Feb shows us that. Modi govt erred in not loudly saying that Farmer's protests will bring 2nd Wave. They lost the information and narrative battle as they often do

3. Oxygen shortage :

3/n
Read 10 tweets
7 May
Sharing what a senior serving bureaucrat told me today re #Bengalburning

1. Violence will calm down in 24/48 hrs. Ms have been given enough time to take out the anger against Hindus for saying Jai Shri Ram. Message has been sent- we can murder, rape you

@Sanjay_Dixit

1/n
at will and you are not allowed to fight back. Hindu resistance has been broken. DM/DC across country do the same thing- let Muslims attack but stop Hindu self defence. PM has being doing the same for a long time.

Maybe BJP assesses that it will not hurt them electorally

2/n
But it has set a very bad precedent and reinforced the resolve of M's to assert their strength. As there will be no consequences either from the state or from Hindus.This will increase attacks on Hindus across the board as we have been seeing for some time

It will also

3/n
Read 6 tweets
4 Mar
In the below tweet thread I had shown how India had the edge over China on land and air. But I had not covered the naval dimension.

Many have asked me to do so. Here goes

1. PLAN has a massive numbers advantage over IN especially in submarines

1/n

in.finance.yahoo.com/news/does-indi…
PLAN has 60 odd subs of which 35 are modern and capable of blue water ops. We have 13 odd which are available for Ops

2. 🇨🇳 subs can come into our waters via the Mallaca Straits. Its a 2700 nautical mile one way journey and the channel very narrow and just 25 mt deep

2/n
So PLAN subs will to surface while transiting the channel. They will be picked up by ISR assets very easily and tracked till they dive. Yes we are very short of ASW heptrs and can barely manage 08 but we do have 9 P8I a/c and can certainly hunt them at Mallaca straits.

3/n
Read 9 tweets
2 Mar
Understand and respect your citizen concern but this is Chinese psychological ops. Let me to set your mind at ease

1. No one has caught us by our jugular vein. If they could, they would have launched sustained shutdowns during Corps Cdr negotiations. You threaten before or

1/n
during negotiations, not after you have conceded

2. Why did Chinese demolish all their structures and literally run back? Because they did not want to fight as they knew they would loose badly. If they could shut electric grids down they would have done it then

2/n
3. Yes, they are certainly going to try to launch cyber attacks. Its part of their openly states 3 warfares doctrine. But its not very effective till now because most of our grids are offline

4. The threat will grow and we must focus on countering it. But by no stretch is

3/n
Read 4 tweets

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