Ha ha! Isn't he a hypocrite! How dare he say the deal *he negotiated* is now unsustainable!

That's pretty much the universal reaction reaction from pro-πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί in πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ to Frost's words about the NI Protocol

But personally I am done with all that. Enough.

A 🧡 as to what to do instead
Here is the news:
bbc.com/news/uk-northe…

And in some way Frost is right. The current situation *is* unsustainable
There are 2 reactions to that:

Ha ha Frost you idiot. You negotiated it! Eat a big dose of humble pie! (Just don't try to import it into NI)

Or actually work to make the Brexit Deal more sustainable
(Tangent: something in British politics is broken, in that there seems to be no cost to being a hypocrite, or implementing an abjectly bad policy - that's stuff for @davies_will though, not this thread that's about Brexit)
Try instead to channel a bit of @mrianleslie in this - start with this Long Read theguardian.com/society/2021/f…

UK Government is the one-down party here. And you don't get them to do what you want by hammering that home to them. You get what you want by giving them a way out
The most major problems are indeed in Northern Ireland, but not only there - there is the ongoing issue about when full import checks will happen at Ashford as well

Acknowledge these problems, and *help* the Government acknowledge them too
Also keep hammering the line that this is not just a Northern Ireland Protocol issue, and that ditching that is a solution - it is not

This is the interplay between the Protocol and the Trade & Cooperation Agreement - the *whole* package is unbalanced and needs improvement
And then to the solution: a Swiss-style veterinary agreement between the whole of the UK and the EU, and make it *temporary* - only for the period until the UK - both in Northern Ireland and at Dover/Ashford are ready for some future new regime
As @iainmcl3 rightly points out in this tweet, phrase it as building upon the TCA and NI Protocol

Doing this also opens up a path to getting the Labour Party onside - a veterinary agreement is forward looking and pragmatic and achievable. It is not re-fighting the battles of old
Sure, we're a long way away from getting to this at the moment. But with no elections for the Tories for 12 months now is the time, if any, that going for this might be possible

And if this veterinary agreement battle can be won, there will be others to be fought after that to correct other wrongs of what Frost and Johnson negotiated

But you're not going to get there by lambasting them as hypocrites

/ends

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More from @jonworth

10 May
I find reaction to this Jonathon Reed disqualified as candidate for Wiltshire & Swindon PCC thing so very strange

Here's the news of what happened:
bbc.com/news/uk-englan…
There's now a kind of briefing war going on between Reed and Tory HQ as to who knew what. @rupertevelyn from ITV has been following it all: itv.com/news/2021-05-0…

Tory HQ knew for *at least a week*
But that's not the strangest thing... the *reaction* is weird. Because this ought to be simple

There are two issues here, and you have to separate them

The rule is clear: Reed did not comply with the rules, cannot legitimately stand, and was disbarred. Done. Clear cut
Read 7 tweets
7 May
Twitter is full of wrong takes on Labour's Hartlepool loss

Was Labour too left/not left enough? πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ
Would Corbyn have done better than Starmer? πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ
Should Labour have been more/less pro-Brexit? πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ
Wrong candidate, chosen the wrong way? πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ

I don't care about any of them

Quick 🧡
Labour needs to start with the questions @rafaelbehr poses in this thought provoking column
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…

And it needs to take account of the changes in voter behaviour documented by @robfordmancs in Brexitland
It also ought to look at what is happening elsewhere in Europe (sorry, but despite Brexit, what's happening in Britain reminds me of so much from European politics!)

It's like Labour is the SPD πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ or PS πŸ‡«πŸ‡·
And the Tories Fidesz πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί or PiS πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
Read 13 tweets
29 Apr
Let's try a little counterfactual thread

The critique from plenty of people in πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί and πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ has been πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί got its vaccines strategy *wrong*

So if it were wrong, what should it have done better?
First BioNTech/Pfizer orders and approval

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ approved 3 weeks before πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί, and received a solid early order (shipped from Puurs πŸ‡§πŸ‡ͺ)

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ signed contract with Pfizer/BioNTech 4 months before πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί, but EIB and πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ provided funding, πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ govt did not
BioNTech has also stated that more public funding would have not helped it scale up faster

Also looking forward, with Marburg πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ, Frankfurt πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ due on stream in a couple of months, and lipids from Hanau πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ (Evonik) to complete the πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί-based supply chain, this looks solid now
Read 16 tweets
28 Apr
This 🧡 is a summary of my article for @metropole_vie about πŸ’‰ supply in πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί

You can read the whole piece here:
metropole.at/eu-covid-vacci…

tl;dr: the worst of πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί's supply woes are behind it now...

1/11
22-29 January was really the low point

22 Jan: AZ scaled back its delivery forecast to the EU for Q1 from 100m to 31m

29 Jan: von der Leyen caused all the controversy by including reference to Art 16 NI Protocol in the transparency mechanism

2/11
But that transparency mechanism was when it all began to turn. For it allowed the EU to explain what vaccines were going where - and also highlight how much of UK's early vaccine success was based on exports from the EU

3/11
Read 11 tweets
26 Apr
Something really does not add up with the Johnson & Johnson πŸ’‰ supply numbers EU-US

But where is the error?

A 🧡 to get to the bottom of it - comments and stats in the replies very welcome!
Here are the CDC's numbers for the USA

8m doses administered
17.6m doses delivered (so 9.6m delivered and not administered)

Source: covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra… Image
On 28 February this NY Times piece by @SharonLNYT:
"The initial 3.9 million [J&J] doses were manufactured at its factory in the Netherlands; officials have said the rest of the doses were expected to come from its Baltimore plant." (that's Emergent)

nytimes.com/2021/02/28/wor…
Read 13 tweets
26 Apr
Agggghhh

@jwildeboer sent me this Spiegel πŸ’‰ story by @ClausHecking, abut J&J delivery problems in Germany

I will translate and take this one apart piece by piece

spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unt…
"Benachteiligt der Konzern die EU?"

"Is the company disadvantaging the EU?"

No, as we will see
"Β»Die zweite Lieferung wird nicht den ursprΓΌnglich prognostizierten Umfang habenΒ«, schreibt das Bundesgesundheitsministerium"

"The second delivery will not have the originally forecast volume," writes the Federal Ministry of Health

That's correct. But let's get to *why*
Read 17 tweets

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