And in some way Frost is right. The current situation *is* unsustainable
There are 2 reactions to that:
Ha ha Frost you idiot. You negotiated it! Eat a big dose of humble pie! (Just don't try to import it into NI)
Or actually work to make the Brexit Deal more sustainable
(Tangent: something in British politics is broken, in that there seems to be no cost to being a hypocrite, or implementing an abjectly bad policy - that's stuff for @davies_will though, not this thread that's about Brexit)
UK Government is the one-down party here. And you don't get them to do what you want by hammering that home to them. You get what you want by giving them a way out
The most major problems are indeed in Northern Ireland, but not only there - there is the ongoing issue about when full import checks will happen at Ashford as well
Acknowledge these problems, and *help* the Government acknowledge them too
Also keep hammering the line that this is not just a Northern Ireland Protocol issue, and that ditching that is a solution - it is not
This is the interplay between the Protocol and the Trade & Cooperation Agreement - the *whole* package is unbalanced and needs improvement
And then to the solution: a Swiss-style veterinary agreement between the whole of the UK and the EU, and make it *temporary* - only for the period until the UK - both in Northern Ireland and at Dover/Ashford are ready for some future new regime
As @iainmcl3 rightly points out in this tweet, phrase it as building upon the TCA and NI Protocol
Doing this also opens up a path to getting the Labour Party onside - a veterinary agreement is forward looking and pragmatic and achievable. It is not re-fighting the battles of old
Sure, we're a long way away from getting to this at the moment. But with no elections for the Tories for 12 months now is the time, if any, that going for this might be possible
And if this veterinary agreement battle can be won, there will be others to be fought after that to correct other wrongs of what Frost and Johnson negotiated
But you're not going to get there by lambasting them as hypocrites
/ends
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There's now a kind of briefing war going on between Reed and Tory HQ as to who knew what. @rupertevelyn from ITV has been following it all: itv.com/news/2021-05-0β¦
Tory HQ knew for *at least a week*
But that's not the strangest thing... the *reaction* is weird. Because this ought to be simple
There are two issues here, and you have to separate them
The rule is clear: Reed did not comply with the rules, cannot legitimately stand, and was disbarred. Done. Clear cut
Twitter is full of wrong takes on Labour's Hartlepool loss
Was Labour too left/not left enough? π€·ββοΈ
Would Corbyn have done better than Starmer? π€·ββοΈ
Should Labour have been more/less pro-Brexit? π€·ββοΈ
Wrong candidate, chosen the wrong way? π€·ββοΈ
And it needs to take account of the changes in voter behaviour documented by @robfordmancs in Brexitland
It also ought to look at what is happening elsewhere in Europe (sorry, but despite Brexit, what's happening in Britain reminds me of so much from European politics!)
tl;dr: the worst of πͺπΊ's supply woes are behind it now...
1/11
22-29 January was really the low point
22 Jan: AZ scaled back its delivery forecast to the EU for Q1 from 100m to 31m
29 Jan: von der Leyen caused all the controversy by including reference to Art 16 NI Protocol in the transparency mechanism
2/11
But that transparency mechanism was when it all began to turn. For it allowed the EU to explain what vaccines were going where - and also highlight how much of UK's early vaccine success was based on exports from the EU
On 28 February this NY Times piece by @SharonLNYT:
"The initial 3.9 million [J&J] doses were manufactured at its factory in the Netherlands; officials have said the rest of the doses were expected to come from its Baltimore plant." (that's Emergent)