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Peter Schorsch Profile picture
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12 May, 4 tweets, 4 min read
Fresh poll numbers from @FLChamber on @GovRonDeSantis and 2022.

A #FlaPol 🧵
.@GovRonDeSantis job approval is currently at 55%.

He receives 88% support from Republicans and 57% support from NPAs.
.@GovRonDeSantis receiving high marks for his handling of distribution of #COVID19 vaccine: 70% of Floridians giving him a thumbs up.
As for 2022, @GovDeSantis holds double digit leads vs.:

@CharlieCrist - 51%/41%
@NikkiFried - 51%/39%
@RepValDemings - 53%/38%

#FlaPol

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More from @PeterSchorschFL

Peter Schorsch Profile picture
11 May
A couple of thoughts on the latest developments on the upcoming Special Session to ratify the Compact with the Seminole Tribe.

A 🧵
I moderated a post-Session panel today for the Tampa Chamber of Commerce

I was surprised to hear lawmakers flat-out say they view this new Compact as an "expansion" of gambling in Florida.
This raises at least two possible scenarios given that Fla. voters just amended the Constitution to limit gambling expansion.

1. The lawmakers are against the Compact because they view it as expansion and they want to uphold the will of people.

Or...
Read 8 tweets
Peter Schorsch Profile picture
11 May
I'm not going to out the ex-girlfriend, but I'll throw some chum in the water.

Her identity in Tallahassee is an open secret.

She's also a Fla. Dep't of Education employee.

A few nuggets ...
I started tracking this woman's story in early April.

She met Joel Greenberg 3 years ago off of SeekingArrangement website.

They not only got her an internship in U.S. House, but also a job at Florida Dep't of Education. DOE will likely deny this, but its what she told ppl.
Her role grew from Greenberg girlfriend to recruiter.

She would encourage other young women to get involved in the Gaetz-Greenberg-Beshears circle.

Nothing illegal, per se.
Read 4 tweets
Peter Schorsch Profile picture
7 Jan
After a pro-Trump insurrection at Capitol that left four people dead, this is how Florida Republicans reacted.

A #FlaPol thread.
.@SenRickScott voted in favor of the objection to @JoeBiden's win in Pennsylvania in the face of his own Republican colleague, Pat Toomey, saying there was 'no evidence of significant fraud' in the election.
A dozen members of the Delegation voted against certifying @JoeBiden’s electoral college victory.

@Kat_Cammack Mario Diaz-Balart @ByronDonalds @DrNealDunnFL2 @ScottFranklinFL @mattgaetz Carloz Giminez, @RepBrianMast @congbillposey @JRutherfordFL @RepGregSteube @WebsterCongress
Read 7 tweets
Peter Schorsch Profile picture
18 Oct 20
To me, this is one of the most interesting singular pieces of data about the presidential race in Florida.

@RealDonaldTrump, perhaps surprisingly, won purplish Pinellas by 1% in 2016, so this represents a FOURTEEN POINT swing away from him.
@realDonaldTrump What you should understand is that Pinellas' population and demographics are extrordinarily stable, esp. when compared to other counties in Florida.

The voters who voted in 2016 are the people who are being polled now.

/2
@realDonaldTrump Pinellas is as bipartisan as it gets: A GOP U.S. Rep in the northern part of the county, a Democrat in the south part. GOP slightly dominates legislative delegation, but biggest city is led by a Democrat. County Commission is 4-3 Democrat, but countywide officials are Republican.
Read 7 tweets
Peter Schorsch Profile picture
18 Oct 20
Florida Democrats hold a considrable advantage over @FloridaGOP through the first phase of voting in Florida (voting-by-mail but no in-person early voting).

BUT — and this is a big but and I cannot lie...
@FloridaGOP 79% of Florida Republicans who voted in all of the previous four elections have yet to cast a ballot.

Democrats have 65.3% of their 4/4 voters.

This represents a 474,484 voter advantage for Republicans.

/2
@FloridaGOP Among voters who voted in three of the past four elections, Republicans have 87% yet to vote while Democrats have 73.9% of their 3/4’s remaining.

This represents a 70,643 voter advantage for Republicans.

/3
Read 4 tweets
Peter Schorsch Profile picture
16 Oct 20
To be clear, this is not the sentiment - yet - with Trump’s team in Florida.

There is almost a separate track effort to win Florida no matter what the national polls show.
I spent a lot of time this past week talking to upper echelon of @realDonaldTrump’s team in Florida.

1. They’re buoyed by the data they see; they’re looking at models from three sources and they say numbers are encouraging.
2. There is enormous relief within Trump Florida team that the principal is back on the campaign trail. They say this is their number one advantage. They say their is a direct link with a Trump swing through Florida and poll movements.
Read 5 tweets

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