@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost Meier talked to me. He discusses our Twitter work in a section of his book, but manages to get almost every nuance wrong. He's a good journalist but misunderstood our perspective almost totally.
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost my initial reaction to @BarryMeier was over-focused on frustration with some unfairness to our twitter corner. To be balanced, I should also have pointed out that his critique of Steele et al (and I intend to read book) appears to be very severe in MSM terms.
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost 2/ Meier pointed out that Steele's supposed role in Litvinenko affair had much inflated (just as his role in FIFA was.) The Litvinenko affair was a long-standing interest of his. Image
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost 3/ Meier was prob more interested in our earliest speculation on PSS identity (Shvets) than in the final identification as Danchenko because we had used Litvinenko affair as a postulated connection between Steele and Shvets.
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost 4/ I think that his interest in Litvinenko affair distracted him from what we perceived as the main conclusions of our early analyses: a) that PSS was NOT "Russian-based", as represented in FISA and to House Intel (Nunes); b) PSS was prob ex-pat living in northern Virginia
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost 5/ in our contemporary Twitter commentary, I was very clear that we were far more convinced that PSS was someone "like Shvets" (living in US, prob northern VA) than that it was Shvets himself. We thought we were near target, but not necessarily on target. Meier missed this nuance
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost 6/ I was re-reading Senate Judiciary testimony of Pientka, Somma, Moffa, Auten a couple of days ago in which the "Russian-based" issue was raised for each of them. They all expressed considerable surprise, even astonishment, when they learned PSS was in northern VA.
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost 7/ reading closely, it appears that Pientka and Somma were the agents who made initial contact with Danchenko on a Friday in January 2017. Danchenko immediately (or was already) lawyered up with Democrat partisan Mark Schamel.
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost 8/ one of the oddities of sending Pientka and Somma to make contact with Danchenko is that Pientka had already left Crossfire and Somma was about to. Somma was gone from Crossfire in Feb (other than helping with Page interviews in March.)
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost 9/ Pientka was at Flynn interview on Jan 24, while Somma was at Danchenko interview, also on Jan 24 at exactly the same time. Once Somma left Crossfire, Brian Auten was only FBI link and custodian of Danchenko interview information.
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost 10/ Auten deep-sixed the adverse Danchenko information in the way that clever people do: he wrote a long memorandum which he placed deep in the case file but did not disseminate, while distributing a two-page summary which focused on new "leads" from Danchenko, omitting problems
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost 11/ reminded me of how a sly climate scientist might try to avoid issuing a retraction or even a corrigendum by burying the concession in Supplementary Information to an unrelated paper, but that's a different topic.
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost 12/ deep-sixing of the adverse Danchenko information was supposedly Barr's original concern over the Russiagate hoax. Even Gonna Graham said he was concerned about it. (Tho, to be fair to Gonna, he did eventually release the Danchenko EC that opened up Steele fraud)
@ReginaMourad @BarryMeier @HansMahncke @MonsieursGhost 13/ however, Auten was not confronted by Senate Committee on the deep-sixing of adverse Danchenko information. They spent nearly all their time on the Look Squirrel distraction of Carter Page FISA and nothing on how Crossfire metastasized into corrupt resistance.

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More from @ClimateAudit

14 May
as Mark Twain and Satchell Paige said, “It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.“ Following what we were told was "the science" on droplets was a bad mistake. Precautions for droplets didn't work against aerosols.
here is fascinating story of how one scientist disentangled the role of aerosols in spread of COVID.
wired.com/story/the-teen…
there's an important moral to the distinction between aerosols and droplets in how to effectively forestall spread. Spending money on improved ventilation systems in a Hong Kong university as opposed to spending same amount of money on mass testing.
Read 5 tweets
11 May
three weeks ago, when Ontario Science Table was in full volume doomcasting stratospheric exponential COVID, I surmised that a Gompertz top was forming and that there were grounds for optimism, becoming increasingly optimistic as doomsters became gloomier
my surmise that mid-April was Gompertz top seems to have been prescient. Ontario cases are now less than 50% of top of Gompertz curve, declining rapidly against all expectations of Ontario Science Table. Hospitalizations following with lag.
3/ in mid-Apr, Ontario govt @fordnation mostly resisted demands of public sector privileged academics for more draconian lockdowns and/or additional burdens on the local businesses upon whom entire economic burden of lockdown has been imposed, though they
Read 7 tweets
11 May
imagine a citizenry which places a "high premium on data analysis and empiricism". Or which believes that "science is a process, and not an institution". Or which expects data used by policy-makers to be analysable.

Such citizens have long been hated by climate "community",
2/ the appropriate response of institutions should be to make the data available, improve their analytic and statistical skills, acknowledge errors graciously.

More or less the opposite strategy to the climate "community".
3/ we've also learned over past few years that institutions expect citizens to set aside their expectations of a "high premium on data analysis and empiricism" when it comes to diktats ("assessments") by intelligence community.
Read 4 tweets
8 May
@TuckerCarlson had segment on JiaQi Bao's proposal that Hunter Biden appropriate the cash in Hudson West III after its parent company CEFC became insolvent, but closed by saying that they didnt know the outcome. Outcome was known before election.
2/ a Nov 3 article in American Conservative theamericanconservative.com/articles/exclu… pointed out that all the money in Hudson West III was embezzled by Hunter and Uncle Jim.
3/ the article even drew attention to JiaQi Bao's proposal to Hunter to appropriate the money (thp unfortunately her name and colorful association with Hunter wasn't discussd.)
Read 4 tweets
4 May
on Apr 16, as Science Table proclaimed doom, Ontario govt adopted annoying but irrelevant outdoor rules. To universal condemnation by Ontario media and COVID establishment for being inadequate and irrelevant. @fordnanation was right not to over-react to SciTable doomcasting.
2/ as on previous occasions, Ontario Science Table's projection was wildly wrong. In only 2 weeks, actuals are at 50% of levels predicted under the draconian measures not adopted and 25% of predictions under "weak" (not exactly) measures that @fordnation continued.
3/ although cases are a fraction of Science Table predictions, hospitalizations and ICU remain high (in Ontario terms). While SciTable like to point to some prior forecasts of high ICU levels, such forecasts were tied to forecasts with MUCH higher case numbers than experienced
Read 6 tweets
29 Apr
on Jan 12, Ontario Science Table projected up to 41,000 COVID cases by Feb 14, but only 1500 ICU beds needed. In recent third wave, we're up to almost 900 ICU beds with less than 10% of the cases.
2/ despite pompous Sci Table self-advertisement, their projections, up until the last few minutes, gave no hint of ICU to case ratio that we're presently experiencing.
3/ here's a way of looking at forecasts that intrigues me. There was almost linear relationship between Jan 12, 2021 projections of cases and ICU on any given date - Feb 14 values shown as points below and joined. Black +s show actuals.
Read 5 tweets

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