Good Morning #ableg as we enter into yet another week of the #shandemic we have do have some good news and...frankly still a good share of WTF. With the <adjective pending> school reopening plan set to launch next Tues, we will start there.
1495 (+5) Schools with cases
904 last 2 weeks (-10)
112 schools with 1 case or pre-declaration (-2)
322 on ALERT (2-4 cases), -10
251 on OUTBREAK (5-9 cases) (-2)
218 past the LaGrange point (10+ cases), (+3)
6736 (+160 since May 11)
Total CASES in schools 818 (34%)
We have started to see (very minor) drops in the numbers. Which is to be expected as schools are all closed. (some exceptions). Interestingly the schools with more than 10 cases, dumbed LaGranged in honour of monster @AdrianaLaGrange have actually increased slightly.
For last week Final (projected) [Week Peak]
active cases 22280 (27150, -4870 [25438]
AVG daily new cases 1453
AVG daily deaths 3.7 (3.5)
Hospitalizations 647 (700) [737]
ICU 186 (180) (likely)
The good news is it looks like we will continue to see decreases in active and new cases next week. The bad news is I expect ICU and daily deaths to increase while hospitalization will hold steady/increase slightly. With a long weekend coming up early June may be bad.
Active cases 19700
AVG daily new cases 1293
AVG deaths/Day 4
Hospitalizations 700
ICU 200

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More from @anonfmresident

4 May
Good morning #ableg. We are off to a roaring start with the #shandemic this week so buckle in it is going to be a wild wild week.
First up schools. With the failure of Comprehensive, robust and rapid plans Monster of Willful Ignorance @AdrianaLaGrange is launching the about fucking time plan and allowing teachers not already in isolation to fight for vaccines Here are the numbers
1443 schools with cases since Aug 30 (+15)
830 Past 2 weeks (+49)
168 Schools with one case or pending Alert (-6)
310 Alert (+21)
200 Outbreak (+20)
150 LaGrange lvl (+15)
5358 Total cases (+707)
Confirmed in school transmissions 678 (+63)
25% of schools
33% on outbreak
Read 6 tweets
3 May
Good morning #ableg and a a big salute to those of you still crewing your posts. Also Fuck You Bumbles, Monster @AdrianaLaGrange Shandemic, Senor Yao and @LailaGoodridge who are enjoying a two week vacations (possibly out of country). Here is your @shandemic report.
It is no longer safe for monster @AdrianaLaGrange to be near a school but some are still open (like BlackGold, which was denied permission to move online) Here are the results.
1428 schools with cases since Aug 30 (+12)
781 Past 2 weeks (+3)
174 Schools with one case or pending Alert (-23)
289 Alert (+8)
180 Outbreak (+8)
135 LaGrange lvl
4651 Total cases (+380)
Confirmed in school transmissions 577 (+38)
25% of schools
31% Schools have outbreaks
Read 6 tweets
2 May
Afternoon #ableg. The data is really sketchy this week but it is still time to compare it to predictions and make the next set of projections for the coming week.(predicted)
Active cases (22000) 22920 Exceeded
AVG Daily new cases (1700) 1731 MEET
AVG Daily deaths (5.5) 1.7 MUCH LOWER
*2021-4-25 2074 deaths Reported 2021-4-26 2067 reported. No explanation.
Hospitalizations (700) 648 UNDER
ICU (170) 155 UNDER
VoC (65-70%) 63%
* GoA has scaled down variant testing
With Bumbles going into hiding and unwilling to do anything other than wag his finger. THe outlook for next week is worse (although with reporting breaking down we may never know) Predictions 2021-5-8
15% growth in active cases - 2600
Average daily new cases 19500
Read 4 tweets
29 Mar
Morning #ableg. Been a view days since I checked the stats so here is your Monday Morning #shandemic report and ..wow...oh man...shit, shit shit.
Monster of Education @AdrianaLaGrange is busy inventing people to endorse her revisionism meanwhile...
Schools with/had cases 1278 (+12)
Last 2 weeks 398(+29)
1 case or Pre-Alert 127 (+17)
Alert (2-4) 148 (-2)
Tier 1 Outbreak (4-9) 81 (+10)
Lagranged 10+ 40 (+4)
1577 Active cases (+27)
In School transmision 265 (+12)
Closed 29
15% of Schools now on outbreak status
3rd wave now approaching 50% mark of previous one
Read 9 tweets
23 Mar
Morning #ableg, it aint good. Little doubt the #thirdwaveAB has begun and is picking up steam. Three key factors. 1) Covid is spreading through schools 2) No longer even flat, R values all greater than 1. Variants well established and spreading. 3rd likely to hit youth hardest
Disturbing trends as monster @AdrianaLaGrange works on her rodeo appreciation curriculum. (=-)
Schools with/had COVID cases 1259 (+3)
Last 2 weeks 352 (+24)
One case or Pre-Alert 112 (-3)
Alert (2-4) 139 (+21)
Tier 1 Outbreak (4-9) 58 (+6)
Lagrange Lvl Outbreak 38 10+ (+5)
There are now 1,474 active cases in Schools (+233)and
241 confirmed cases of in school transmission. (+27). Since the "great reset" in January, 24 have been forced to close and move online. Infections among 5-19 are now equiv to Nov at 44% Dec peak with a steep rate of climb.
Read 11 tweets
22 Mar
Morning #ableg. NOT happy about it but here is your I told you so #shandemic report. Badness on all three fronts. Schools, Numbers and especially on variants of concern. Following report may be contain reality and be upsetting to religious zealots
As teachers/students are low priority we start there.
@SOSAlberta (+-Fri)
Schools with/had COVID cases 1256 (+7)
Last 2 weeks 328 (+34)
One case or Pre-Alert 115 (+22)
Alert (2-4) 118
Tier 1 Outbreak (4-9) 52 (-1)
Lagrange Lvl Outbreak (+4) 33
Closed 24 (+1)
There are also 99 variant cases in 53 different schools over 15 boards. 40 of which were likely transmitted IN school. March has shown a large spike in cases among 5-19 year olds. In this category the third wave has now reached 44% of Dec peak. + roughly 10% over last week.
Read 8 tweets

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