I see there's some discussion over people moving to #Texas. That's great. About 40% of Texans weren't born in Texas. @DaveTurbohawk @Cleansniper23 1/6
Generally, states with more freedom attract more migrants, domestic and international, than states with less freedom. People vote with their feet. There are 3 polls over the years that suggest that the people moving to #Texas are not a political threat. 2/6
In the most recent year reported, about 560,000 people moved to Texas from the U.S. and about 450,000 people moved out. (See: census.gov/data/tables/ti…) @TPPF 3/6
In 2013, UT Austin and the @TexasTribune polled Californians who moved to Texas. They were 57% conservative vs. 27% liberal. In the 2018 US Senate race, a CNN exit poll found that non-natives voted for Sen. Cruz by +15, natives voted for O'Rourke +3. 4/6
Our own poll of 800 Texas voters in 2019 found voters born in Texas favoring Trump over Clinton by 7% compared to transplants favoring Trump by 12%. Our polling this year found the same level of support for Trump and Biden between natives and non-natives. 6/6
Postscript: In our most recent round of polling, almost 1,300 voters, we found that where mover came from matters. Movers from the Mountain West are the most conservative. Immigrants from Latin America are the most liberal. Fmr. Californians skew conservative.

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More from @ChuckDeVore

17 May
I've been reading the #Texas House Committee Substitute for SB10 capitol.texas.gov/BillLookup/His…, a bill which, as filed, sought to ban counties and cities from using taxpayer funds to lobby the legislature. @TPPF 1/n
Last Friday, the House State Affairs Committee amended the bill beyond all recognition. Now, instead of a ban on lobbying by cities and counties, lawyers are allowed unlimited lobbying and they no longer have to report it. 2/n
Further, SB10 now repeals SB65 authored by @TeamBettencourt in 2019 and signed into law by @GovAbbott. SB65 required Texas's political subdivisions to report their lobbying expenditures. Many have dragged their feet and not reported. capitol.texas.gov/BillLookup/His… 3/n
Read 10 tweets
18 Feb
See the second page of @ERCOT_ISO's latest reliability assessment. ercot.com/content/wcm/li… Under the top table describing the reserve margins, they have a table labelled “Range of Potential Risks.” 1/10 @TPPF @Life_Powered_ #texaspoweroutage
Something between the 4th and 5th columns is what happened this week. Add 2,000 MW of demand above ERCOT’s adjustment here (they assumed a record of 67,200 MW) and 10,000 MW from planned thermal outages, likely for maintenance, going into the cold front. 2/10
Take out another 1,600-1,900 MW from lower wind production than in the baseline, and reserves are below 2,000 MW. That’s where Texas was Sunday night. 3/10
Read 11 tweets
16 Feb
Much misinformation out there about #Texaspoweroutage, @ERCOT_ISO, wind and solar power, and thermal generators (gas and coal). Let's review what we think we know right now. @TPPF @Life_Powered_ 1/10
Two problems in #Texas, one short term and exacerbated by the long term issue, and one long term. 2/10
The short term failure came at about 1 AM Monday when #ERCOT should have seen the loads soaring due to plummeting temperatures and arranged for more generation. 3/10
Read 10 tweets
31 Aug 20
Thoughts on the state of the race for President. Running for a major office is an exhausting endeavor. In my own experience, I had two intense campaigns: my first primary win for California State Assembly in 2004 and my run for the U.S. Senate in 2010. 1/9
In 2004, I was up against 5 other opponents, including a self-funded candidate who had about $1 million spent on her behalf. Each day was a contest: raising money, giving speeches, seeking endorsements, meeting voters. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chuck_DeV… 2/9
I flew up to Sacramento to seek support from lawmakers and various trade associations. At the end of the day, I flew back to Orange County. I was in the airport, having dinner, when I saw my main opponent. I was exhausted. 3/9
Read 9 tweets
8 Aug 20
U.S. intelligence assesses that #China & #Iran are working against @realDonaldTrump's reelection while #Russia is working against @JoeBiden. Let's think about this. As a Strategic Studies major at @CMCnews, I studied the Cold War... cnn.com/2020/08/07/pol… 1/5
This included Soviet communist ideology (Marxist-Leninism) and Western ideology. We had a clash of systems and beliefs, not just national might like tanks, ships, and nuclear missiles. Eventually, we won the Cold War. 2/5
I did my part as a @USArmy intelligence officer and as a Reagan appointee in the Pentagon (a special assistant for foreign affairs). So, today, why is Russia seemingly on one side and China and Iran on the other? Simple answer is national interest. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
7 Aug 20
Texas @TexasDSHS just updated their #COVID dashboard for the day. Some takeaways: They are now breaking out the 3 main types of test results, molecular, antibody, and antigen and providing positive numbers for each... @TPPF 1/4
(You can see the dashboard here: txdshs.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashbo…); COVID hospitalizations continue to trend down, now back to where they were around July 4, though the #Laredo region continues to be strained, with 1 ICU bed open; 2/4
The 7-day average of new cases continues to trend down while the number of estimated active cases is down to a level last seen on July 16. 3/4
Read 4 tweets

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