#garware hi-tech films Q4 concall happened today. My key takeaways. If you find the thread useful, please RT so it can be benefit maximum investors.
1. Gross Margins dropped by 5% compared to Q3.
In b/w lines: RM prices increased 5%.
However they pass on all price increases to customers with some lag. Will be able to pass on prices July onwards. Should see increase in gross margins July onwards. QoQ margin volatility is bound to be there when RM prices cannot be immediately passed on.
Volatility in stock price is not risk it is an opportunity to buy for an informed investor. Did the value of company change by 10% intraday? No.
2. GHTF is doing additional 135 cr capex to increase sun control films capacity by 67% from 2400 lsqft to 4200 lsqft.
In b/w lines: Capex will be ready by Q1FY23. 40% utilization in in FY23 and 100% in FY24. 120cr capex for the ppf line together puts this capex spree at 250cr+
They haven't done a large capex like this in a long time. This is time for analysts and investors to sit up take notice and do some analysis on whether co can sweat it's capex in next 3-4 years. 600cr incremental revenue will come from capex.
More could come from price increase, changing product mix & market mix. PPF line is already breaking even. This itself shows us what kind of capacity utilisation it must be having in order to break even. In my understanding ppf could do 100cr revenue on conservative side in fy22
3. Co spends 1.5-1.8 cr on R&D every year. So why can't competitors replicate their tech and copy their products?
Answer: two reasons : the fact that they are vertically integrated means that they make their own chips from the crude oil derivatives and PET film from the chips.
This enables them to have high control over the quality of the PET film which competitors who buy their chips cannot achieve.
Second reason: it is not just about the R&D costs. The research takes time. The tech has been build sequentially over the years on top of each other.
It cannot just be achieved by throwing money at the problem. Garware has developed some of this tech over decades. It will take competitors many years to develop the same sort of technology capabilities (ability to dye PET films, ability to manufacture sun films, ppf films etc)
If you like the Q4 updates please consider reading the thread which explains garware hi tech films biz:

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More from @sahil_vi

30 May
#idfcfirstbank is my largest and oldest investment. Thought of creating a thread to explain the business. If you like the thread, please spread the knowledge, retweet. Buckle up, because this is going to be a long one. :D Image
Quick summary of what a bank does. This enables me to establish a framework under which the analysis of the bank will become very structured.
Money is its raw material.
Bank takes customer deposits, raises money via borrowings (can issue its own bonds, takes loans from other banks etc). This is the input for the bank. Since the bank is liable to pay interest on it, it is also known as liabilities.
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27 May
What better way to start a Thursday morning than with key takeaways from #Laurus Q4 results.
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25 May
In this context, recent talk by prof @Sanjay__Bakshi becomes very interesting:


Amazing talk 🙏🙏 I have requested even my non investor friends & family to watch. The opposite of a good idea, can also be a good idea. 😁
Teaches us importance of humility
To clarify the talk happened in November 2020 but was uploaded by @CFASocietyIndia yesterday.
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25 May
#Garware #HiTechFilms Search this company on twitter, all you see is news of @LuckyInvest_AK Ashish sir investing in it. This thread adds some fundamental research about this company, to demystify it. If you like the thread, please retweet so max investors can gain the knowledge
Primary business of GHTF is manufacturing polyester (PET) films. These are transparent plastic films used for a variety of purposes. Packaging of items. The tint you see on windows (not in India, but abroad) is a PET film. The tint you see on buildings (yes, in India); PET Film.
Not all polyester films were made equal though. The basic PET film is a commodity. Primary use is packaging. There are 11 manufacturers in India. Most PET manufacturers are thus commodity producers. Not GHTF though.
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23 May
Thanks for sharing 🙏. Loved it. Much to learn from both camps.
Reminds me of an anecdote which happened recently. Wanted to share some knowledge on how I value #lauruslabs
#Valuations by their nature are subjective so some of these will be opinions.
Someone recently asked me following:
#lauruslabs has publicly stated guidance of doing 1B$ revenue in Fy23, with 30% EBITDA margins. They calculated profits to be 2340cr in Fy23. So P/E based on Fy23 earnings would be 14.
Question: Is this cheap?
My Answer (Rest of the thread):
Philosophical: Valuations lie in the eyes of the beholder & are most difficult part of any investment thesis; personally. There is no single “valuation”. Each investor must make their own decision on how to value, what's cheap, what is expensive.
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21 May
#angelbroking so many UC. 🤣
This thread is to understand the biz & what excites me about it. A bit about the #broking industry too. This is going to be a long thread, so please don't hold your breath. As always retweet if you like, so max people can benefit. 🙏
#Brokers provide the UI/UX to the end participant to execute their trades. Traditionally, brokers have made money through couple of major sources:
1. Brokerage: In the olden days, brokers used to have “packs” (say X trades in Y days for Z rupees) and also provide custom plans to their clients with a focus on driving volume. This got disrupted with the advent of discount brokers like Zerodha.
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