What better way to start a Thursday morning than with key takeaways from #Laurus Q4 results.
1. Aiming to do 1B$ in revenue in FY23 maintain 30% EBITDA margins.
In b/w lines: In b/w lines: Will diversify API & formulation division and grow the anti-diabetic, oncology API and formulations division.
Laurus also increased capex guidance from 1100 cr in last Q to 1500cr-1700cr over FY22 and FY23. Not all of capex done in FY23 would contribute to 1B$ sales target.
So no additional capex required for 1B$ target. EBITDA Margins to be maintained at 30% can improve beyond FY23 fueled by Laurus Synthesis and Laurus Bio.
2. CRAMS division to be self-reliant by FY23
In b/w lines: 25% of all that capex will be for laurus synthesis. New R&D center being built will further accelerate the growth.
Pursuing several active projects in the late-stage clinical programs & commercial supplies of 4 products are ongoing.
Acquired land for manufacturing site which will cater to manufacturing need for next 25 years (big statement to make. All further capex in Laurus synthesis will be brownfield capex. Accretive for Unit economics). Could there be value-unlocking (IPO) here beyond FY23? Maybe.
3. Laurus Bio to start making recombinant proteins and do fermentation.
In b/w lines: Current capacity 10,000L. Building 1,80,000L capacity. Will build 1M L capacity in next 2 years. That’s a 100x scale up in 2 years.
In medium term, Laurus bio will do contract development and manufacturing services in biotech space. In long term, they do have plans to manufacture biologics, vaccines, insulin. Division needs large customers. Talks ongoing. Will grow rapidly. Need 5 years to nurture division.
4. A meta-observation from me: Saurabh Mukherjee sir in recent debate with sunil sir made a good point about companies like #pidilite being valued not just for the tangible cashflows, but for the ability of the management to churn out multiple growth engines one after another.
Adhesives, water proofing. Similar reasoning was also applied for Dr lal path labs. I think #lauruslabs and Dr chava have demonstrated the ability to do exactly the same. Laurus synthesis started 7 years ago. Is now scaling up and growing beautifully.
Started laurus bio now to cover the next decade of growth. Aggresively diversifying into non-ARV APIs backed by 4% of sales being spent in R&D. This is a management and company which knows how to create the engines of future profitable growth in the present.
That intangible "asset" is not reflected in current valuations IMHO. That asset remains unseen, even today with the company being well covered by all research houses.
Disclaimer: I am invested from lower levels and of course positively biased. This is not a buy or sell recommendation but only for educating fellow investors.
Please retweet the first tweet if you like the thread so it can benefit maximum investors. 😁
To those wondering why I'm posting this a month after it happened, I was at the peak of my covid experience back then so only listened to the concall yesterday.
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In this context, recent talk by prof @Sanjay__Bakshi becomes very interesting:
Amazing talk 🙏🙏 I have requested even my non investor friends & family to watch. The opposite of a good idea, can also be a good idea. 😁
Teaches us importance of humility
#Garware#HiTechFilms Search this company on twitter, all you see is news of @LuckyInvest_AK Ashish sir investing in it. This thread adds some fundamental research about this company, to demystify it. If you like the thread, please retweet so max investors can gain the knowledge
Primary business of GHTF is manufacturing polyester (PET) films. These are transparent plastic films used for a variety of purposes. Packaging of items. The tint you see on windows (not in India, but abroad) is a PET film. The tint you see on buildings (yes, in India); PET Film.
Not all polyester films were made equal though. The basic PET film is a commodity. Primary use is packaging. There are 11 manufacturers in India. Most PET manufacturers are thus commodity producers. Not GHTF though.
Thanks for sharing 🙏. Loved it. Much to learn from both camps.
Reminds me of an anecdote which happened recently. Wanted to share some knowledge on how I value #lauruslabs #Valuations by their nature are subjective so some of these will be opinions.
Someone recently asked me following: #lauruslabs has publicly stated guidance of doing 1B$ revenue in Fy23, with 30% EBITDA margins. They calculated profits to be 2340cr in Fy23. So P/E based on Fy23 earnings would be 14.
Question: Is this cheap?
My Answer (Rest of the thread):
Philosophical: Valuations lie in the eyes of the beholder & are most difficult part of any investment thesis; personally. There is no single “valuation”. Each investor must make their own decision on how to value, what's cheap, what is expensive.
#angelbroking so many UC. 🤣
This thread is to understand the biz & what excites me about it. A bit about the #broking industry too. This is going to be a long thread, so please don't hold your breath. As always retweet if you like, so max people can benefit. 🙏
#Brokers provide the UI/UX to the end participant to execute their trades. Traditionally, brokers have made money through couple of major sources:
1. Brokerage: In the olden days, brokers used to have “packs” (say X trades in Y days for Z rupees) and also provide custom plans to their clients with a focus on driving volume. This got disrupted with the advent of discount brokers like Zerodha.
A rising tide lifts all boats. I would caution all investors to read the VP thread for #shaktipumps. In 2014, Management had guided for 400 cr revenue in 2015. Actual revenues were 292, 296, 264 cr in 2014, 2015, 2016.
Not to take anything away from the business setup and Industry tailwinds but company's guidance and statements have been slightly less than truthful in the past. forum.valuepickr.com/t/shakti-pumps…
Warren Buffett only have 2 rules for investing: 1. Don't lose money. 2. Don't forget rule 1.
#tips industries My key takeaways from latest (Q3FY21) concall and investor presentation. If you like the thread, please retweet so that others can also benefit. 1. Management confident of growing topline at 25-30%. Claims industry is growing at 30-40%.
In b/w lines: Personally, I felt some of the numbers were pulled out of thin air. Management seems a bit less professional than #saregama. Having said that, as tips inks more deals with music licencing platforms (eg:telecom.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/tips-indu…) it can meet its revenue growth guidance
2. If they buy a song for X, they make that money back in 1 year. Maximum of 2 years.
In b/w lines: This is extremely high ROICs. It must be understood why the content they acquire is selling so cheap that they are able to make an ROIC of 50%-100%.