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Sergej Sumlenny

@sumlenny

17 Apr

Two Russian Northern Fleet major landing vessels of 775 project have entered the Black Sea. Each 775-project vessel can carry 10 tanks and 340 soldiers. In addition to 6 minor landing vessels from Caspian Fleet (each 100 soldiers) this is VERY dangerous.
interfax.ru/world/761787

In addition to its automatic guns, anti-air guns and anti-air missiles, each 775 vessel carries 2x725-Grad launchers capable to shot 80 122-mm rockets at once for up to 20 km.

So up to date Russia has brought to the Black Sea 17 additional naval vessels, incl. 8 landing vessels (can carry 1280 soldiers, 20 tanks) and 9 gun boats and rocket artillery boats. At the same time, the U.S. "deescalates" and stops its 2 destroyers from entering the Black Sea.

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Sergej Sumlenny

@sumlenny

9 Apr

THREAD: what comes next amid Russian pressure on Ukraine? The situation is pretty volatile and covered with fog of war. Still, certain important factors are visible. I’d try to elaborate.

1) I believe, that the main moving factor behind Russian pressure is the lack of water on occupied Crimea. With 85% dependency from Dnipro river, Crimean water reservoirs are dried out after 6 years of annexing. In cities, water supply is rationed. This summer will be terrible.

1.1) Zelensky wanted to give Russia water (essential for occupation) months ago, but abandoned this idea as he has realized this would be end of his presidency. So Russia plans to take water by force. Why do I think it is only about water, not about revival of “Novorossia”?

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Sergej Sumlenny

@sumlenny

29 Jan

Kremlin spokesperson Peskov says, annexation of Donbas "is not on Russia's agenda", commenting the speech of Kremlin top propagandist Simonyan yesterday in Donbas (Simonyan urged for annexation). Let me explain, why this can be seen as a confirmation, not as a denial (Thread)

The joke "it is not true, as long as not denied by Kremlin" is actually not a joke. There are numerous examples of Kremlin "denials" that in the fact were confirmations. The most prominent one - several Putin's speeches as he said, Russia has not territorial claims vs Ukraine

Putin has confirmed many times, Russia and Ukraine have agreed on the border; Russia has no intentions to annex Crimea; or Russia has never sent any military personnel to Crimea or Donbas - the latter statements have been revoked by Putin himself later.

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Sergej Sumlenny

@sumlenny

26 Jan

Very disturbing news from Russia-occupied Ukrainian Donbas region. A draft "law" is under consideration in "DNR", that would extremely discriminate Ukrainian citizens who live in the region (about 1.5m people). Those who will remain in possession of Ukrainian citizenship... (1/x)

(2/x) Those who will stay in possession of Ukrainian citizenship and will not abandon it for a "DNR" one, would be banned from ownership rights of any property, and banned from entrepreneurship activities. Moreover, they can be arrested up to 30 days "for needs of identification"

(3/3) The "law" is a clear copy-paste from Russia-occupied Georgian region of Abkhazia. The "law" foresees a "transfer period" until 2025. This can be interpreted as a way to pressure President Zelensky and force him to a sort of agreement on a "union" and "recognition" of "DNR".

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Sergej Sumlenny

@sumlenny

17 Jan

Interesting, that Navalnys quote the famous cult final saying from the most chauvinist and imperialist Russian movie “Brat 2”, the movie Putin absolutely loves to quote as well, as this movie calls to kill U.S. Americans and Ukrainians and proclaims Russians a superior nation.

The moment from the film:

And here is another moment, one Putin loves to quote. The protagonist robes the "morally spoiled" American business person who is involved in sex trafficking and porno production with minors from Russia (hallo, QAnon!) :

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Sergej Sumlenny

@sumlenny

16 Jan

Starting from today, Ukrainian business are obliged to provide services in Ukrainian in a case when a customer requests to get a such one. Sounds very logical, huh? Still, there are a lot of myths and anti-Ukrainian propaganda around this law. Let me try to explain (THREAD)

2/x Indeed, most of Ukrainians understand at least two languages: Ukrainian and Russian. Many of Ukrainians speak the third language: Tatar, Bulgarian, Greek, Polish, Hungarian etc. But in almost ever case when the discussion turns to the topic of language, one mentions Russian

3/x The speed of Russian language has at least 300 years old history. It was a history of prohibition of Ukrainian language (with short interruptions) and forced russification of Ukraine. Therefore, when one says, "Ukraine has always been bilingual", it is just not true.

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