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Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
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3 Jun, 4 tweets, 2 min read
As someone who's interested in both football & politics and listens to many podcasts on both - I've noticed a strange development.

Everytime players take the knee for #BLM and they're booed the football journalists are outraged & seem at a loss to know why its happens.

& yet...
2/
And yet these journalists are working for the Telegraph, Mail & Sun - the very papers that have spent the last 2 years not just ridiculing #BLM but actively villifying it.

Would those literally booing their own players be doing so if they hadn't been whipped up by the media?
3/
So the next time sports journalists from the Telegraph, Mail or Sun bemoans the booing they should be called out for being complicit in this.
4/
Ive even seen journalists expressing outrage over booing of #BLM & then seconds later touting for subscriptions for the papers that are encouraging the booing.

Journalists are simultaneously claiming the moral high ground...while promoting the papers that cause the problem.

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More from @nicktolhurst

Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
4 Jun
The below tweet basically acts like a test to see how strategic remainers are.

If there really is a dormant 48% + n demographic ready & waiting for a national party to campaign on instant rejoin now the LibDens would be running on it.

Rejoiners need to think & act smarter.
Fight the battle you can win now..not the battle you dream of winning in 5 years time.
A plausible scenario

LibDems fight election on closer coop with EU on Erasmus & food standards
Labour campaign for “better Brexit deal”

2024 Coalition then negotiates alignment with EU 2027

Then we take it from there

Or we could all p*ss in the wind for a 2nd ref & Boris wins
Read 4 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
2 Jun
This is what will happen:

UK govt won’t run risk of Scotland or N Ireland leaving so Brexit must be shown to, at the very least, not to have been a disaster. The election is in 3 years away which means...Johnson will spend the next 3 years pumping money through the country.
Thing is UK been doing this already with furlough. This means lots of suppressed demand + johnsonian grand “ leveling up” projects & Brexit baubles while trade & industry stutters likely means higher inflation.

Which leads to..
3/
Inflation in this form is basically excess money in a slow growing economy and where do Brits put that..?

...in housing of course.
As always.

House price boosts is basically 80% of its core vote sorted so Johnson won’t mind that.
Read 7 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
2 Jun
One of the many perverse outcomes of Brexit is that it may have simultaneously led to an increase in EU immigration but also a decrease in EU “hospitality workers”.

This sounds, at first, counter intuitive but increasingly looks likely to have happened.

This is how...
2/
The major impact Brexit had on EU citizens was to force upon them a choice:
Stay in UK to get settled status & avoid visa/border issues...or leave.

We now know that more EU citizens successfully applied for settled status than were thought to have been in UK in 2016..

But..
3/
While the settled status issue may have increased “committed long term” stays...Brexit itself made seasonal work for young EUers not based all year round in the UK in the seasonally fluctuating hospitality industry more difficult.
Read 5 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
31 May
I only really understood Britain when I moved to Germany.

I remember the penny drop moment when I met the richest, most educated Munich residents speaks with a Bavarian accent. Whereas in England Alexander Armstrong sounds like he comes from from Berkshire.
Interesting replies to this.
People either don’t get it or never thought about it before.

But the more you think about it the darker it gets.
The English class system doesn’t just iron out dialects - it transfer rich successful people out of their regional cultures.

It’s a...
3/
It’s almost a Darwinian cultural selection process.
I have a theory this also explains why so many English villages so much better than many English towns.
Local cultural regional pride of local elites is far weaker in England - as they literally don’t see themselves as such.
Read 5 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
24 May
+UPDATE+

Concern in Brussels that EU-UK ability to tackle common issues is actually "slowing down" post Brexit deal.

The expectation had been that once the "highly politicised" Brexit trade deal phase over relations would naturally improve.

2 reasons have been given for this..
2/
a) Post deal, the UK has actually stepped up its efforts to "bilateralise" its european dealings prompting EU counter reaction of insisting on full communication & thus delays diplomatic business. EU assumption is that this is part of UK strategy to deligitimise the EU.
3/
b) EU believes UK divergence strategy in its forthcoming trade deals combined with NI protocol rejection means that UK has not entirely given up idea of "cakeism" re single market access.
This means EU believes it has to scrutinise all relations with UK far more intensely.
Read 4 tweets
Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺 Profile picture
24 May
+UPDATE+

Canada has informed UK it expects the same “zero tariffs/zero quota” on agriculture as Australia is being offered if a trade deal is to be signed.

This would seem to confirm civil servants’ warnings that a trade precedent is being set that will destroy British farming.
2/
While Canada is a significant player in farm exports the real danger here is that it seems implausible the UK could resist giving the US a similar deal to that of Canada.

A chain reaction has thus been set off by the UK over which the British govt may no longer have control.
3/
At this stage, if the Australian trade deal goes ahead as signposted, it’s probably too late to stop this now.

The only really interesting thing will be under what SPS/health restrictions are these deals signed under....
Read 4 tweets

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