Mayor Suarez @FrancisSuarez is now offering to host a summit in Miami and I'm nearly sure it will happen. Hell, I probably know people who will fight to sponsor it.
On this momentous night in #Bitcoin history, I’ve see a number of people ask “how could this possibly not cause the price to go up?”
My theory: individual events don’t impact bitcoin’s price, at least, not really and not alone.
🧵time!
Bitcoin markets seem driven by big, structural narratives that create raison d’etre for new entrants to participate.
We’ve been in one of those since March 2020: money-printer-go-brrr-means-inevitable-inflation-means-institutions-get in here.
Within the context of those meta narratives, individual events that validate and amplify the narrative can impact price - both by drawing new people in on the strength of the evidence for the narrative as well as by arming bulls and traders who are inclined to go long.
This new crop of critics pointing to the history of technology to explain why #bitcoin will inevitably be disrupted by something newer have totally missed that the most powerful forces in social technologies are not product features, but *network effects*
“Hurrrr but MySpace and Facebook.”
Yeah, and it’s been 15+ years since Facebook won. It has 2,800,000,000 users. Do we really think that nothing technologically better has come along in 15 years?
No, it’s the network effects.
“But bitcoin isn’t a social technology!”
Money is first and FOREMOST a social technology. By definition money is irrelevant without networks of people to exchange it. We just happen to call these networks markets.
3) When the markets DID start to finally react, bitcoiners were quick off the draw to point out that, whatever the risk the virus posed, the economic threat was significantly predetermined by fragility borne of decades of decisions.
Belarus is the most interesting story people aren't paying attention to:
-26 year dictator arrests popular YouTuber who plans to run for prez
-YouTuber's wife runs on promise to hold real elections 6 months later, gets huge support
-Dictator claims to win 80% of vote...
(cont.)
-Massive demonstrations begin, not just in the capital but in 20+ cities around the country
-Police are INCREDIBLY brutal. 6000+ arrested. Widespread reports of torture. Horrifying audio evidence of torture all over the internet.
-Some police shown renouncing dictator.
(cont)
-Internet shut off for 4 days
-Only app even a little usable is Telegram, which says it activated "anti-censorship tools"
-The main TG channel coordinating efforts of ~2 million Belarusians was started as a music channel 5 years ago by a teenager and has 4 staff and no website
3/ The month kicked off with the realization - a stunning one to many to be sure - that not only had the market come screaming back after March lows - it had done so with record vigor.