US #PMI data from @IHSMarkit show the economy surged in May, led by the largest expansion of consumer services activity on record. #GDP growth could reach double-digits as the economy opens up, adding further pressure on the #FOMC. More at bit.ly/3wnJVZb
@IHSMarkit Here's the latest @IHSMarkitPMI US survey data tracked against historical @FOMC policy decisions, highlighting the unprecedented surge in economic activity ...
@IHSMarkit @IHSMarkitPMI @fomc This economic boom in the US is being accompanied by price rises which far outpace the rate of inflation seen in other countries, with the PMI's index of prices charged for goods and services at a record high by some margin in the US....
@IHSMarkit @IHSMarkitPMI @fomc The extent to which prices charged for US consumer goods and services is exceeding that seen in Europe and Asia is quite striking, and likely reflects the turbo-boosting of the US rebound via consumer-focused fiscal policy stimulus measures

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More from @WilliamsonChris

5 Jan
Global factory growth ends 2020 close to decade-highs, but supply worsens bit.ly/3bfKA7f
A key contributor to the relatively swift return of robust global #manufacturing growth in the recent months has been a revival in worldwide goods trade. There's some signs of this export boost fading though...
While there were some reports of demand having weakened amid resurgent waves of COVID-19 infections in many parts of the world, notably Europe, output, demand and trade flows were in many cases also constrained by rising supply problems.
Read 8 tweets
24 Jul 20
Flash @IHSMarkitPMI surveys show global economy on road to recovery from pandemic. The G4 economies’ flash #PMI output index rose from 46.5 in June to 51.1 in July, up further from an all-time low of 21.5 in April. Read more at bit.ly/3eTVFZP
@IHSMarkitPMI The statistical historical relationship of the flash PMI with global #GDP suggests that the latest reading is broadly consistent with the global economy growing by 2% on a year ago, up from a signal of 0.2% growth in June.
@IHSMarkitPMI Output has risen in both manufacturing and services on aggregate among the G4 economies (US, UK, Japan, Eurozone)
Read 8 tweets
5 Nov 19
UK economy in worst spell since 2009 as all-sector #PMI signals further contraction. PMI rose from 48.8 in Sep to 49.5 in Oct, but declines have now been recorded in four of the past five months 1/
The Oct PMI indicates GDP q/q rate of fall of -0.1%, similar that signalled by in Q3. Official data are likely to have indicated more robust growth in Q3, the PMI warns that some of this strength reflects a pay-back from a steeper decline than signalled by the surveys in Q2 2/
Manufacturing remains in worst spell since 2012 while construction is in deepest downturn since 2009, with both in recession. Services meanwhile stagnated, improving on the decline seen in September but still suggesting that the sector is stuck in its worst patch since 2012 3/
Read 12 tweets
1 Aug 19
IHS Markit/CIPS UK Manufacturing PMI indicated that output fell in July to an extent not seen since July 2012, and a rate exceeded only twice since early-2009. The index is consistent with manufacturing production falling at a quarterly rate of 1%, or 4% annually. 1/
New orders also fell at one of the steepest seen over the past decade as the past three months has been the worst spell for exports for seven years. Job losses accelerated in response. July saw the 2nd sharpest drop in factory employment since early 2013. 2/
Alongside the cooling pace of manufacturing growth, the survey saw a further easing of prices pressures. The PMI gauge of input costs fell to the lowest since April 2016 while the index of average selling prices slipped to the lowest since June 2016 (former charted here v PPI) 3/
Read 6 tweets

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