Have written my column today on Britain's new foreign policy strategy, which is much more developed (and convincing) then many realise. But there's a big 'but'. (1/?) thetimes.co.uk/article/4fd9b7…
Our new approach is exactly the opposite of the EU's. It's to create and support the coalitions that are going to do the most on any issue. It's to be practical, flexible, fast and fluid.
In doing so, it's a philosophical - even theological - rebuke to the EU, both in terms of diplomacy and economics/regulation.
But as I say, the problem with dancing with multiple partners is that they do compare notes. The new strategy only works if all our new partners trust that we're a reliable actor.
And this is the NI problem. The Protocol is indeed awful and dysfunctional. The EU is indeed acting like an inflexible, bureaucratic superstate (which is kind of why we left...). It is indeed inflaming sectarian tensions in the area.
But the counterpoint is that we signed the bloody thing. No one forced us to. And if we rip it up, what does that mean for our status as a trustworthy actor on all the other stuff?
Full thing here - please give it a read thetimes.co.uk/article/4fd9b7…

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More from @rcolvile

7 Jun
I wrote my Sunday Times column yesterday about the problems Boris Johnson will have paying for education catch-up. No such problems in Scotland - because they've only put in £20m, or 1/155th of the amount. What's going on? A quick thread (1/?) thetimes.co.uk/article/plucki…
The Johnson govt put £1.7bn into extra tuition last year, and £1.4bn this. The Scottish govt claims to have already spent £400m on 'education recovery'. On the face of it, given population size, this makes Scotland slightly more generous in terms of catch-up funding. Right?
Wrong! The £400m was spent primarily on ventilation in classrooms, to help children go back to school safely. Which is good! We all know the virus doesn’t like fresh air. But it’s stopping the slide, not repairing the damage glasgowtimes.co.uk/news/19212491.…
Read 24 tweets
6 Jun
Have written on the catch-up row, and what it tells us about the (many) battles ahead. Quick summary below (1/?) thetimes.co.uk/article/plucki…
Boris told the nation in April that after an “absolutely unimaginable year for... everybody in education”, his biggest priority was “the loss of learning for so many children and young people.” But when Sir Kevan Collins came up with a plan, he wouldn't fund it. How come?
First things first. As this @CPSThinkTank/@PublicFirst_PF report by @racheljanetwolf, @jonathansimons & @racheljanetwolf shows, catch-up is vitally necessary, as parents/public both recognise. cps.org.uk/research/lost-…
Read 12 tweets
3 Jun
Today, @CPSThinkTank publishes a major report on education catch-up by @racheljanetwolf, @jonathansimons & @gabrielmilland. (Which given the news agenda today, has been a bit like wandering into No Man's Land on the first day of the Somme and asking 'Anyone for a picnic?'...)
The report has some really important findings, which speak to the concerns of those on all sides of the debate - not least one B Johnson, when he said that 'loss of learning' should be our 'biggest priority' and is 'the thing we've got to focus on now as a society'
We did multiple polls and focus groups. It's very clear that parents feel their children have been badly affected by lockdown (67% agree). Only 5% of voters said there was no need for catch-up.
Read 14 tweets
28 May
There is a point I haven't seen made on social care. The argument made by @Jeremy_Hunt and others was that you needed to make DfH a department of health and social care, to get it taken seriously. But the pandemic seems to show that when the chips are down, it always loses out.
The reason for the decanting of patients was because they were (legitimately) terrified of hospitals/the wider NHS falling over, and desperate to free up space. But that's sort of symbolic of our wider priorities on health, going back decades.
You can also see it re social care funding - a thorny problem that's just sort of sat there, with lots of solutions proposed (including by us!) but never quite reaching the top of the pile. Whereas NHS itself gets pretty much all the spare cash going, whoever's PM
Read 4 tweets
20 May
Worth flagging this @CPSThinkTank research showing that rail privatisation has been a noted success story - customer satisfaction with our trains is consistently among the highest in Europe, and we have more and more reliable trains spectator.co.uk/article/nation…
Prices are high, but that's because we actually make people pay for the cost of their tickets, rather than disguising it with subsidy. And many of the problems, esp punctuality, are a symptom of using our track more efficiently than others, meaning less slack in the system
Obviously there are things to fix, many of which the Williams Review addresses. And obviously the pandemic has been shattering for the business model. But the narrative that this is a failed system in need of rescue just doesn't stand up to the facts.
Read 4 tweets
13 May
V rough rule of thumb calculations. UK GDP is £2 trillion. 2.1% growth in March £42bn. Vaccine programme cost £12bn. Obviously you can't credit it for the full rebound, but it's starting to look like the best investment UK govt ever made.
As ever @CPSThinkTank ahead of the curve on this, viz this by @JethroFElsden conservativehome.com/platform/2021/…
More on this from Ambrose E-P in the Telegraph today telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/…
Read 4 tweets

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