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21 Jun, 6 tweets, 4 min read
TODAY’S (6月21日) #COVID19 update for #Taiwan 🇹🇼
📉75 local + 0 imported cases 📉trend
📉20 deaths 📈trend
📈0.6% test positive rate
📈4.2% case fatality rate (CFR) since May 1
🧪13k tests ⤵️capacity
⚠️It's Monday. Numbers of tests and their positive rates are key metrics. ⬇️ 1/6
DAILY CASES REPORTED (pink bars) and their 7-DAY AVERAGE (pink line), where each day is the mean of itself and the previous six. DEATHS (crimson red bars) at the bottom. THRILLED to have room for the chart legend specifically in the top right quadrant! 2/6
AGE DISTRIBUTION OF CASES. Local cases from May 1-June 20 (age data for cases lag by a day), including those with missing locations. Only a single category is provided for ages >70, which constitute 14% of all cases. DATA ➡️ data.cdc.gov.tw/en/dataset/ags… 3/6
Our local case fatality rate for May 1-June 20 is 4.2%—sadly another new record for us, and higher than the world average of 1-3%. This is largely due to a disproportionate number of older cases, but undetected cases could contribute too. 4/6
CASES & DEATHS and their 7-DAY AVERAGE BY AGE for May 1-June 20. Keeping eyes peeled for 1) new clusters 1-2 weeks after Dragon Boat, when some traveled of necessity and 2) a- or pre-symptomatically founded clusters in places like workplaces or nursing homes. 5/6
WORKPLACE MOBILITY remains higher in Taiwan than other outbreak-halting countries. Our continued #COVID19 success arguably depends on updated guidelines, more #WorkFromHome, and #testing. Check out this 中文 piece w/ @cptwei in today's #天下 @CWM_en ⬇️ 6/6

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More from @chasewnelson

Chase W. Nelson 倪誠志 Profile picture
21 Jun
今天在 🇹🇼 #天下 @CWM_en 雜誌已刊出： "台灣抗疫成就 遠距工作、創新檢測成關鍵 "。 我與 @cptwei 寫了一篇有關建議 #Taiwan 對抗升 #COVID19 疫情的文章，主要是落實遠距工作、新的科學性篩檢方式。所有工作性質可以遠距辦公的員工，都必須改為遠距工作。重點如下 ⬇️ 1/6 opinion.cw.com.tw/blog/profile/5…
當前的台灣可說是提供了病毒滋養的溫床 — 尤其SARS-CoV-2 #Alpha (B.1.1.7)。依賴症狀的檢疫措施將會漏掉至少 50% 的病毒感染者。新型冠狀病毒會懸浮在空氣中並隨時間經過充斥整個房間。像辦公室這種通風不良的空調環境尤其危險。2/6
非必要地進公司辦公，會增加原可避免的傳染機會。特別是工作上的接觸通常是（應雇主要求）而非自願地，從四面八方聚集大量人群，並且持續相當長一段時間。應為社區人流居高不下。因此增加遠距辦公，我們確信 是控制這波爆發非常關鍵的政策。3/6
Read 6 tweets
Chase W. Nelson 倪誠志 Profile picture
20 Jun
TODAY’S (6月20日) #COVID19 update for #Taiwan 🇹🇼
📉107 local + 2 imported cases 📉trend
📉11 deaths 📉trend
📈0.6% test positive rate
📈4.1% case fatality rate (CFR) since May 1
🧪20k tests ⤵️capacity
⚠️Fewer cases BUT many fewer tests, higher positivity, and higher CFR. ⬇️ 1/6
DAILY CASES REPORTED (pink bars) and their 7-DAY AVERAGE (pink line), where each day is the mean of itself and the previous six. DEATHS (crimson red bars) at the bottom.
AGE DISTRIBUTION OF DEATHS for May 1-June 20:
🔴64% are ≥70
🔴26% are 60-69
🔴10% are 30-59 years
2/6
AGE DISTRIBUTION OF CASES. Local cases from May 1-June 19 (age data for cases lag by a day), including those with missing locations. Only a single category is provided for ages >70, which constitute 14% of all cases. DATA ➡️ data.cdc.gov.tw/en/dataset/ags… 3/6
Read 6 tweets
Chase W. Nelson 倪誠志 Profile picture
19 Jun
中文 version 6月19日 #Taiwan 🇹🇼 #COVID19 update.
今日（6/19）的疫情圖表，翻譯了中文版，共六張圖.
🙏 謝謝 @mitchlinmusic 翻譯! (如果中文有錯，請跟我們說！)
1️⃣ 高風險人流趨勢 - @cptwei analysis - WORKPLACE MOBILITY 辦公 remains HIGHER than other outbreak-halting countries ⬇️ 1/6 Image
2️⃣ 篩檢量能的趨勢，並與確診數做比較列出陽性率 2/6 Image
3️⃣ 確診數趨勢 （當日公布數版本） 3/6 Image
Read 6 tweets
Chase W. Nelson 倪誠志 Profile picture
19 Jun
TODAY’S (6月19日) #COVID19 update for #Taiwan 🇹🇼
📉127 local + 1 imported cases 📉trend
📉20 deaths 📉trend
📉0.3% test positive rate
📈4.0% case fatality rate (CFR) since May 1
🧪36k tests ⤵️trend
⚠️WORKPLACE MOBILITY remains HIGHER than other outbreak-halting countries ⬇️ 1/6 Image
DAILY TESTS REPORTED. Daily counts are subject to bias, with the fewest tests consistently reported on Mondays. This emphasizes the importance of 7-day averages, not daily values. The mean seems to be slowly rising, even though today's mean dipped. 2/6 Image
DAILY CASES REPORTED (pink bars) and their 7-DAY AVERAGE (pink line), where each day is the mean of itself and the previous six. DEATHS (crimson red bars) are seen at the bottom.
DEATHS AGE DISTRIBUTION for May 1-June 19:
🔴64% are ≥70
🔴26% are 60-69
🔴10% are 30-59 years
3/6 Image
Read 6 tweets
Chase W. Nelson 倪誠志 Profile picture
18 Jun
TODAY’S (6月18日) #COVID19 update for #Taiwan 🇹🇼
📈187 local + 1 imported cases 📉trend
📈21 deaths 📉trend
📉0.4% test positive rate
📈3.9% case fatality rate (CFR) since May 1
🧪42k tests 📈capacity
💡Good to see a record high tests (42.2k) and record low positivity (0.4%). 1/6 Image
DAILY CASES REPORTED (pink bars) and their 7-DAY AVERAGE (pink line), where each day is the mean of itself and the previous six. DEATHS (crimson red bars) are seen at the bottom.
DEATHS AGE DISTRIBUTION for May 1-June 18:
🔴64% are ≥70
🔴26% are 60-69
🔴10% are 30-59 years
2/6 Image
AGE DISTRIBUTION OF CASES. Local cases from May 1-June 17 (age data for cases lag by a day), including those with missing locations. Only a single category is provided for ages >70, which constitute 14% of all cases.
DATA ➡️ data.cdc.gov.tw/en/dataset/ags… 3/6 Image
Read 6 tweets
Chase W. Nelson 倪誠志 Profile picture
17 Jun
TODAY’S (6月17日) #COVID19 update for #Taiwan 🇹🇼
📈175 local + 0 imported cases 📉trend
📈19 deaths 📉trend
📉0.5% test positive rate
📈3.8% case fatality rate (CFR) since May 1
🧪36k tests 📈capacity
💡Good to see concurrent downward trends in cases, deaths, and positivity. 1/6
DAILY CASES REPORTED (pink bars) and their 7-DAY AVERAGE (pink line), where each day is the mean of itself and the previous six. Reported DEATHS (crimson red bars) are seen at the bottom. For deaths from May 1-June 17:
🔴64% are ≥70
🔴26% are 60-69
🔴10% are 30-59 years old
2/6
AGE DISTRIBUTION OF CASES. Local cases from May 1-June 16 (age data for cases lag by a day), including those with missing locations. Only a single category is provided for ages >70, which constitute 14% of all cases. ➡️data.cdc.gov.tw/en/dataset/ags… 3/6
Read 6 tweets

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