Maybe the ‘hoarding’ began Saturday then ? Oops no, Saturday June 19 was the best ever Saturday.
Must be Friday ? Nope, June 18 was the 4th best but very close to the top, and Fridays in June take up 3 of top 4.
2/
So did the trickery begin earlier ? Nope. Three full weeks of June occupy spots 2, 3 and 5 of top 5 best performing weeks along with the 2 April peak. Three days in , the current week is already on track to make the top 5 easily, if not become the all time best week.
3/
You’re making the mistake of bringing a pocket knife to a gun fight. You think the data is hard to find ? Wrong. This data is readily available on pib.gov.in and mohfw.gov.in . Gets updated 2x every day except Sunday, since March.
4/
What is the point of waving hands about saying things so completely divorced from reality, and so easily refuted with data ?
Ironically you were once in charge of the nations financial numbers.
One can only hope you had a somewhat better command of the numbers then.
5/5
Wednesday addendum:
With PIB 7pm data being available, Wednesday June 23 is the best ever Wednesday in terms of vaccinations.
After four days of this week (Sun-Wed), it is the second best ever week, up from 7th spot after Tuesday.
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With consistently rising consumption, the extrapolation of production based on weekly consumption has also risen to 117m/month rate now.
This is close to the higher end forecast of 120m/mo rate projected for June, with one more week to go, and almost 2x early May rate.
2/
Nit: earlier image should say Wk 3 for last bar.
The rate of increase from Wk2 wasn’t as high as prior weeks, but a month long acceleration is clear - already twice as long as the April surge in vaccinations, with supplies still increasing.
3/
Observations:
It has regularly been stated that April saw extremely high vaccination. In total numbers, this is true, over 90 million, increasing from 64M to 154M. However, daily data shows this is heavily biased to the first half.
2/
The April 7 day vaccination moving average drops to well below 3m/day in the second half of the month. And end of month it is 2.3M/day. May performance on the other hand has touched 2m/day as of May 24.
3/
There’s a lot of recent handwaving about Covaxin focusing on sensationalism around ‘lack of WHO EUL’. The status of this information can be readily found: extranet.who.int/pqweb/sites/de…
@BharatBiotech submitted the EOI only a month ago, with pre-submission meeting in May/June.
I'll try to interpret the *data* I've presented in this context:
The Indian approach cab be best characterized as opportunistic. It considers that certain things can be affected and certain things cannot. It attempts to maximize what can be leveraged. Let us explore:
Given the choice to develop N vaccine candidates (N can be few or many), certain invariants hold:
* Each of N takes 3 steps to approval.
* Each will take a minimum time to clear all 3.
* Addi resources or options will not speed this up ('9 women and a baby in 1 month..')
2/
Therefore during the discovery phase the govt chose to be an enabler. As Poonawalla's tweets in Apr-Dec 2020 showed, Govt facilitated their scaling up and encouraged them to sign big deals, and start production early.
3/
Let us look at US data since they were at the forefront with Operation Warp Speed; all numbers here are backed by reference data.
This shows how much of total US order volume has so far been fulfilled:
2/
Observations: three of six OWS contracts have yielded 0 doses to date. The J&J contract has yielded 15m doses, all imported because entire US production has been discarded for QC reasons, and they have been written off as a source: