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Vincent Foucher Profile picture
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26 Jun, 5 tweets, 1 min read
Meetings took place in Sambisa early on. 18 out of 20 Jasdj units reached quickly an agreement over doctrine. Only two groups had reservations - including the "Kangar" group - Bakura.
I have commented on the situation re:Bakura in an earlier discussion of Sahalaba's video.
There is indication Bakura and Iswap fought in early June. Not clear what the situation. The Sahalaba video called for the mediation the IS - and expressed loyalty to the Caliph...
Can Bakura and Iswap reach a deal? What do watchers in Diffa see ? @RadioBouclier
I still get signal of Bakura attacks against civilians in Chad (and some in Niger too). So they are not following the Iswap doctrine (unlike ex Jasdj in Sambisa - raiding has dropped dramatically)

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More from @VincentFoucher

Vincent Foucher Profile picture
27 Jun
I must say that this one time, my sense is different from yours, @bulamabukarti. In the #ISWAP video, there is at least Tahiru Baga, the English-speaking old man, a Yusufiyya pioneer and hisbah leader.
Also, I can't help noticing that reported attacks on civilians by #JASDJ have dropped drastically in Cameroon - one plausible interpretation is JASDJ is falling in line with ISWAP policy. Bakura is the exception here (and there are still attacks against civilians in Chad).
Plus ISWAP has already claimed four attacks in areas that used to be JASDJ areas. And they attacked Damboa from both sides, from Alagarno and from Sambisa.
Read 8 tweets
Vincent Foucher Profile picture
21 Jun
1. Habib Yusuf (aka Abu Musab al Barnawi), the new ad interim boss of #ISWAP responds in a 50-minute audio in Hausa to “the one who calls himself Imam al Shekawi”. A thread…
2. Most of it is a response to Shekau’s criticism of ISWAP's doctrine in the audio testament in Kanuri & Hausa that he put out on 18 May, shortly before blowing himself up (discussed in a previous thread). There are also interesting bits about Shekau’s pledge to the IS in 2015.
3. Why Habib does that while Shekau is dead is clear at the end of the audio: he addresses Shekau’s followers. He mentions Sambisa and Lake Chad… but also, interestingly Zamfara and Niger… does that mean they consider that there are indeed Shekau affiliates there?).
Read 27 tweets
Vincent Foucher Profile picture
14 Jun
0. OK, so now I have a readout on the video by Bakura Sahalaba of #JASDJ I discussed earlier today... This is thread time... and then I have a Moscow Mule to close the day.
1. Bakura Sahalaba begins by saying that Islam did not die after the death of Muhammad - a good way to say Shekau's way maintains even after his death.
2. While he never mentions Shekau's name, he mentions his title ("imam"), saying notably that the imam did not leave behind girls/women behind, but men who will defend the religion - an admission of Shekau's death... (no brownie points for gender awareness here)
Read 14 tweets
Vincent Foucher Profile picture
10 Jun
1. Not convinced by this Soufan Center piece on the death of Shekau and the future of #BokoHaram #ISWAP. It includes some good (though by now not original) analysis but also some claims that are disputable to very disputable… A thread.
2. The piece claims that it was al-Baghdadi who “personally ordered Shekau’s ejection from ISWAP”. I wonder about the evidence for this. There has never been a statement from the IS about Shekau’s demise – in August 2016, they only announced Abu Musab as the new wali.
3. The piece mentions Shekau had “Cameroon-based fighters”. As far as I know, JASDJ’s fighters are in the hills on the Nigerian side of the border, not in Cameroon – though of course they do raid into Cameroon.
Read 9 tweets
Vincent Foucher Profile picture
10 Jun
1. Another #BokoHaram thread, this time about #ISWAP’s Abu Musab al-Barnawi audio about the death of #Shekau (Abu Musab is chatty these days). He says that Shekau was attacked in his markaz and fled, and escaped capture for several days.
2. ISWAP fighters tried to convince Shekau to surrender, but he blew himself up.
3. Abu Musab reiterates his earlier statement that they told Shekau “we didn't come to kill you, come and repent and obey the orders of Amirul mumineen. In his wisdom, he may reappoint you as a leader and we are ready to accept his position”.
Read 10 tweets
Vincent Foucher Profile picture
2 Jun
1. More news from ISWAP – in an audio released some time ago (before the Sambisa blitz against #Shekau, I think), Abu Musab al Barnawi, the ad interim boss (wali?) of #ISWAP #BokoHaram, details a point he had made in a statement that I have commented earlier. A thread.
2. This new audio revolves around Abu Musab's earlier promise to review past injustices committed by ISWAP. He reiterates. He calls all those aggrieved, whether ISWAP members or civilians, to put forth their claims. He confirms a forum will examine these claims.
3. He insists justice applies to leadership, rank and file, and civilians alike. He insists both leaders and followers in ISWAP have done some wrong. He insists that even soldiers of the Caliphate will be punished if they kill without a good reason.
Read 19 tweets

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